General Betting
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 641 comments are related to the topic:
The 'How much can I lose' thread
The 'How much can I lose' thread
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 641
|
By:
Saturday;
Cat 1. 2.45 Newton Abbot Lauberhorn 3.10 Galway Pintura 6/1 or less Cat 2. 5.5 Galway Busted Tycoon 7.45 Hamilton Jeannie Galloway 6/1 or less 4.30 Newton Abbot Cloudy Spirit 8/1 or less Cat 3. 7.15 Hamilton Findog 4.20 Galway Consonance 7.45 Hamilton Hope And Dreams 4.55 Galway Face Value 6/1 or less New Trainer; 2.10 Newton Abbot Beachfire the rest at big prices; 4.10 Memory Cloth 3.50 York Glory |
|
By:
I never like usuin
|
|
By:
oops - should read
I never like using trainer switches between codes as I dont feel they have the same angle/edge and also you can end up with hundreds gl today oily |
|
By:
Cheers Deltâ.
7.45 Hamilton Hopes And Dreams. |
|
By:
Yesterday;
Saturday; Cat 1. 2.45 Newton Abbot Lauberhorn...................................Placed at 3.3 3.10 Galway Pintura 6/1 or less................................Placed at 3.05 Cat 2. 5.5 Galway Busted Tycoon.......................................WON at 1.8 Placed at 1.22 7.45 Hamilton Jeannie Galloway 6/1 or less..........non runner 4.30 Newton Abbot Cloudy Spirit 8/1 or less....................unplaced Cat 3. 7.15 Hamilton Findog............................non runner 4.20 Galway Consonance.......................................unplaced (went off at 19.5) 7.45 Hamilton Hope And Dreams................................WON at 4.34 Placed at 1.92 4.55 Galway Face Value 6/1 or less...........................unplaced New Trainer; 2.10 Newton Abbot Beachfire..................................Placed at 2.03 |
|
By:
Sunday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.15 Galway Darwins Fox 3.20 Galway Busted Tycoon Cat 2; 3.25 Market Rasen Peak Season 4.00 Market Rasen Tamarillo Grove New Trainer: 2.20 Market Rasen Moon Trip and; 5.00 Galway Talween RM Beckett; 4.45 Chester Are You Mine 20/1 or under |
|
By:
Tellovi - new trainer 28/1
 |
|
By:
A cracking winner that Deltâ. Dont have that trainer on my list - not yet anyways.
Sunday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.15 Galway Darwins Fox.................................................WON at 2.94 and Placed at 1.42 3.20 Galway Busted Tycoon...............................................WON at 2.28 and Placed at 1.32 Cat 2; 3.25 Market Rasen Peak Season..........................................unplaced 4.00 Market Rasen Tamarillo Grove......................................unplaced New Trainer: 2.20 Market Rasen Moon Trip............................................unplaced |
|
By:
Morning Oily
Interesting one here... Queens Estate 6.45 Carlisle under trainer switch... ex Mark Johnston - three runs in 2013 = Last, Last, Last ran 10/11f now up to 17f todays longest traveller - @ 272 miles Jockey last rode a winner in 2004 but Trainer has winner yesterday Betfair graph currently 45 down to 15 and .... |
|
By:
Interesting indeed Deltâ. Looks like the jockey has an ownership interest in this one as well. The rain may well help having won at Hamilton in the mud, mind you, beaten 118length last time out tempers enthusiasm a little but that'll be reflected in the price. Had a word with my local bookie who says he's happy to give me 33/1 about it !! Good luck if you play.
|
|
By:
Monday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1. 6.30 Windsor Hoku 6.45 Carlisle Sergeant Pink Cat 2; 4.50 Cork Another Ambition/Milanphardantetime 1st 4 in betting 6.15 Carlisle Fol Hollow Cat 3; 4.35 Naas Sophies Echo 8/1 or less 5.30 Carlisle Lexington Blue New Trainer: 8.30 Windsor Estinaad a couple from Mr Ellison 4.30 Wolves Pelanism 5.30 Wolves Bang Tidy and one from Mr Beckett 6.30 Windsor Perfect Alchemy |
|
By:
Up to date results;
Based on LTO Performance; 33/101 and a profit of +66.60 points 60/101 Placed and a profit of +9.99 points 'New Trainers'; 23/86 and a profit of +38.56 33/86 Placed and a profit of +32.39 |
|
By:
New Trainer:
8.30 Windsor Estinaad Chocolate Block - Haggas to Phelan  |
|
By:
Phelan 4/12 in Handicaps last 4 years as a 'New Trainer' - 136 points profit at industry SP!! Not enough criteria to make my list - sadly.
5.08.2013 Windsor Chocolate Block (IRE) 16/1 1st/11 27.07.2013 Lingfield Pats Legacy (USA) 12/1 10th/12 10.04.2013 Lingfield Bint Alzain (IRE) 8/1 4th/4 21.11.2012 Lingfield Silly Billy (IRE) 20/1 3rd/11 23.10.2012 Lingfield Ellie In The Pink (IRE) 20/1 11th/14 26.07.2012 Epsom Coup De Grace (IRE) 16/1 8th/15 18.06.2012 Windsor Invincible Dream (IRE) 40/1 8th/10 15.02.2012 Kempton Galloping Minister (IRE) 11/4 5th/8 15.04.2011 Brighton Rock With You 12/1 7th/7 13.04.2011 Kempton Bubbly Braveheart (IRE) 7/2 1st/9 26.01.2011 Kempton My Valley (IRE) 25/1 1st/11 2.03.2010 Lingfield Usquaebach 100/1 1st/12 |
|
By:
Tuesday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 5.30 Ffos Las Steel Rain Cat 2; 4.40 Ffos Las Rock On Candy 4.45 Catterick Roker Park 6.35 Cork Snow Queen 6/1 or less Cat 3; 3.00 Ffos Las Calm Attitude 8.00 Kempton Pearl Spice New Trainer 4.40 Ripon Bourbon 5.30 Ffos Las Cristaliyev others; AM Balding 8.00 Kempton Ballinderry Boy |
|
By:
A bit early to assess Charlie Appleby perhaps but so far he is 6/16 in Maidens with around 9 points profit at BFSP and runs Diplomatic Force in the 7.30 at Kempton.
|
|
By:
Yesterday;
Tuesday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 5.30 Ffos Las Steel Rain......paid dividends laying odd at 1.1.............Placed at 1.6 (traded to 1.04) Cat 2; 4.00 Ffos Las Rock On Candy.................................................WON at 2.9 PLaced at 1.87 4.45 Catterick Roker Park...................................................unplaced 6.35 Cork Snow Queen 6/1 or less............................................unplaced Cat 3; 3.00 Ffos Las Calm Attitude.............................................WON at 2.1 Placed at 1.22 8.00 Kempton Pearl Spice................................................WON at 2.48 14% BELOW Industry Price.Placed at 1.68 New Trainer 4.40 Ripon Bourbon......................................................unplaced |
|
By:
Wednesday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 5.35 Newcastle Bygones For Coins 6.10 Sligo Focussed 6/1 or less Cat 2; 7.20 Yarmouth Swendab Cat 3; Sligo 6.40 Jumbo Steps 6/1 or less Sligo 7.10 Fleur De Nuit Sligo 7.40 Benash 6/1 or less Sligo 8.10 Slimming Stone Cat 4; 3.10 Newcastle Lewellyn 5.00 Pontefract Hazza The Jazza 6/1 or less 2.00 Pontefract Jonny Lesters Hair 6/1 or less New Trainer; 5.55 Brighton Lincolnrose and a couple from Mr Becketts yard; 4.20 Finesse 6.30 Prospera |
|
By:
Yesterday;
Wednesday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 5.35 Newcastle Bygones For Coins..............................unplaced 6.10 Sligo Focussed 6/1 or less...............................WON at 4.48 Placed at 2.01 Backed in from 5.8) Cat 2; 7.20 Yarmouth Swendab.........................................WON at 1.91 Placed at 1.3 (backed from 2.58) Cat 3; Sligo 6.40 Jumbo Steps 6/1 or less............................Placed at 2.34 (traded to 1.5 in the win market) Sligo 7.10 Fleur De Nuit......................................unplaced Sligo 7.40 Benash 6/1 or less.................................unplaced Sligo 8.10 Slimming Stone.....................................unplaced Cat 4; 6/1 or less 3.10 Newcastle Lewellyn..........................N/Q 5.00 Pontefract Hazza The Jazza ..............................Placed at 2.02 (Traded to 1.5 in the win market) 2.00 Pontefract Jonny Lesters Hair ..............N/Q New Trainer; 5.55 Brighton Lincolnrose.....................................unplaced Prospera was a winner for RM Beckett yesterday but as yet I haven't done any stats for these. May well do sometime when time permits. |
|
By:
Thursday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 6.35 Sligo Tin Town Boy 8.00 Chepstow The Mongoose 6/1 or less Cat 2: 7.30 Southwell Slip Of The Tongue Cat 3: 6.05 Sligo Theonewiththeleg 7.45 Sligo Time To Work 8/1 or less Cat 4: 2.20 Brighton Amenable 5.30 Yarmouth Tevez 5.00 Yarmouth Perpetual Ambition 8/1 or less 6.30 Southwell Satanic Beat 6/1 or less 4.10 Haydock Lexis Hero others New Trainer: 8.00 Chepstow Assertive Agent fto Trainer 8.45 Sligo Royal Moll AM Balding 8.00 Chepstow Cape Crossing 3.40 Haydock Mr Fitzroy |
|
By:
Still going great guns Oily, well done I must say.
I dont bother with the 'others' like Lexis and Satanic but I'm well into profit backing the Based On LTO Performance selections and then laying them off sub evens in running. Cheers for sharing. |
|
By:
Tevez backed in from 10.5 and WINS at 4.3 (9.2 here)
Amenable wins at 3.86 (4.8 here) |
|
By:
Yesterday;
Thursday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 6.35 Sligo Tin Town Boy...................................................unplaced 8.00 Chepstow The Mongoose 6/1 or less....................................WON at 5.93 (from 7.4) Placed at 2.54 Cat 2: 7.30 Southwell Slip Of The Tongue.........................................WON at 1.25 (from 1.55) Placed at 1.12 Cat 3: 6.05 Sligo Theonewiththeleg...............................................unplaced 7.45 Sligo Time To Work 8/1 or less.......................................unplaced Cat 4: 2.20 Brighton Amenable....................................................WON at 3.86 (from4.8) Placed at 2.16 5.30 Yarmouth Tevez.......................................................WON at 4.3 (from 10.5!!) Placed at 2.35 5.00 Yarmouth Perpetual Ambition 8/1 or less..............................unplaced New Trainer: 8.00 Chepstow Assertive Agent.............................................unplaced (drifted to 22) fto Trainer 8.45 Sligo Royal Moll.....................................................WON at 3.27 (from 4.8) Placed at 1.92 |
|
By:
King Of Jazz [8.20 Newm] is a new trainer switcher that catches the eye today Oily.
I had it down as a bit of a thinker with Bell but the switch to a jumps trainer and away from Newmarket may rekindle it- it has been made fav on 50% of its runs this year, so at double digits may be the sort to catch first time up with Fallon on to sort it out! gl |
|
By:
Agree with you. Took 14/1 with Ladbrokes about this one early today. Saddle slipped LTO out Redcar and looked in decent form before that when just touched off at Windsor. Bowen 2/7 with his flat horses this last year or so.
Tropical Beat worth a look in the 3.00 also. |
|
By:
yep - Gosden to O'Meara but same owner a very interesting angle - to me 7/2 has no edge in the price..
|
|
By:
Friday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.40 Brighton Beacon Lady 6.10 Newmarket Sleepy Joe Cat 2; 5.10 Brighton Welease Bwain 3.10 Brighton Eaton Rambler 5.50 Tipperary Treadstone Cat 3; 4.30 Musselburgh Pearl Spice Cat 4; 2.00 Musselburgh Angel Rosa 5.50 Haydock Tinseltown 12/1 or less 6.10 Tipperary Mahrajaan 12/1 or less New Trainer; 3.00 Musselburgh Tropical Beat 8.20 Newmarket King Of Jazz 12/1 or less others; A couple from Mr Beckett; 2.40 Brighton Jan De Heen 5.20 Lingfield Motion Lass AMB; 7.15 Newmarket Near Time 12/1 or less |
|
By:
at least the one in the last was too bad to be true - so thats bonus in price for next time...
gl today Oily.. |
|
By:
Cheers Delta.
Yesterday; Friday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.40 Brighton Beacon Lady...................................WON at 2.39 Placed at 1.35 6.10 Newmarket Sleepy Joe...................................Placed at 1.33 (traded to 1.33 win market) Cat 2; 5.10 Brighton Welease Bwain................................Placed at 2.25 3.10 Brighton Eaton Rambler................................WON at 4.3 and Placed at 1.44 5.05 Tipperary Treadstone..................................Placed at 1.52 Cat 3; 4.30 Musselburgh Pearl Spice...............................unplaced Cat 4; 2.00 Musselburgh Angel Rosa................................unplaced 5.50 Haydock Tinseltown 12/1 or less.......................unplaced 6.10 Tipperary Mahrajaan 12/1 or less......................placed at 2.86 New Trainer; 3.00 Musselburgh Tropical Beat.............................Placed at 2.36 8.20 Newmarket King Of Jazz 12/1 or less...................unplaced |
|
By:
Saturday;
Based on LTP Performance; Cat 1; 6.25 Kilbeggan Lancing Cat 3; 3.15 Ascot Beaufort Twelve 6/1 or less 8.05 Ayr Rylee Mooch 5.15 Lingfield Royal Caper 6/1 or less Cat 4; 6.25 Kilbeggan Countess Salome 12/1 or less 5.35 Ayr Captain Baldwin 8/1 or less 4.45 Redcar Bop It and some trainers; AM Balding; 7.45 Oasis Spirit 8.15 The Wizard of Aus 12/1 or less 4.45 Refectory RM Becket; 5.45 Bold Jack Donoghue 6.15 Secret Beau |
|
By:
Oi Oi Captain Baldwin a cracking winner for you Oily, helped myself to 16, think the BFSP is 14.5, well done indeed.
|
|
By:
Cheers Zzorro, glad you made some.
Sunday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.55 Carlisle Bapak Muda Cat2; 2.45 Curragh Scintullula Cat 3; 3.25 Liecester Tooley Woods 8/1 or less 5.25 Liecester Ballarina 6/1 or less 3.10 Windsor Ginzan 6/1 or less New Trainer; 5.10 Windsor Mont Blanc and one from RM Beckett 4.25 Liecester Fortinbrass |
|
By:
Yesterday;
Sunday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 2.55 Leicester Bapak Muda..............................................Placed at 1.26 Cat2; 2.45 Curragh Scintullula Cat 3; 3.25 Liecester Tooley Woods 8/1 or less................................unplaced 5.25 Liecester Ballarina 6/1 or less...................................unplaced 3.10 Windsor Ginzan 6/1 or less........................................Placed at 2.2 New Trainer; 5.10 Windsor Mont Blanc................................................Placed at 2.04 |
|
By:
Monday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 8.30 Thirsk Prospera Cat 2; 3.30 Ayr Silver Rime Cat 3; 5.30 Ayr Amelia Jay 6/1 or less 3.00 Ayr Clumber Place 8/1 or less 7.20 Ballinrobe Hurricane Jojo Cat 4; 2.45 Wolverhampton Limegrove 4.30 Ayr Szasbos Art 3.45 Wolverhampton Silkelly New Trainer; 5.25 Thirsk Sea The Flames 5.20 Wolverhampton Ty Gwr some at decent odds, trainer based; 7.00 Thirsk Exotic Isle 5.20 Wolverhampton Squeeze My Brain 4.45 Wolverhampton Mon Brav 5.40 Windsor Zampa Manos 12/1 or less |
|
By:
a switcher that caught my eye today Oily was Camerooney [7.30 Thirsk] the early 35.0's ish on here to small was about right for a small interest off an Ellison to Fife switch and 476 days off - but now at 13's seems no value as a 10 year and top weight and 18 runners... will keep an eye on it...
|
|
By:
Morning Oily
a Alan Berry switcheroony too today - ex Hugh McWilliams - a first i reckon not Alans greatest fan - but i have liked this horse over the years and overpriced circa 30's fto today 4.45 Carlisle - Indian Giver |
|
By:
Morning Deltâ, def one to keep an eye on in the markets. McWilliams wasn't the greatest trainer of a race horse only had two flat turf winners all of 2012(Indian River being one of them) and just one in 2011 and only 3 of his last 50 runners at Wolves reached the frame, none of them winning !!
I dont like Mr Berry either but I'm sure he can do something with this one somewhere along the line. |
|
By:
Yesterday;
Monday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 2; 3.30 Ayr Silver Rime.................................................WON at 4.63 Placed at 1.82 Cat 3; 5.30 Ayr Amelia Jay 6/1 or less......................................unplaced 3.00 Ayr Clumber Place 6/1 or less.....N/Q 7.20 Ballinrobe Hurricane Jojo.......................................Placed at 1.68 Cat 4; 2.45 Wolverhampton Limegrove.........................................unplaced 4.30 Ayr Szasbos Art.................................................unplaced 3.45 Wolverhampton Silkelly..........................................unplaced New Trainer; 5.25 Thirsk Sea The Flames...........................................unplaced 5.20 Wolverhampton Ty Gwr............................................Placed at 3.35 5.40 Windsor Zampa Manos was a nice winner at..........9.95 Of the three trainers being followed RM Beckett is showing a very slight loss, Brian Elison is showing a loss of 6 points but AM Balding is showing a healthy profit of 14 points. |
|
By:
I had a PM asking about Cat 1 and Cat 2 selections.
Since I changed the format so that the Based on LTO Performance had 4 Categories Cat 1 and Cat 2 have performed as follows: Cat 1. 7/16 winners with a profit of 15 points 12/16 Placed with a profit of 8 points Cat 2; 8/17 winners with a profit of 6.5 points 10/17 Placed with a loss of .35 of a point |
|
By:
Tuesday,
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 7.35 Nottingham Amenable Cat 2; 3.15 Carlisle Threetimealady Cat 4; 3.15 Carlisle De Repente 7.35 Nottingham Beau Mistral 8.05 Nottongham Market Puzzle New Trainer; 4.15 Carlisle Mixed Messgae 6.50 Stratford Native Colony 10/1 or less 4.30 Worcester Di Caprio 2.00 Worcester Amaury De Lusignan 8/1 or less 2.30 Worcester Anger Management Two from Mr Pipe, 6/1 or less 6.20 Basil Fawlty 7.20 Royal Peak |