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I have just plaiced tmy last steaks of the evening on the Leeds game!
Good luck all! |
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Good Luck Slicer
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Did you place them "medium" or "well done" ;)
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Yes slicer, i thought you would go for the leeds game!
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I think i have an idea, i have set up an excel sheet program.
I'd says its slighly different than yours slicer. But i need to do some real action which i cant at present. Do you take 5% profit or more? I'm working on a 5% profit but the match must qualify and push the potential win/loss on the third bet above 2% which is triggered by a loss on bet 1 at half time.(all of these have the commision included, so 5%=real10% Im taking an average price for the third market and the Leeds match qualifies as the HT cs score and FT cs score are suffice. I worked for a few hours on this but i am still to see if the third criteria will qualify if its needed in todays match... Hint i take the average at HT to be 1.35. |
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some add me on msn if there interested to talk
scandyhigh@gmail.com |
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well won't be tested i would have locked in a 5.2%(10.2%) profit in the leeds.
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darn u Slicer! tell us!
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If there is one method then there will be more than one. You have to work it out for yourself.
Don't forget that everyone here who shouts "Goal!" is matched by someone else shouting "Mierda!" Remember also what I wrote about John Gough... ... about gambling ... ... John said he had a song for every bookie. I only recall the one. Danny Quastel - do you remember that Mr. Punch nose? - would be working his pitch with Alfie Isaacs. As John approached he would break into song, "What's it all about?" Those of us in the know would join in with a loud, "Alfie!" |
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Excellent thread guys been monitoring it for a while now.
Slicer i remember speaking with u briefly during the euros i posted that i was going to try out a system during the euros which was 2 back both sides to win 2-0 (which was profitable by the way ) you then asked me if i layed the bet off, which i didn,t. Not saying that this has something to do with the HOLY GRAIL just passing on some nformation for the guys to look at. I have since come up with my own methods on the CS market but unlike yours Slicer mine is not 100% foolproof plus i need more than 3 bets. Anyway Slicer if you have truly cracked it then well done. Cheers |
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Nothing is 100% foolproof !!
Slicer as every other CS Bettor / Trader has that red spot on the screen either for a short period of time or somehwere far out of the danger zone...... Everything else is beyond my imagination :)...... and i can think up quite a lot ! :) He he |
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Playing live on the Arsenal v Man U match. My bother looked over my shoulder and said, "You stood to win £50 and now you'll only win £1.33" ...
... about gambling ... ... the £50 you might win is no more than a hope, the £1.33 buys a real bag of *****... |
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All prophets speak wisely though Whelk!
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whelk, try buying a "real bag of ***** with £1.33 in Bath !!!
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People of an entrepreneurial persuasion can generally be persuaded to provide a smaller quantity to match the reduced payment.
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Err.... yes, whelk....
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Not in Bath....
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I'd go to bath more often if my only two choices of parking weren't £6/hr at the cricket club or 6 miles outside the city centre at the university. I think I'll go to Swindon next time.
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Bet 1: Back any unquoted in correct score market
Bet 2: Lay 5 goals or more in total goals market Bet 3: If either team are 4-0 up, immediately lay no next goal :) |
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what would you do about 3-2, 2-3, 3-3?
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oops
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nice try though billy
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He he i have to report back,.... my new baby lives up to the expectations so far,.......its a beauty and from the information you have given on this thread on your method i can safly assume that we work on completly different ends of the market,. so we xhould get along quite nicley :)
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martin whats your risk as a percentage of your outlay? if say for arguing you had an exposure of 100 pounds, how much is at risk should it go against you...5, 10, 15?
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In the worst case Scenario i can lose about 63% of my initial Stake.
This worst case scenario hits me in around 10% of all matches. Maybe less with detailed form study. In around 20% of cases i can break even or get out with slim Profits. The Big majority of matches produce around 63% Profits of my initial staking,... so 2 Winners compensate for one worst case outcome. Then we have a few Big Fat Winners that cash out nicley. All in all i think i have a winning strategy at hand here,..... my next step will be to optimise it (if possibly) i have some ideas in that direction. From my actual point of view i would say, to sum it all up: IT CAN BE DONE..... keep on investigating fellas. ;) P.S.: In case i overlooked something or it proves unprofitable i report back here to let ya all know :). Please excuse me now,.... theres money to be made,... he he |
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Correction: Make the worst case scenario 20% of all cases.....
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And i guess the Percentage of the breakeven rate is not enteirly correct...... i have only 10 Sample matches so far,.... when i have around 100 matches (Xmass) i will crunch the numbers precisly and maybe post em here... :)
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Just for inspirational pourpose,..... Profit and loss over my last 30 days.
Operated from a 100 Euro Starting Bank: Am i genious or not :) He he........ Darts: EUR1.71 | Horse Racing: EUR0.51 | Soccer: EUR111.78 | Tennis: -EUR2.00 Total P&L: EUR112.00 |
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Good for you Martin...nice to see another success...looks like IT CAN BE DONE!
Back to the grindstone :-( |
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would you be able to recreate that % p/l with 1000?
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If it works with 100 it should work with a million (only in theory because of the liquidity boundaries), just now i tried a slight modification on the Bayern Game to tweak it a bit (you allready guessed what happened :) -- 15 Bucks down)...... i'll go on now on the Sevillia game.
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My point loosely was Martin that at only 100 a time then losing 63% of your bank is easily replacable but once you start betting 1000 and 10000 a time its not so easy. Would you carry on the with the system at 1000 if you lost 63% 5 times in a row - which with a 40% chance of hitting your biggest loss is going to happen fairly often.
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Biggest los happens around 20%,..... Breakeven or slim loss/profit another 20% !!! I thought i wrote that,.... "looki looki" indeed i did :)
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Besides:
I use an apropriate % of my actuall bank for the initial stake with wich i enter the market,..... so my max losses are preset from the very first second..... no probs. |
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As long as i know that the overall profit figure is positive i cant see a problem even if i lose 20 x 1000 in a row.......
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Sorry Martin you did indeed. Even still a 1/5 chance of losing 63% and a 1/5 chance of only breaking even, regardless of the chance of making 63% profit there is a strong chance that you would turn your entire bank over 3 or 4 times in a row before making any prophets, so my question still stands at would you be happy using your system at higher steaks.
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think we need a martins bet attack thread imo
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Ok you answered the question whilst I was posting. Good luck.
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Prophets time.
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Mr Blues- you is one bad egg.
This thread was about to drop off the bottom of the forum and you resussisitatered it! |