General Betting
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lay the draw pre kickoff then trade out after a goal
simples
napoli-ac milan @ 3.40
lyon-marseille @ 3.30
£100
simples
napoli-ac milan @ 3.40
lyon-marseille @ 3.30
£100
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Replies: 339
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Only really effective if favourite scores first.
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what if 0-0?
also 2 quick goals in milan game, no time to trade out |
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I suspect the poster is banking on there not being many 0-0s.
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i suspect we may be in here Bobbin:
[ This image is no longer available. ] could be wrong  |
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Lyon 1-0 Backed draw @ 4.60
+£27.13 obviously dont do it in games i think have a good chance of 0-0. |
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I also think the better strategy is if you use halftime draw method. you will make better profits
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nice work handicapper. what was your initial stake? just made a quid doing this in the napoli game too. nothing groundbreaking obv
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I have traded out both games now.
lyon layed @ 3.30 and backed @ 4.60 (+£26.85) napoli layed @ 3.40 and backed @ 4.40 (+£21.60) |
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stakes bud?
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I don't wanna sound like a tool but very few on here impress me as much as i-only-lay and i did the free money bet by the way
What are your stakes? Only problem is if the outsider scores first the draw wont move. |
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£100 stakes
also i do it in games with teams that are close(ish) odds so the draw moves. would'nt do it barca, real man utd etc etc both teams have to be odds against (preferably 2-25-3.25) ideally both between 2.50-3.00 like totts/lpool this afternoon |
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Well i will keep my eye on this and if you make a regular profit i will start using it
Halftime market is to dodgy for me though. |
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try in play one
lokeren vs brugge lay draw @ 2.30 (1-1 2nd half) |
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I notice the Benfica/Academica game was 5.2 to lay at 0-0 with 24 minutes gone. The lay went up to 10.0-11.0 after they went a goal up.
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Obviously the odds wouldn't have been very close to begin with.
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GOOOOOOAAAAALLLLLLLLL!!!!
lokeren 1-2 brugge layed draw 2.30 backed draw @ 15.00 (+£80.44) All done for tonight. 3 trades 3 winners nights profit +£128.89 |
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Wow. Nice result! I can see there's probably a bit of mileage in laying the draw with 20 minutes or so to go, since the odds will often be quite low by then, and any goal will change them dramatically. I don't know what the statistics are on late goals - there're probably rather more of them then you'd think.
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can we make this a regular thread OP? seems to be going well
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Just did this on the Betis game. Layed @ 3.6 backed at 6.4 profit £40 whatever happens.
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Yes, I've been watching the Betis markets. 3.55 before the off. Just over 6.0 after the first goal from Betis. Went up to about 7.0 after the second Betis goal. Now at around 6.6-6.8.
You'd be needing to watch the scores quite closely, but there seems to be something in it. |
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its a fairly well known and documented strategy and it has it's risks obviously.
you using £100 stakes too u want some? |
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you have to make sure you pick games that if a goal is scored the draw odds will drift instead of shortening
like levante vs madrid is no good because if levante score 1st then the draw odds shorten 2 teams over 2.00 but under 3.00 are ideal like spurs/lpool today |
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this is a great thread, keep it going mate
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Indeed. So what about this Lanus v Boca Juniors match starting in 5 minutes then? The teams are quite close together. The draw is fairly low (3.15 to lay, at the time of writing).
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lets go for it LB
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Yeah, why not. I don't mind chucking away a few quid on this. Let laying the draw commence!
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A drowning man will clutch at a straw.
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I assure you I'm not drowning Contrarian!
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0-1
you got a better strategy Contrarian? |
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Right. First decision. 0-1. Now up to 4.0... Stick or twist...
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hmm dunno. surely we should stick to the system and green up now
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Well I've greened up. Does mean I've only made 1/8 of the risk I took.
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For the first time, I'm feeling as clueless as you Paul! Very strange day indeed...
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green up guys.
its all about getting free money ASAP once you have that money locked in then you can trade again in play. if it gets back to 1-1 you can lay the draw again hoping for 3rd goal for bigger profits |
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you got a better strategy Contrarian?
Yes. Several. Why do people latch onto this 'lay the draw' idea? Without some independent reason for thinking the draw price is too short, it has no hope of success. |
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would love to hear them Contrarian if you have anything better...
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Just so that you know Contrarian, I do have quite a few good strategies of my own. But I'm bored at the moment and so I'm playing a few pennies on this.
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Contrarian, the rationale I was using was that very few matches end 0-0. As long as there was a goal, I'd have a chance to get out, and would probably be able to make a little bit of money as a result of doing so.
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LB,
I wasn't directing my original comment at you, by the way. (I didn't see your post immediately preceding mine). |