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arsenal vs man city under 2.5 is 2.18-2.2 get on before tommorow and we could well see 2 at kickoff. i am leaving 1k at 2.2.
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Took your information re your team ...and layed 0-1 against WBA....
£46 win after a few mins ....Hope your team scores to get back in it!WD on thread .....hpefully helps you keep focused |
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hi mate glad you won on blackburn
they have gone over 1.5 in every league and cup game this season apart from one game and missed two penalties in that.i will be updating my trade results for the week on monday or tuesday after all football is finished. check out the ultra liquidity in the barca vs zaragoza match: layed under 4.5 at 1.63 at start of half time backed at 1.7 at end of half time. ![]() right guys fasten your seatbelt and get ready for the drop. any1 with a spare 1k get on under 2.5 in arsenal vs man city at a whopping 2.26 now will be 2 at kickoff. i now have 1k at 2.2 and 1k at 2.26. there have only been 3 goals in the last 3 meetings between these two and this should reflect the price drop around kickoff. good luck people and get on ![]() |
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goldmine alert!
just been playing for my sunday league team come back and price is 2.16 get in there hope people got on. now get ready for the 2nd drop around kickoff |
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well done smithy lad. good thread this
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thanks bob really enjoying doing it to learning loads about the markets
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under 2.5 now 2.04 hope you got on people i am green
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spot on lad!
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how much did you make from that mate?
do these trades ever go wrong for you? |
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I thought you were going to wait until it went less than 2.0, you must have bottled out ;-)
One thing i've noted from your previous posts which may be financially disadvantageous to you is that you seem to open and close out bets on the same side, particularly on 2-way events such as Overs/Unders. Consider using the other side, ie. if you back at 2.26, look at the lay: if it's 1.79, this equates to a back at 2.265, which will gain you a few quid. At the stakes you're using, this will equate to about a fiver each bet, since half the prices you back/lay aren't optimal. This is also applicable to redding out, since you won't lose as much. If you've noticed this and are acting accodingly, no problems; if not, work it out, save a fiver on each bet, and you owe me a beer ;-) |
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thanks newmanix did u get on.
![]() bob mate the unders trades rarely go wrong but the match odds ones sometimes do this is me at kickoff can sit back and enjoy game now. 1k backed at 2.26 layed at 2.06 1k backed at 2.2 layed at 2.06 under 2.5=+ £170 over 2.5=+£170 |
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Great trading tip
![]() I backed the under 2.5 at 2.2 & 2.3 laid off at 2.04 Cheers! |
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thanks mate.excellant work southcoast that will add nicely to the 5k from yesterday
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All helps
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andriy mate thanks for advice will take a look. when the markets held up after the drop that is sometimes best time to trade out although sometimes it goes from 2.18 to 1.98. depends really. 1 hour to 45 before kickoff is when the market goes mad and quite a bit of money gets put in.
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SCV of all people who dont need help
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more tmrw night smithy lad? will get on this time. maybe not for 1k first time though
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smithy there is test cricket going on allover the world almost constantly
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ino mate but my knowledge is piss poor on cricket i will only trade cricket when my pro trader mate on here gives me green light
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you could do worse than lay the draw blindly every test match..you rarely see a draw now unless more than two days are rained off..yet its often almost favourite
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yeh wel my mate said something similar he said closest thing to free money bearing in mind the weather conditions are ok. certainly something i will be looking at in the future i won £666 after 1 hours play in a 5 day test so not bad at all.
just wondering mate do you trade the draw a lot in cricket? ![]() |
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yeah all the time but you can also trade ball by ball...prices can move twenty ticks after a boundary or a dot ball...its vital to watch the weather charts..if you can see its raining ten miles away and its closing in, back the draw, then lay it back after the rain arrives and subsides
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very clever mate. to be honest i am happy with whats happening at the moment. i am making enough profit on football without needing to look elsewhere but if my mate gives me a cricket match to trade the draw i will do as i know he makes a lot of money from doing it.
i take it you do orite for yourself though if your successfully trading football and cricket. ![]() |
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football. cricket, golf and horse racing...anything else and i would be trading on limited knowledge
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football. cricket, golf and horse racing...anything else and i would be trading on limited knowledge
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I did smithy
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well played newmanix.
![]() every tuesday and on a saturday i place a £2 fixed odds accumulator out of my wage just for a bit of interest of the matches to see how many i get right not bothered about winning as can do that on here was close this week though would of been a good way to pay for my car MOT. £2 stake returns £334 brentford 4/5 WON west ham 4/5 WON sheff utd 4/9 WON chelsea 2/9 WON torquay 4/7 WON shrewsbury 1/1 WON scunthorpe 4/5 WON birmingham 8/15 WON west brom 1/1 WON man utd 1/6 WON southampton 4/9 LOST ![]() ![]() ![]() muggie southampton scored in 89th min to go to 2-1 infront then conceded last min equaliser ![]() |
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10/11 is very, very good. I usually pick 5 teams(1.80-2.30) twice a week and do 10 x trebles and an acca for small stakes to keep an interest. Usually get 3 or 4 up this year, but had 5/5 multiple times last year.
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thats a good idea that mate think i need to pick less teams
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S/91 how did you win that Mutch in the Test Cricket cheers
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hi mate layed the draw night before test started at 3.1 and backed in play after 1 hour sri lanka were 37/3 and draw was out to 5.1
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not much trading material around in the football today so won't be forcing the issue everthing seems pretty well priced to me.
one thing to watch out for though is under 2.5 in fulham vs chelsea currently trading at 2.06. i wouldn't jump on at those odds yet but anything around 2.1 or higher could be well worth taking but i'm not sure if the price will drift at sumpoint today so i will hang fire incase it does. we don't have to force the issue if the odds get higher that is when we take the price if not its a no bet for me other opportunities to do this trade will come and find us. just something i noticed on tuesday. my team blackburn play liverpool at home and are priced at 3.75. thats the same price as newcastle were to beat liverpool last weekend. REALLY? just shows how wrong the odds really were last sunday. i'm not suggesting liverpool are value at 2.2 but its like saying we are as good at home as newcastle ![]() .good luck people wish there was this much football every week ![]() |
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Excellent thread smithy and great call yesterday on the Arsenal game unders.
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thank you tommycockles did you get on?
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Hi there Smithy.
I think Sevey was asking how you made £666 when you layed the draw at 3.1 for £1k and then backed it at 5.1. |
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played the market like a total plonker...backed unders at 2.18, watched it go out to 2.3.....as market came back in bailed out at 2.18 and watched as it went in to 2.04. Hey ho!
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hi U.A- i layed the draw at 3.1 on monday night with 1k and my liability on the draw was £2100. then after around 1 hours play on tuesday sri lanka were 37/3 and the draw was out to 5.1. i woke up on tuesday morning to go to work checked the odds saw the 5.1 and traded out imediately leaving me with 2k profit which i split equally between the three outcomes as i know very little about cricket and only go off my pro trader friend's advice.
tommycockles- don't worry i have done exactly same on previous trades myself on unders. sometimes it can be worthwhile in topping up if price drifts that is sometimes what i do including the arsenal city game managed to top up at 2.26. |
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Hi there smithy91. Sorry but i'm still a bit confused.
If you have 0 liability on either side winning and a 2K profit on the draw and you see odds of 5.1 to trade out at then that only gives you a £373 profit (before commission) not £666. |
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UA, 2000/3 = 666
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no it should be about £390 all round
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