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I lost on Wigan game DFC £300 that 2nd goal for saints really hurt
need Leicester vs Chelsea scores for £500 though looks like vardy has saved my crappy pre off work on Wigan match and the Derby vs Cardiff postponement ![]() |
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...........WIGAN used up too much energy 1st half......and SOUTH had paced game better.......Odds on 0-2 were up to 11s to 19s late in game before 0-2....I think.Come on someone score !!!!!!! |
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You make a good point DFC about backing a score late on in a game for better odds that’s often what I do to guarantee myself a win so a bit of hedging when the odds get better in final 15 mins or sometimes to reduce a big red I might have on a score normally it’s a good idea to try and reduce the exposure to some extent! Watford’s 4th at home to Chelsea at the start of last month and Tottenham’s 4th away at Bournemouth really rocked me and in those cases I wasn’t able to reduce exposure as much as I wanted!
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Could OVERS market not give you a way to hedge bet a bit when 4th goal is a "worry"????
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LEICESTER may qualify for semi place after ET and if penalties....though it is a bit of lottery now....Tired legs ...errors likely!
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Yeah suppose it could DFC I just tend to use the correct score market though! Looking at the later kickoff in Spain this is one of my favourite types of setup for correct score! Unqouted is that low for Real Madrid vs Girona for me it leaves 3-0 and 3-1 as value backs at 10.5 and 12 respectively! Not a fan of backing unqouted at those odds 2.28 but for me it skews the market when unqouted is that low and makes other scores value!
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GIRONA play some good football....and RM may only have sights on CL.....so be wary with bets in this one ....
MGOFS is 2-2.... |
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Trust CHELSEA to score !!!!
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OVERS market can give very high odds when possibility of a 5th/6th goal etc....especially when say 1-2 and you say have 1-3 covered already....then laying UNDER 4.5 can be good cover....Saved me a couple times...
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Real Madrid vs girona 2-2 is 34 DFC might add that to the cs book at those odds ! You could be right girona have made a good account of themselves this season and Real Madrid no stranger to a 2-2 draw this season!
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RM have little to play for as BARCA well ahead....and they currently are well ahead of 5th in league....so could give GIRONA a chance to get at least a DRAW.....they might even win???? A DRAW probably more likely...
GL with bets. |
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3-1 so far...wd PS....
Hopefully ok nowwwwwwww G N the nooooooooo |
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Lost £15 Real Madrid unqouted was worth a try but ended up very high scoring! I’m trading Doncaster vs Bradford tomorrow league 1 clash then that’s it until Saturday a nice extended break which I’m looking forward to I’ve been flat out since Christmas pretty much! Will spend some time practicing my cooking skills, reading my new book and will have a go on tinder again after a few previous failed dates
going Manchester on Friday with workmates drinking so will miss trading the England game! Get in ![]() |
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wolf3011 -It is CS LAYING that I concentrate on......The opinion on games help me decide what CS to lay.
If you go over thread, then my views on certain teams scoring, not scoring or playing well has been reasonable. ARSENAL.....not beating MC was ok....means laying ARSENAL 1-0 ARSENAL.....scoring 1 or 2 goals ....means 1-0 MILAN reasonable lay SEVILLA not being push overs when away to MU.....means they were likely to score.... Can't be bothered going over every game on here.....but I do know that my OPINION on:- what team scores or does not play well or on style of play both teams likely to lead to a 1-1 lay being "best" lay etc etc etc... has been "correct" on all the games on here. It is your view that FOOTBALL has so many VARIABLES that flipping a coin is best way to find a bet on a game......however, there are only 3 outcomes on a match, SO HOW CAN A COIN BE OF ANY ASSISTANCE TO MAKING A DECISION ON A BET IN MATCH MARKET . OK it could be used betting in OVERS market or whether to lay 0-0 in HT CS market or 0-0 in CS market.............BUT AS IT IS THE CS MARKET THAT PS AND MYSELF CONCENTRATE ON.............YOU CANNOT MAKE A SPECIFIC DECISION ON WHICH CS SCORE TO LAY OR BACK USING A COIN ( EXCLUDING 0-0 IN CS MARKET), AS YOU ARE NOT CONSIDERING ALL THE CSs. You stick to flipping a coin.....I'll stick to opinion. You are relying on PURE LUCK.....which could give you a run of, but only on restrictions to markets available on FOOTBALL. OPINION is far better way to bet......IMO. ![]() ![]() GL with bets. |
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The correct scores you are laying are around odds of 10 ( maybe more) so wouldnt expect any to land at this stage. The coin toss was metaphorical but if you feel you have " an edge " good luck with it. You are attempting to over analyse what is effectively a game of random chance thinking you have an edge on the market when you're kidding yourself. Some of your score lays for eg have only been avoided by one goal, so a dodgy pen given is all that stands between a glorious thread of success and being down overall at the odds you are laying. Red card , pen, wind assisted goal, free kick etc etc etc means your lay comes in and you lose 10 betting units requiring ten matches to claw back what happens randomly in every league in the world. You can't possibly make money medium to long term with that kind of approach.
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8-1 SP is most of lays on here suggested in CS market.
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so two matches that finish on the score you lay and you need 16 to break even again with no commission
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Suspect FLEETWOOD will score in tonight game....so LAY on 1-0 is "best" lay IMO.
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Laid at 5.4 BF ....to gain £20
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What does your COIN say as to a bet on ROCHDALE match?
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Come on........does not take long to toss a coin!
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You are daft enough to suggest batting on FLIP OF A COIN though!
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Toss it then........
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I don't believe its possible to "bet" on football like this and win long term. If it's a hobby fair enough, but you are trying to find patterns in teams that don't exist.. like seeing a face of Jesus in a cloud etc. The reason so many people lose on football is they don't grasp how random it is.
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Horseracing has more FACTORS to consider than FOOTBALL......and my "guessing" has been reasonable over last 86 months......not at sp , but BF SP and higher.
FOOTBALL has fewer FACTORS to consider..............and possibly tossing a coin can "work" with FOOTBALL....but not with HORSE RACING! |
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Too late now for you to toss that coin on ROCHDALE game .....as time taken to do so has expired
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Well good luck with your bets , just post the odds ( amount is irrelevant ) and lets put it to the test. You thinking that you can predict how many times a ball will enter a net over 90 minutes with specific scores is doomed to failure as there are too many variables.
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NO .......it is irrelevant as I am not doing an OVERS bet.....just believe away team will score in the ROCHDALE match......and that probably 2 goals in game.
GL with coin tossing! |
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HT 0-0
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As odds in CS market reduce as game progresses, I might LAY 0-0 at low odds and back to eliminate the LAY potential loss on 1-0 lay.....
This game could finish 0-0........Hopefully it stays 0-0 for at least 30 mins 2nd half....or FLEETWOOD score before then...... |
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You could have tossed the coin on HT 0-0 market.......
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Not watching the game so hard to form an opinion as best action to take 2nd half.......but when laying 1-0.....it is just a FACT that if stays 0-0 or goes to 0-1 or 2-0.......the lay bet wins..
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BTW...tis you who is demonstrating "saving face"....by not TOSSING the coin....
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You're clutching at more straws than a horny scarecrow fella
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