Knight Rider......Not sure I get your strategy ? Your lays are way to dangerous,(surely selected low price lays is the way as opposed to laying all the top players),and your bets are almost immpossible.......the view I take is if a player of those you selected was 5 shots clear going into Sundays back 9 would he win,(on all known form)......the answer is no!.....Not being funny but do you follow the golf ?

good work frames and fair play KR, thats putting it on the line. playing for buttons myself but have a hunch Bjorn might go well at a price - track form and finally back on song of late.

look forward to following the thread as the week develops.

^^^^^^
Mug

Ignore that last post please!!!!

Bjorn isnt mentally capable in my view......he was young and confident and threw the Open away.......he is scarred from that and in my view has never recovered from it..good luck though.

Bottom line is he is 10 shots clear of the field,world number one,the course suits him,he is out to prove he is still the man and has nerves of steel to help........the negatives are he has not practised a lot lately and he is going through a divorce. May well make Sunday a non event if he gets into his stride early !

Frames,

not sure it`s a good plan to keep laying someone because you detest them

Agree. This isn't about my attitude towards Woods as a human being, though. Rather, it's about what I observe in his record, play, demeanour, and general deportment since his personal life self-imploded. Oh yes; and the numbers.

I think it's reasonable to expect that TW will trade both bigger and shorter than sp in play, but I think the safer side of the trading play is the lay for starters - especially as he won't be winning.

dont agree, anyone laying tiger above 7.2, is on the wrong of the fence, let me tell ya [;)]

gmt, yes I do follow the Golf from time to time

My strategy as always is to back players I feel are too big, and lay players I feel are too short.  In this tournament, thanks to the large amount of "patriotic" money going on the European players, plus the (misguided imo) notion that European players have some sort of home advantage at the British Open, I tend to find that the PGA Tour players are overpriced.

You say that you wouldn't fancy any of the players I listed to do the business on Sunday but I think that's an insult to the calibre of players I have backed. 

OK D.A. Points is a donkey but I took a punt on him at 1000.  The others however, you have Stricker who is the 2nd- or 3rd-best player in the world with 5 wins in the last year or so, Yang who won a Major last year, Zach Johnson with 7 PGA Tour wins including the Masters, Kuchar who has been incredibly consistent since rebuilding his game 2-3 years ago (his renaissance reminds me a lot of Stricker, albeit a lot younger), plus Moore Fowler and Day who are all fantastic youngsters who probably have a massive future ahead of them.

These are all very very good players and to dismiss them so casually because they are "away from home" is dangerous I think.  Just look at the recent winners of the Open, before Harrington got involved an American won it pretty much every year, and it was back to business as usual last year with Cink.

In fact in the last 15 years it has been won by an American 11 times, compared to the Masters (10), US Open (9) and PGA (10).

If I lose I lose but I'd still be well up on the year and happy with my strategy.  Best of luck for the week

lol gmt.

Interesting to read some of the books being set up on here for this week, great thread.

One question for KR - do you trade heavily throughout the event, being from early Thursday as the perceived value of each player changes?

I am not fully set yet, but the backs I have up at this stage are:

Rose
Kaymer (fully set)
Donald
Furyk (fully set)
Schwartzel (fully set)
F Molinari
Allenby
Cabrera
Bjorn
Gallacher
E Molinari
Canizares
Jaidee
Hanson

Probably unlikely to come into the price wanted to back F Molinari, Gallacher and maybe Rose also.

I don't see it as a laying event from the off for me, don't want to be laying Tiger at around 7.6, and don't want to be pin pointing lays at better odds.

All players above backed to win between 6k and 8k.

gl all another great 4 days ahead

DT - I tend to take a bigger 'team' into majors, reason being there is so much more quality at big odds. I believe you get more opportunity to make a winning tourny out of taking a bigger team in given the liquidity and higher degree and speed of fluctuations in the market.

And yes, great to see the forum come alive!

gl DT

Hi guys,am very new to golf punting so its great to read some of the informed opinions here.

Don't really watch much golf tbh but the past month my mate has been extolling the virtues of golf punting and i have found myself tuning in to watch his backs(he's done his brains though tbh!)

Anyway, for no other reason than the odd snippet i have picked up here and along the last month,have backed

tiger @ 8

ryan moore @ 140s (loved his carefree,relaxed approach when coming home in some american tourney i watched other week)

Bradley dredge @ 310s,apparently a has good course record,but from the past few weeks am i right in thinking the brown stuff will run down his leg at some point if in contention,hence he's a back to lay?

Charl Schwartzel @ 130s,always seems to be in contention at some stage of any golf tourney i happen to watch!

I thought mickelson sounded quite ill when doing his interviews at loch lomond? Given his play there,his poor open record and perhaps he is feeling under the weather(please nobody take that as gospel it was simply a personal observation,he's probably fighting fit! lol) was gonna lay him Top 20 and make the cut?

The market will get very nervous if Tiger gets off to a good start...maybe down to 4 for a 4 under start. A moderate start will see his odds remain the same as SP. Have backed Tiger to win 30k to start with.

Also backed Mickleson, 5k
Lehman 50 k
Watson 15k

a few other bits and pieces to complete my portfolio before the off, will post my complete book when it's done.

This is a similar strategy to last year except I bailed at 3.7 early when it was clear that TIger was out of sorts.

I particularly liked Harringtons comment that TIger was the best player at getting the ball to stop closest to where it landed..that's critical as is avoiding 3 putts. Good to see the forum come alive!

remember last year Tiger hit a mid iron in the middle of the first fairway and they were fighting to get on half a point shorter

It was a full on brawl when he put his approach to 5 ft.

I see now when you load a bet up it shows current figures as well as your position when the bet is taken under each players name.

also backed sim in a few markets as think he could go well here

tigers erratic irons off tee--will save you frames

can see him in a few bunkers this year

great thread

best of luck

DJ`s meltdown at Pebble

Can we please stop mentioning that

Aussie D - To be honest I'm not a heavy trader during days 1-3.  I might tinker with my positions a bit between rounds, but generally I would expect my book to look fairly similar going into Day 4 as it is now.  Then I get heavily stuck in during R4.  So I would expect Frames' contributions to be the more enthralling on this thread...