STATS for HORSE RACING are essential part of finding an "edge".....IMO.

Naturally stats will not guarantee on one particular race that they will hold up......but you can spot at a glance where the winner is likely to come from, and "VALUE" bets can be found if you know where winner is likely to come from in that type of race over the distance and on the same/similar going at the particular time of the season.

It is not the STATS that are not "reliable".....it is yersel normally for most punters !

Of course you will get bumps in the road, but stats are the foundation to ALL bookmaker run events. Thats why when you see a 'plunge' you have got to take note. How do you think they price up markets or where the forecast prices come from? past results, performances and stats.

Here's another one for you, over 90% of races are won by the 1st and 2nd fav in the first 2 non handicap races of the day.
Why? because it give the bookie time to recoup. Thats why the feature race is around half way through the card and the fav seldom (eg less than stats for favs) wins it.

Take the 1st 2 non handocaps races today for example. Guaranteed? of course not, but they win far more than they "should".

look at the price of the fav in the next - (dont be a smart arze and say there are only 3 runners - it would be well short whatever compared with its forecast) If it wins the bookies will recoup over the next 5 races approx.
It aint random, and it aint roulette and ain't rocket salad.

fav lost and arbaah ran ok, but faded, watch it next time out if running within 30 days.

3rd after blowing the start, sort of ok. but the fav won, so I'm watching the next fav.

Maybe you have got an edge???


What do you thnk I've been posting?

I may post again on this, but probably not

somebody else who can't feckin read

Maybe you have got an edge???

im still trying to work out who is the biggest clown on this thread, Schalke or Lex

Freddie Williams was a bookmaking genius. You sure aint
as for the bouy .... post yer bets cos I cant read, cant fink.

As you asked so  nicely

26-07-2013

Favs SR 15/47 =31.91%, Ave SP 2.72,
Void races 7/47 =14.89% ave sp 12.71,
Winning races 24/47 =51.06%
Longest winning run 5

I made about 90 quid over all accounts on the day which is quite nice as a hobby.

When dealing with all horsey favs, and I have 'systems' for other price bands as well,
this is very useful ~ 35.75% sr, 2.65 ave bookie sp ~
for those of you who put in the research you will see that this is the corner stone to calculating your stake relationship to your losing run. If you know that then that's all you need to know, even if using martingale type betting but you will need brown corduroy's and a I really would not recommend it. Better to go for the more gentle % of the bank approach as I mentioned. The fun for me is not the amount you win but the way the day unfolds as you predict it.
If you increase your bank by just your minimum bet every day and compound it .....

But unless there is a glaring example I wont be posting on this again.


There Are None So Blind As Those Who Will Not See
and dragging them to a trough for a drink is a lot harder.

and remember; its not roulette.

Why would you limit yourself to such tiny profits if you have discovered such a massive error in the markets?

Here is a glaring example

the fav will lose Salisbury 18:10

pooh whats that smell ? ......  oh, its me

8 losers so the fav in the next thirsk 16:50 Court Pastoral. probably

Same again

Lulu the zulu should do it if not then Busted Tycoon or the fav in the first at Lingfield. probably.

Why just follow the racecard? You can do the same when a jockey or a trainer has lost
with a favourite 8 in a row.

If youve been countin then you know what to do in the next at Cork.