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2024 US Election BETTING chat

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Replies: 463
By:
edy
When: 10 Aug 24 23:19
Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

ON MONDAY NIGHT I’LL BE DOING A MAJOR INTERVIEW WITH ELON MUSK — Details to follow!

8,94k Mal geteilt 31,8k Mal favorisiert 06. Aug. 2024, 8:26 PM


https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/112916482094082129

.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 10 Aug 24 23:28
Ta.  Maybe he has a microchip that will speak for Trump, saying non racist things. Normal things. Not lunacy :)
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 10 Aug 24 23:31
Will he say that people should get non electric cars?
By:
five leaves left
When: 11 Aug 24 11:00
Two weirdos chatting sh1te. I can only see it being a big boost to Trump's chances Mischief
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 11 Aug 24 18:38
Today's madness, trump calls kam an effing beach on his golf cart, campaign is calling the swing state poll ****

Today's logic, walz is hugely popular in polling
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 11 Aug 24 18:39
Missing word is rig ged
By:
blank
When: 11 Aug 24 21:48
Quiet market on Sundays.
My book now level on the top 2, odds just about reflect the models and polls, probably more to come with Kamala but the market might not follow the polls exactly, it didn't in 2020, I'll probably dive back in on the next big news either way.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 00:27
Level pegging in NC now
By:
blank
When: 12 Aug 24 01:00
I'd be careful of that one, I got very excited when I saw it was Yougov on one poll site, but then saw it was Yougov Blue on another, still good I suppose.

Sounds like the Trump campaign is melting down and changes are coming.
.https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/trump-slump-assassination-attempt-2024-election

My opinion is Harris will continue the charge, she has all the airtime with the convention, better infrastructure on the ground, more money, and for some reason Trump isn't campaigning.
But those NYT rust belt polls barely moved Nate's model because good polls are now expected, and some pollsters like the NYT one are cautioning that we're probably in the middle of a sort of convention bounce now.
By:
keyboard_line
When: 12 Aug 24 01:11
from where we are from last time, trump winning arizona, georgia and wiscosin makes it 269 all

https://www.270towin.com/2020_Election/interactive_map

PA is the key
By:
blank
When: 12 Aug 24 02:06
PA vote counting could take several days according to PA state officials. Another prolonged market after election day coming.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 08:34
Zero campaigning from Trump, one rally in montana last week

Nothing planned until after the dnc.  Two more weeks :0

Either hiding, or being hidden
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 08:37
So he can't take the pace, unsurprisingly, but you'd still expect a rally every 3 days or so.
He's done, somewhere in the brain fog he knows it
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 09:39
Likely fallen out with his own campaign staff. 

Won't pay venues, almost certainly restricts where he can rally
By:
A_T
When: 12 Aug 24 11:29
Won't pay venues

does he ever pay anyone?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 11:47
I think it's a big factor in why there's very few rallies for sure.

This campaign money is heading into his escape to Dubai fund isn't it?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 11:51
I guess he's prevented from leaving the country due to the federal cases, last time he left was Scotland during the JEC case?

But little stopping him boarding a boat from mar a lago to cuba :)
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 12:03
The NY courts are closing in on his businesses (the fraud case, not stormy), he needs cash else everything he owns there will be impounded
By:
edy
When: 12 Aug 24 13:32
Classic Trump with very typical alt-cringe contempt for the intelligence of his own followers when he tells them there was nobody waiting for Harris at the airport.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 14:05
They'll be the only people left soon
By:
Escapee
When: 12 Aug 24 14:31
maga won't accept losing the election. For them the only 2 results are either they won, or "The election was stolen".
Waco, Jonestown, these cults never end well.

Currently:
1.96 Harris
2.16 Trump

Expect 1.8 Harris by the end of the DNC.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 14:55
Trump will be on his way, it'll be his fans pointlessly sacrificing their lives. I can't imagine the police will be so badly prepped again

Tbh, i think the reaction to a heavy defeat will be half hearted
By:
Sergeant Cecil
When: 12 Aug 24 16:25

Aug 11, 2024 -- 11:00AM, five leaves left wrote:


Two weirdos chatting sh1te. I can only see it being a big boost to Trump's chances


This, it's going to be like the Musk and Petersen interview. They're both going to come across as oddballs IMO.

By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 16:43
I now look forward to everything Trump does :)

It's impossible for his handlers to control him. I'm hoping for the next stage of the plans for Gilead
By:
blank
When: 12 Aug 24 17:51
They've let him loose on X

In 2020 someone successfully logged into his account by guessing his password 'MAGA2020' Laugh
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 12 Aug 24 18:45
1am here i think.

8pm eastern time
By:
tobermory
When: 12 Aug 24 23:13

Aug 9, 2024 -- 7:42AM, A_T wrote:


obama maintained it


Obama's lead was hard earned. He wasn't handed the nomination, he won it in a tough contest. So it was solidly based. People had seen him come through a tough political battle and liked the way he handled it. Kamala's is a shallow, Dukakis type lead, based on endorsements and what the media are telling people about her. Her lead will likely get wider by the end of the month, but it will still be shallow and can evaporate in days.

By:
blank
When: 13 Aug 24 01:01
Problems with the twitter space for me, anyone following DeSantis's attempt to launch on there will remember how bad it went.
By:
blank
When: 13 Aug 24 01:21
[i]Elon Musk

@elonmusk
·
2m
There appears to be a massive DDOS attack on
By:
blank
When: 13 Aug 24 01:22

There appears to be a massive DDOS attack on X. Working on shutting it down.

Worst case, we will proceed with a smaller number of live listeners and post the conversation later.
By:
blank
When: 13 Aug 24 02:31
Not a positive for Trump. Rambling on and slurring, probably not that many casual viewers though.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 07:50
Sounded like his teeth were falling out

Suspect we get another lurch down to 1.7 soon
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 07:54
Haha, he's daffy ducked
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 07:58
Talked about fleeing the country, the truth is never far from his lips
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 08:35
There is no fightback possible toby, he's in severe decline. He's incapable of fighting a normal campaign. 

If he's replaced the magas will freak out and kamala should be 1.2
By:
SamuelMertensBertens
When: 13 Aug 24 16:17
Someone's keen to back Vance today. And Walz too, so might be VP backs rather than thoughts of Trump getting replaced. Haley back to 160 from around 100.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 16:36
Scaramucci is keen to say he's likely to go, can't bear to lose again. Saying haley or de santis.

Maybe where the original backs came from
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 16:56
He also says, which is obvious i suppose, but you need reminding.  All the top republicans hate him. They just about have the power to remove him, though highly unlikely they'd come out of it well
By:
tobermory
When: 13 Aug 24 16:58
They have absolute zero chance of removing Trump

Incredible that Scaramucci has gotten himself into some sort of respected pundit position.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 24 17:02
Incredible that trump has been candidate 3 times running
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