clearly not gunna be profitable, but will finish the 1000 bet test. Thinking perhaps the only consistently obtainable profit from such 'value' selections is to trade them pre KO.
Very often my selections are seen as value by the market and shorten in price before ko. Therefore making them ripe for trading. For example with my first 1000 bet test, if i'd layed them all as well at say 10% lesser odds, I suspect a very large percentage of them would have been matched - and therefore guaranteed profits result. The only question is would those lays that would not get matched still break even ROI overall ?????.

If you want to take this route, I would suggest trading out of all positions, rather than hoping the remainder break even. Just trade out and take a loss if necessary.

You may be giving up some value, but this sacrifice will massively reduce volatility, meaning your returns will be consistent. A few hundred bets should suffice to see if this works.

just to finish off the test... or should i say torture.

81 from 952

Sogndal v Haugesund
2-0 @ 15 / AnyUnq @ 7 / 3-0 @ 26

C Palace v Torquay
2-0 @ 9.20 / 3-0 @ 15.50

Barnet v Watford
2-3 @ 38 / 2-0 @ 28

Brentford v Bristol City
2-0 @ 20

Bristol Rovers v Aldershot
2-0 @ 10.50 / 3-0 @ 18.50 / 0-0 @ 14

Bury v West Brom
0-3 @ 19.50

Cardiff v Dag and Red
3-0 @ 12.50 / 0-0 @ 18 / 2-0 @ 7.80

Cork v Shamrock Rovers
1-3 @ 36

Dundalk v Bray
3-0 @ 14.50

Exeter v QPR
2-3 @ 34 / 0-2 @ 11.50

Galway Utd v Drogheda
0-2 @ 20

Gillingham v Plymouth
2-0 @ 17 / 2-3 @ 42

Hereford v Charlton
2-0 @ 28 / 0-2 @ 13 / 2-3 @ 34

Huddersfield v Stockport
2-0 @ 9.60 / 3-0 @ 16.50

Lincoln v Barnsley
0-2 @ 12.50

MK Dons v Swindon
2-0 @ 10.50

Millwall v Bournemouth
2-0 @ 9.80 / 3-0 @ 17.50 / 0-0 @ 14

Notts Co v Doncaster
1-1 @ 7.60 / 2-3 @ 42

Preston v Morecambe
2-0 @ 8.20 / 3-0 @ 13 / AnyUnq @ 6.60

Rotherham v Derby
0-2 @ 13

Scunthorpe v Chesterfield
2-0 @ 9.80 / 3-0 @ 17

Sheff Utd v Port Vale
2-0 @ 7.80 / 0-0 @ 16.50 / 3-0 @ 11 / AnyUnq @ 5.80

Shrewsbury v Ipswich
2-3 @ 38 / 1-2 @ 11.50 / 2-0 @ 25 / 3-0 @ 75

Good luck all.

Final stats of the second '1000' test
83 from 1000 ( @ 10.97 )( - 9% ROI )
started terribly, crawled its way back, but not to level...
Lookin into the trading option... (looks labour intensive for very small profits so far..)
also lookin for more tweaks to the spreadsheet to pinpoint value in the cs markets
never give up, never give in.
GL All.

Malmo FF v Hacken
2-0 @ 10
1-0 @ 7.80
OB Odense v FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 9.60
2-0 @ 9.80
Orebro v Djurgardens
1-0 @ 7.40
2-0 @ 9.20
Viking v Molde
0-1 @ 14
Besiktas v Antalyaspor
1-0 @ 7.20
2-0 @ 6.40
3-0 @ 9.20
Aachen v St Pauli
2-0 @ 11.50
AC Milan v Juventus
2-0 @ 20
Brest v Metz
2-0 @ 16.10

( Still tweakin & testin, ... )
GL All.

Fuzz - The correct score market - you either love it or you hate it. I love it for the challenge, I hate it for the torture. ( I know there is value to be had, but its torture finding & proving it ! )
Long live the "Fish".

Celtic v Arsenal
0-1 @ 8.40
3-0 @ 120
FC Kobenhavn v APOEL
0-1 @ 21
1-0 @ 6.80
2-0 @ 7.40
FC Sheriff v Olympiacos
0-0 @ 12
0-1 @ 6.60
Nottm Forest v Watford
2-0 @ 10
Sheff Utd v Leicester
2-0 @ 10
1-0 @ 8
Sunderland v Chelsea
0-1 @ 6.80
0-2 @ 7.20
2-0 @ 65
Wigan v Wolves
1-0 @ 7
Huddersfield v Brighton
2-0 @ 10
Colchester v Gillingham
1-0 @ 9
Exeter v Yeovil
2-0 @ 13
Wycombe v Southend
2-0 @ 16
GL All.

thanks Glee...
Tigre v San Lorenzo
2-0 @ 17.50
CD Marathon v D. C. United
1-0 @ 7.60
2-0 @ 9.20
Deportivo Cali v Universidad de Chile
2-0 @ 13
0-2 @ 32

FS - back into the frying pan again!

AaB v FC Nordsj
1-0 @ 9.40
Chesterfield v Notts Co
0-2 @ 15
Birmingham v Portsmouth
1-0 @ 7.63
Burnley v Man Utd
0-1 @ 7.40
0-2 @ 6.40
1-0 @ 34
Hull v Tottenham
0-1 @ 8.60
Levski Sofia v Debrecen
0-0 @ 11.50
1-0 @ 6.40
Newcastle v Sheff Wed
1-0 @ 7.40
Red Bull Salzburg v Maccabi Haifa
0-2 @ 38
2-0 @ 9.20
Liverpool v Stoke
0-1 @ 46
0-2 @ 160
1-0 @ 7.60
2-0 @ 6.20
3-0 @ 9
Lyon v Anderlecht
1-0 @ 7
2-0 @ 7.60

GL All.

Barueri v Sport Recife
2-0 @ 11
3-0 @ 17.50
Internacional v Corinthians
1-0 @ 8.40
2-0 @ 8.80
Sao Paulo v Fluminense RJ
0-1 @ 30
1-0 @ 8.60
2-0 @ 9

MFK Kosice v Roma
0-1 @ 9.20
1-0 @ 28
2-0 @ 75
FK Baku v FC Basel
0-2 @ 12.50
BATE Borisov v Litex Lovech
1-0 @ 7.40
Bnei Yehuda v PSV
0-2 @ 10
Guingamp v Hamburg
0-1 @ 7.20
0-2 @ 8.20
Breda v Villarreal
0-2 @ 11
Metalurg D v Austria Vienna
0-2 @ 50
1-0 @ 6.80
2-0 @ 8.20
Rapid Vienna v Aston Villa
0-1 @ 8.60
Steaua Bucharest v St Patricks
0-0 @ 23
1-0 @ 8
2-0 @ 6.40
3-0 @ 8.40
Dinamo Bucharest v Slovan Liberec
1-0 @ 6.80
2-0 @ 8.80
FC Vaslui v AEK
3-0 @ 46
Sivasspor v Shakhtar
0-2 @ 12.50
1-0 @ 15.50
2-0 @ 30
Slavia Prague v Crvena Zvezda
2-0 @ 10
Partizan Belgrade v Zilina
1-0 @ 7.20
2-0 @ 8.20
Lech Poznan v Club Brugge
2-0 @ 10.50
Sion v Fenerbahce
0-1 @ 11.50
0-2 @ 11.50
0-3 @ 19
Ajax v Slovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 10
2-0 @ 7
3-0 @ 9.20
Genoa v OB Odense
1-0 @ 7.40
Lazio v Elfsborg
0-0 @ 15.50
1-0 @ 7
2-0 @ 7.20
3-0 @ 13.50
Dinamo Zagreb v Hearts
1-0 @ 7.80
2-0 @ 7.20
Everton v Sigma Olomouc
0-0 @ 18
1-0 @ 7.60
2-0 @ 6.40
Fulham v Amkar
1-0 @ 7.20
2-0 @ 7
Stabaek v Valencia
0-1 @ 8.40

GL All...

Lazio v Elfsborg 3-0***won***
Sion v Fenerbahce 0-2***won***
Steaua Bucharest v St Patricks 3-0***won***

13 from 119 ( @ 11.03 / 20.5% ROI )

Fredrikstad v Rosenborg
0-2 @ 12
0-0 @ 21
0-1 @ 11
Ajaccio v Strasbourg
2-0 @ 13.50
Arka Gdynia v Wisla Krakow
0-1 @ 6.40
0-2 @ 7.80
Dijon v Nimes
1-0 @ 6.60
2-0 @ 9.60
Austria Karnten v SV Ried
2-0 @ 24
Le Havre v Angers
2-0 @ 10
Nantes v Istres
1-0 @ 6.80
2-0 @ 8.40
0-2 @ 50
Standard v Charleroi
1-0 @ 8.40
2-0 @ 7.80
3-0 @ 9.80
Albinoleffe v Vicenza
2-0 @ 13
Ascoli v Gallipoli
1-0 @ 6.80
2-0 @ 6.40
0-3 @ 640 ( ??! )
Brescia v Cittadella
0-1 @ 16.50
0-2 @ 42
2-0 @ 9.40

GL All.

Gidday Cres, this is live test no.3 - have done many many tweaks since beginning, but base theory remains. Always betting small level stakes during test.. early days in this one...

Independiente v Newells
0-3 @ 70
Juventude v Guarani (Bra)
2-0 @ 14

Kryliya Sovetov v Rostov
1-0 @ 7.20
2-0 @ 11
0-3 @ 95
Niigata v Kyoto
1-0 @ 8.40
Shimizu v Iwata
1-0 @ 10
Bielefeld v Augsburg
2-0 @ 11

GKS Belchatow v Piast Gliwice
1-0 @ 6.20
Freiburg v Leverkusen
0-1 @ 11.50
Mainz v B Munich
0-1 @ 9.80
0-2 @ 9.20
Nurnberg v Hannover
1-0 @ 9.80
Aris Thes. v Atromitos
0-2 @ 55
1-0 @ 5.90
2-0 @ 7.20

17 from 165 @ 10.12 ( 4.3% ROI )

Amkar v Fulham
3-0 @ 75
FK Aktobe v W Bremen
0-1 @ 15
0-2 @ 11.50
0-3 @ 16.50
Karabakh v Twente
0-1 @ 8.80
Litex Lovech v BATE Borisov
3-0 @ 32
Sparta Prague v NK Maribor
0-1 @ 30

18 from 174 @ 10.19 ( 5.4% ROI )

Karlsruhe v St Pauli
2-0 @ 13.50
Besiktas v Gaziantepspor
1-0 @ 7
2-0 @ 6.40
Legia Warsaw v Polonia Bytom
1-0 @ 6.40
2-0 @ 6
Barcelona v Shakhtar
1-0 @ 11.50
2-0 @ 8.40
Millwall v Brighton
2-0 @ 10

Goood work mate keeep it up :)

^^^^ WTF ??????????????

G Furth v Bielefeld
2-0 @ 17.50
H Rostock v Oberhausen
2-0 @ 10
Huddersfield v Yeovil
2-0 @ 9
Chelsea v Burnley
1-0 @ 8.40
2-0 @ 6.40
3-0 @ 7.60