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The Kwijs £100 to £5000 in 100 days laying the dogs

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By:
Kwijibo
When: 29 Sep 09 03:11
Good luck Mr Delz :)
By:
Kwijibo
When: 29 Sep 09 16:59
Stats for Day 28:

Won 17 from 19 races which is 89.4%

Made a profit of £17.33 which is an increase of 4.2% to £422.46 (Target for day 28 to be on course for £5,000 is £299.87)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 553 races from 645 races which is a 85.7% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
By:
Kwijibo
When: 30 Sep 09 15:19
Stats from Day 29:
Won 21 of 23 races which is 91.3%

Made a profit of £21.78 which is a profit of 5.1% to £444.24 (Target for day 29 to be on course for £5,000 on day 100 £311.87)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 574 of 668 races which is a 85.9% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
By:
azza1989
When: 30 Sep 09 15:47
hi

see your doing well with this, keep it up :)

question: if you set up the bot in the morning, do you need to leave your PC running throughout the day?
By:
Kwijibo
When: 02 Oct 09 15:21
yes , have to keep comp on while robot is running .
By:
Kwijibo
When: 02 Oct 09 15:22
Stats from Day 30:

Won 15 from 17 races

Made a profit of £17.55 which is a 3.9% increase to £461.79 (Target for day 30 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 £324.34)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 589 from 685 races which is a 85.9% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
By:
Kwijibo
When: 02 Oct 09 15:33
Going over to Ireland for 5 days tomorrow - if someone could keep this from going off the bottom I'll keep updating as off next Friday when I'll do Day 31 .

B-)
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 02 Oct 09 16:09
were u going ireland
By:
Kwijibo
When: 02 Oct 09 16:19
Killarny - never been before - travlling early doors on Sunday morning - should be good .

Anyone been there ?
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 02 Oct 09 16:30
come up north and we can go to the dog racing in dundalk
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 02 Oct 09 19:46
You can use this to retrieve...http://www.gubbed.com/forum-search.fcgi
By:
fizz12
When: 03 Oct 09 21:36
ttt
By:
100 2 1000
When: 04 Oct 09 11:15
BUMP
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 04 Oct 09 12:11
Kwij- do you ever put up your lay bets prior to the race? it would be interesting to see your lay bets prior to the off as opposed to after.

WD so far tho, excellent profits. :-)
By:
RacingCert
When: 06 Oct 09 14:01
ttt
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 09 Oct 09 10:38
wellcome home kwij. tell us all about ure holiday in killarney
By:
Kwijibo
When: 09 Oct 09 12:11
It was all very Irish - Killarney a well sized town - not too big - not too small - went to Dingle and Tralee but liked Kenmare most.

Beech at Inch was cool - Waterfall of Torc very pretty !


Next time Cork and Dublin ?????
By:
paddys revenge
When: 09 Oct 09 14:18
I live in Killarney, where did you stay? didnt get carried away on the dog track did you?
By:
Kwijibo
When: 09 Oct 09 14:28
afternoon paddy - we stayed at some holiday homes near The Malton hotel and train station - went into courtneys the most for some 'arrows' with a pint !
By:
paddys revenge
When: 09 Oct 09 14:44
a minutes walk from me,if you saw the Centre store im in the penthouse apartment above it. new apartment block where dominoes pizza is. Know courtneys well ;-)
By:
paddys revenge
When: 09 Oct 09 14:47
not always there though share my time between the wirral and killarney, im english the mrs is irish you see.
By:
Kwijibo
When: 09 Oct 09 15:09
to be sure :)
By:
Kwijibo
When: 10 Oct 09 05:45
Stats from Day 1

607 of 705 bets which is a 86% win rate


Revised Track stats:
1) Oxford (Won 62 of 66 races) 93.9% win rate
2) Nottingham (36/39) 92.3% win rate
3) Sheffield (74/81) 91.3% win rate
4) Sunderland (50/57) 87.7% win rate
5) Belle Vue (14/16) 87.5% win rate
6) Hall Green (56/65) 86.1% win rate
7) Hove (93/109) 85.3% win rate
8) Crayford (56/67) 83.5% win rate
9) Perry Barr (64/78) 82% win rate
10) Swindon (18/22) 81.8% win rate
11) Romford (47/59) 79.6% win rate
12) Newcastle (26/33) 78.7% win rate
13) Monmore (9/13) 69.2% win rate
By:
theborderfox
When: 10 Oct 09 11:21
GET READY FOR THE STALKERS PADDY
By:
Kwijibo
When: 10 Oct 09 16:04
Stats for Day 32:

Won 11 of 11 races

Made a profit of 2.6% to £494.81 (Target for day 32 £350.81)


Stats since day 1:

Have won 618 of 716 races which is a 86.3% win rate
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 10 Oct 09 16:14
100% has this ever happened before
By:
paddys revenge
When: 10 Oct 09 16:22
shotgun at the ready borderfox ;-)
By:
theborderfox
When: 10 Oct 09 22:03
told ya he was gonna make a million.believe in the power of the robot
By:
Kwijibo
When: 11 Oct 09 05:56
freddie - 2nd time in 32 100%

B-)
By:
dogform
When: 11 Oct 09 09:22
kwijibo,

Have you considered removing the lower performing tracks from your bets ?

I am not sure if it is coincidental, but on a theoretical P&L analysis I did on laying greyhounds falling within a specific set of selection criteria I found that certain tracks repeatedly gave poorer returns. The worse tracks in alphabetical order were Crayfrd, Mnmore, Newcstle & Romfrd.

The sample size I tested was fairly large, over 330,000 runers in the global analysis for 2008 and 2009 and I found that by removing the worst performing tracks the P&L increased significantly in terms of ROI, ie, from 2.7% RoI to 4.2% RoI.

It may be just coincidence that your shorter time frame with your selection criteria parallels the wider time frame with my selection criteria. However, It would be interesting to see how your your figures recalculated if you removed all transactions from the worst performing tracks.

Rgds
By:
Kwijibo
When: 11 Oct 09 09:48
I have acted due to poorly peforming tracks (even though this sample size is very small) by reducing the 'target' at them daily.

I don't belive anything under say 70% winners would be profitable , but discounting Monmore (only had 13 bets there) my worst is Newcastle at around 8 out of 10 cats (er , I mean winners) - with that in mind I will still play there as I'm winning 4 of 5 and only need 3 to 'recover' .

If the stats start to get worse over time having tracks 'drop off' the bottom would certainly be an option.
By:
Kwijibo
When: 11 Oct 09 10:06
Have put my lays up in advance on the 'Sunday BAGS' topic in the greyhound forum for today.
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 11 Oct 09 20:38
11:19 t4 2nd 5/2
11:28 t1 3rd 5/2
11:34 t5 WON 7/2
11:43 t1 4th 6/1
11:48 t4 WON 7/2
11:58 t5 5th 6/1
12:04 t5 2nd 9/2
12:13 t6 4th 7/2
12:18 t6 5th 7/1
12:27 t1 4th 3/1

Hi Kwij, im struggling to understand your staking system, can you list what your lay bet would be for each of the above lays? I have listed the SP for each dog you layed this morning (BF would obv be higher), say i had a £500 bank, what would each bet amount be??

many thanks in advance.
By:
theborderfox
When: 11 Oct 09 20:59
http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/

CHECK IT OUT TOTGA .
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 11 Oct 09 21:34
cheers border.

What do you think of the staking plan?
By:
sup4w115
When: 11 Oct 09 21:42
Think the staking in effect is a recipe for disaster, although Kwijibo selections are good so offsets this .
He is proving that it is possible on the dogs , suspect the use of the bot is to reduce the tendency to chase.
Well done Kwij .... keep it up :)
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 11 Oct 09 21:47
11:19 t4 2nd 4.0
11:28 t1 3rd 4.0
11:34 t5 WON 5.2
11:43 t1 4th 8.0
11:48 t4 WON 5.2
11:58 t5 5th 8.0
12:04 t5 2nd 6.2
12:13 t6 4th 5.2
12:18 t6 5th 9.0
12:27 t1 4th 4.6

Start Bank £1000
1- £2.50 WON
2- £2.50 WON
3- £2.50 Lost @ 5.2 -£10.50
4- (stake to win 40% of loss) £4.20 @ 8.0 (LIAB £29.40) WON £4.20
5- (stake to win 40% of loss) £4.20 @ 5.2 -£10.50
At this point would be -£11.80
next 3 bets win, back in profit.

Im not too sure about this staking system, i suppose if the strike rate is good, which it does seem to be then it looks pretty good, would be a tad worried if i hit 3/4 losers on the 'bounce' though.

WD kwij so far, ou seem to knw your stuff.

- just read the bit about stopping when 5% bank increase in one day, so you would need to get roughly 20 consecutive winning bets???
By:
Kwijibo
When: 11 Oct 09 22:07
Yeah about 20 winning bets a day totga :)
By:
Kwijibo
When: 11 Oct 09 22:51
Stats from Day 33:

Won 20 from 23 races which is 86.9%

Made a profit of £25.48 to £520.29 which is a 5.1% increase


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 638 races from 739 which is a 86.3% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
By:
theborderfox
When: 11 Oct 09 23:15
the staking is probably a bit dodgy:) but the selections are good.i mean it would need to be the day from hell to hit 4 in a row really but it can happen i guess. when he hits a loser the recovery next bet includes the would be profit from the previous one, so he dont have to hit say 20 continious to reach his target.thats the beauty of the bot. i bet thats hard to understand :)
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