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Tuesday,
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 7.35 Nottingham Amenable...........................................Placed at 1.55 Cat 2; 3.15 Carlisle Threetimealady.......................................Placed at 1.37 Cat 4; 3.15 Carlisle De Repente...........................................Placed at 2.29 7.35 Nottingham Beau Mistral.......................................WON at 2.72 Placed at 1.3 8.05 Nottingham Market Puzzle......................................unplaced New Trainer; 4.15 Carlisle Mixed Messgae...........................Placed at 1.97 6.50 Stratford Native Colony 10/1 or less.............fell 4.30 Worcester Di Caprio..............................unplaced 2.00 Worcester Amaury De Lusignan 8/1 or less.........unplaced 2.30 Worcester Anger Management.......................WON at 1.67 Placed at 1.1 Two from Pipe also reached the frame. |
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Wednesday;
Based on LTO Peformance; Cat2; 5.55 Gowran Park Bluebell 6.35 Yarmouth Burnt Cream 6/1 or less Class 4; 4.10 Ffos Las Belle Bayardo 5.20 Beverley Grandloquent 7.05 Yarmouth Ibn Hiyyan and some from trainers 4 from Beckett and one from AM Balding; 4.40 Ffos Las Thorpe 9.15 Kempton Hidden Relief 4.30 Salisbury Ignot Of Gold 3.55 Salisbury Bana Wu |
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Yesterday;
Wednesday; Based on LTO Peformance; Cat2; 5.55 Gowran Park Bluebell.............................Placed at 1.52 6.35 Yarmouth Burnt Cream 6/1 or less.................Placed at 3.3 Class 4; 4.10 Ffos Las Belle Bayardo...........................Placed at 3 5.20 Beverley Grandloquent............................unplaced 7.05 Yarmouth Ibn Hiyyan..............................unplaced |
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Thursday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 4.40 Beverley Rocket Ronnie Cat 2; 6.40 Tramore Granny On Fire Cat 3; 4.40 Beverley Confusing 8.15 Chepstow Whitefall 6/1 or less 5.50 Lepardstown Penny Serenade/So Devoted Two each from Beckett and Balding; 3.25 Salisbury Prospera 5.00 Salisbury Sizzler 7.15 Chepstow Nellie Forbrush 3.55 Salisbury Highland Knight 7.00Fontwell Bathwicj Man (Pipe) |
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Helped myself to some 10.5 about Sizzler, cheers Oily.
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.......and helped myself to some 8.6 on Whitefall - hell of a gamble that. W/d.
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funny ole game aint it Oily
Beckett on RUK early - v positive on Prospero - one of the biggest drifters of the day on Betfair [9/2 to 6 = books} more on here and very negative on Sizzler [backed in and wins] ![]() |
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prosera was actually 3.3 to 9.0 with a bsp of 8.21
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Yes its a funny old game. I thought Prospero ran ok though did trade to odds on in running. Probably my favourite trainer is Bekcett but I'm struggling to get a profit out of him this season.
Any thoughts on Llarmarnan Lad in the 4.20? Yesterday; Thursday; Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 4.40 Beverley Rocket Ronnie...............................................WON at 2.58 and Placed at 1.58 Cat 2; 6.40 Tramore Granny On Fire...............................................unplaced Cat 3; 4.40 Beverley Confusing...................................................unplaced 8.15 Chepstow Whitefall 6/1 or less.......................................WON at 3.95 Placed at 3.72 (backed in from 9.0) 5.50 Lepardstown Penny Serenade/So Devoted................................WON at 4.50 Placed at 2.02 |
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Friday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 7.45 Catterick Ingenti Cat 2; 4.40 Nottingham Quality Art 6.20 Catterick Ding Ding 3.55 Newbury Lilbourne Lass 5.50 Tramore Keep It Clean 7/1 or less 6.20 Tramore Stepping Down " Cat 3; 3.35 Nottingham Artful Prince 5.40 Catterick Gran Maestro Cat 4; 3.45 Newcastle Mash Potato 6/1 or less New Trainer; 5.30 Newbury Fly Haaf 4.20 Newcastle Llarmarnan Lad |
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no view on ^ Oily tbh
market likes it tho and its two runs were in 16k and 9k races, so well thought off and that 2nd run was in the Convivial Maiden at York, always a hot annual heat gl |
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Beckett winner there - poyle'
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an Alan Berry switcher wins the races - blimey i had one of those early in the week!
Mount Clerion 14/1 |
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Bright Abbey a possible at Perth?
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Saturday;
Based on LTO Performance: Cat1; 4.40 Perth Bright Abbey Cat 2; 5.30 Lingfield Amenable Cat 4; 4.10 Perth Goal 6.15 Tramore Magnetic Force 8/1 or less New Trainer; 4.40 Market Rasen Raktiman 4.40 Perth Bright Abbey and some from followed trainers; 5.05 Newmarket Hold On Tight 7.40 Market Rasen Beyond 4.40 Perth The Tracy Shuffle 4.20 Chester Martial Art 4.50 Chester Communicator 4.15 Donacaster Dungannon |
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Saturday;
Based on LTO Performance: Cat1; 4.40 Perth Bright Abbey...........................................Placed at 3.16 (traded to 1.25 in the win market) Cat 2; 5.30 Lingfield Amenable...........................................unplaced Cat 4; 6.15 Tramore Magnetic Force 8/1 or less..........................Placed at 2.38 New Trainer; 4.40 Market Rasen Raktiman.......................................unplaced 4.40 Perth Bright Abbey..........................................Placed at 3.16 |
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Sunday;
Based on LTO Performance: Cat2; 5.05 Southwell Harangue 2.50 Tramore Price Chaparral 3.20 Tramore King High Cat3; 3.20 Tramore Days Ahead 5.25 Tramore Naughty Molly 8/1 or less New Trainer; 4.50 Pontefrace Montefreltro 5.05 Southwell Burns Night 4.50 Pontetract Gaspard 12/1 or less |
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Prince Chaparal a nice winner at 5.64. Placed at 1.95.
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King High and Days Ahead first and second, winner was over 9 and both placed at 4.1 and 2.63.
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Yesterday; full house for the Category 2 selections 3/3
Sunday; Based on LTO Performance: Cat2; 5.05 Southwell Harangue............................................WON at 2.52 Placed at 1.43 2.50 Tramore Price Chaparral.......................................WON at 5.64 Placed at 1.95 3.20 Tramore King High.............................................WON at 9.05 Placed at 2.63 Cat3; 3.20 Tramore Days Ahead...........................................second to King High Placed at 4.1 5.25 Tramore Naughty Molly 8/1 or less............................fell New Trainer; 4.50 Pontefrace Montefreltro......................unplaced 5.05 Southwell Burns Night........................Placed at 1.58 4.50 Pontetract Gaspard 12/1 or less..............Placed at 2.02 |
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Monday;
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 3.00 Thirsk Bondi Beach Boy 5.00 Thirsk Ypres 5.10 Roscommon Green Tag 5.15 Worcester As I Am 6.40 Roscommon Kims Dream Cat 2; 6.30 Windsor Fly Haaf 8.50 Wolverhampton Unex Michalangelo Cat 4; 4.45 Worcester Flew The Nest 6.50 Wolves Souter Point 6/1 or less 4.45 Wocester Royal Peak New Trainer, some big prices here today; 3.15 Worcester No Ifs No Buts 4.45 Worcester Tinelyra 7.30 Windsor Talented Kid 6.00 Windsor Reqaaba RM Beckett: 6.00 Exotic Isle |
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great cat2 hatrick Oily - WD
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Cheers. Looking forward to your preview of York.
Bondi Beach Boy gets us off to a good start in Category 1, backed in from 5.8 and wins at 4.4 Placed at 1.78. |
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Nice thread here lads,an oasis of calm,well done seems to be throwing up plenty of winners.Whats the p & l like oily?
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Cheers for your comments Barrowboy.
The Based on LTO Performance selections - so far, since the thread started, has produced around 450 bets to date and is showing a profit of around 110 points to BFSP, I've done quite a little bit better than that by taking early prices. The New Trainer selections are a bit stagnant at the moment, still in profit but not what I would like it to be. Most of the winners in this section are the ones that are well backed so watching the markets pays dividends here. |
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that sounds pretty good.do you use any criteria for filtering your last time out winners or is it purely your personal judgement?
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A lot of the selections are last time out winners but that's not the criteria at all I don't really mind where they finished last time out, its more about how they ran last time out in the context of today's race. Once I've narrowed them down its purely my own personal assessment as to whether to back them or not (all form based).
The recent form hasn't been that great at all, prior to today the last 75 bets have produced 21 winners and a profit to BFSP of just 2.20 points but 45 of the 75 have been placed and produce a profit of 14.68 points. Our worst sequence of results has occurred during the last 75 bets when we had a period of just 3 winners from 26 (it happens)fortunately 15 of them were placed. Its not always rosy, but this is a long term game. |
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Royal Peak a nice winner at 4.29
Ypres Placed Green Tag placed after going off at 8.2 and trading as low as 1.19. As I A backed in from 3 and wins nicely at 2.01 Tinelyra Placed at a nice 3.9 |
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Reqaaba a very nice winner at 25 Placed at 6.08.
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very well done oily kims dream another winner keep up the good work.
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Kims Dream wins at 2.75
Sorry Barrowboy, I should have added that the original intention of the thread was just for last time out winners and horses having their first run for a new trainer but the thread moved on quite quickly to including horses regardless of their position last time out. |
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Cheers malky.
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Talented Kid a nice winner at 10.8 Placed at 2.15
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The New Trainer stats updated:
27/111 have won showing a profit at BFSP of +54 pts 46/111 have placed showing a profit of +40.56 pts After a losing run of 13 a winner at 25 and then a winner at 10.8 come along. |
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WD Oily a cracking day - well deserved...
that Talented Kid beat in a Fakenham bumper lto, ![]() |
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Unex Michelangelo our 7th winner of the day.Backed in from 3.2 and wins at 2.27.
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Cheers Deltâ.
Enjoyed the York Preview, very good. |
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excellent day oily 7 winners 1st day i have looked at your thread great keep it going mate well done.
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Monday; Nice day -
Based on LTO Performance; Cat 1; 3.00 Thirsk Bondi Beach Boy..................................WON at 4.4 Placed at 1.78 5.00 Thirsk Ypres............................................Placed at 1.59 5.10 Roscommon Green Tag.....................................Placed at 2.27 5.15 Worcester As I Am.......................................WON at 2.01 Placed at 1.25 6.40 Roscommon Kims Dream....................................WON at 2.75 Placed at 1.33 Cat 2; 6.30 Windsor Fly Haaf........................................unplaced 8.50 Wolverhampton Unex Michalangelo.........................WON at 2.27 Placed at Cat 4; 4.45 Worcester Flew The Nest.................................unplaced 6.50 Wolves Souter Point 6/1 or less.........................unplaced 4.45 Wocester Royal Peak.....................................WON at 4.25 Placed at 1.45 New Trainer, some big prices here today; 3.15 Worcester No Ifs No Buts................................unplaced 4.45 Worcester Tinelyra......................................Placed at 3.9 7.30 Windsor Talented Kid....................................WON at 10.2 Placed at 2.15 6.00 Windsor Reqaaba.........................................WON at 25 Placed at 6.08 |
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Brilliant stuff Oily, well done once again.
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