General Betting
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2024 US Election BETTING chat
2024 US Election BETTING chat
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Replies: 463
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About her realistic odds of winning if she was already the candidate ;-)
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Go and live in Dubai with his Russian friends would be my advice :)
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Kamala 1.98
Donald 2.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Polls not even refelcting the walz boost yet and convention to come. Can trump fight back after that? I'm sceptical, don't really see how
Kamala can outspend him, people are also starting to comment how little the reds are spending. Where is their money going? Hmmmmm | ||||||||||||||||||||
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If trump knows he's losing that money is getting pocketed and he's scarpering imo
Market on where he hides | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Trump doing a news conference at 2PM local, 7PM here I think, should be fun.
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Probably whining that it's unconstitutional to be against a candidate who's race you can't pin down ;-)
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or passing the torch
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Rasmussen with a timely Trump +5 to muddy the RCP average. If there is a big systemic polling error in favour of the GOP they will go down as the most accurate pollster, but really from their twitter they're just hardcore MAGA and supporting that cause. 538 don't include them any more.
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the don would never pull out he's only running to protect himself from his legal troubles
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99% you are right, but a deal could be done with a succesor to protect him. One that may have more chance of winning
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Sounds like debate details, that's all
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Oh and ' look at me!!!! Look at me!!!! Don't look at her'
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All other campaigning today was off due to storm in NC
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If Haley replaced Trump I'd go
1.06 Kamala 17 Kennedy 1000 Haley | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Lol yep. See, we can agree on things
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As tasty as laying her at 100 is, I've even happier with my 160-170 lays on Harris/Haley in nominee forecast market earlier today.
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He better be punctual this time instead of besmirching Germany's reputation in the world further yet.
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Ffs
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watching Trump news conference....
No news, just same old gibberish. He can't get over Biden not running. Totally unprepared for it. | ||||||||||||||||||||
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At least he gives a press conference
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Who needs press conferences when you have speakers?
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I've gone all green so many times but there is always someone backing at inexplicable odds and I can't resist the lays
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So nothing new, women are murdering babies, loved debating biden, kamala wants thousands of murderers to come and murder you.
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Debate on the 10th is back on. I'm not sure why he trashed Josh Shapiro and said Walz is a better pick, I thought the GOP messaging was the opposite.
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sounds like three debates, all in September. Nice. Hopefully some fun market swings.
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That's just what Trump is proposing. The Fox one is only 25% chance of happening according to Poly, the other one he mentioned is probably the Commission of Debates one that both GOP and Dems pulled out of a long time ago. ABC will definitely happen, probably not the other 2 but the campaigns and networks might negotiate more somewhere, sometime.
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@KamalaHarris ·16m
I hear that Donald Trump has finally committed to debating me on September 10. I look forward to it. | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Hard to believe people thought he was scared to debate her.
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He still is, but ducking away from one of the worst candidates ever, and a female to boot, isn't exactly a winning strategy for a wannabe tough guy.
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And especially not if wannabe tough guy suddenly realises he needs to get active and halt a bit a of momentum.
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I dont know why he initially pulled out of the ABC debate and tried to make the Fox debate happen, it looked like an excuse to get out of a debate, maybe he thought he was so far ahead or he was worried about how the contrast in ages would look.
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Who were those people who said she wasn't a good speaker
 https://x.com/PettyLupone/status/1821640559733436610 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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I think i was watching Brian Tyler Cohen or someone at least 6 months ago and they said 'never rule out Biden*, as when the election approaches people will see more of trump and remember what a lunatic he is. They pay no attention outside of the election cycle'
Spot on. * Ok, we did better than that | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Fox started fact checking trump today? Anyone see that?
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His press conference reeked of desperation and anger that he isn't still running against Biden. Now seems desperate for debates funnily enough. Knows he needs them and needs to win them. Looks in big trouble despite the market not accepting that fact
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Kamala is halfway through the honeymoon period without establishing a big enough lead to be on course for victory.
She may get that sort of lead by the end of the month (I'd say steady 6+ in national polls, as that might mean she is actually 3.5 up factoring in the polling fails) but then she would need to maintain it for 9 weeks, when the inital vibes are fading. |