2.30 STRAW BEAR looks the obvious one....but suspect it might be beaten!

Not too keen on which one might beat it....Somersby might be ...but I have at back of memory something against the horse .....so I apologise to the horse for being against it.......]:)

Leaving race alone!

2.40 wide open ( probably the most open race of day!)....so PASS

Presumably the BF odds reflect the fact it is drawn 1....and presumably HIGH DRAW is favoured....soon see!

SAFARI GUIDE IR win market odds...not close really!


6.00 £5 £6
6.20 £7 £12
6.40 £12
6.60 £8
7.00 £7 £11
8.00 £9
8.20 £5 £29
10.00 £0 £10
10.50 £38
11.00 £87
11.50 £10 £71
12.00 £5
13.24 £6
14.00 £4
16.50 £12
20.00 £352
21.00 £1 £318
21.76 £0
22.00 £271
23.00 £470
24.00 £1,261
24.60 £10
25.00 £1,187
25.54 £5
26.00 £614
26.49 £7
27.00 £334 £251 £6,365

3.15 - Silver Spinner



COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 950.50 points
Available odds: 5.6 (betfair)
My odds: 3-1 (25 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 74.50 points WIN

As have 2 horses to win in 3.15 .......2 cover bets with SARDE to beat either seems a reasonable cover to take.....so 10 points on each SFC as cover.

Chepstow 3.15
1st 11 Dance Island (IRE) 9-2
2nd 2 Dream Alliance 8-1
3rd 3 The Real Deal (IRE) 10-1

3.40 - Fourpointone



COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 1027.94 points
Available odds: 7.4 (betfair)
My odds: 5-1 (16.67 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 30.47 points WIN

4.00 - Golden Rock



COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 974.87 points before 3.40 and 3.50 races
Available odds: 34 (betfair) those were odds when I checked for nap in comp earlier
My odds: 20-1 (4.76 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 16.79 points WIN

CAPTAIN TIBBS ....A very slow start ...lost race there !
2.80 £1 £5
2.82 £5
2.90 £32
2.92 £20
3.00 £27 £469
3.05 £24 £622
3.10 £5 £408
3.15 £72 £6
3.20 £57 £338
3.25 £33 £118
3.30 £380
3.35 £42
3.40 £55
3.45 £2 £4
3.50 £2 £44
3.55 £9
3.60 £2
3.70 £9
3.80 £2
3.85 £6
3.90 £26
4.00 £422 £198
4.10 £10 £108
4.20 £257
4.30 £11 £260
4.50 £40
4.60 £307
4.70 £8
5.00 £115 £88
5.30 £14
5.40 £5 £4
5.50 £85
5.60 £4
6.00 £116
6.20 £57
6.40 £12
7.20 £11
7.60 £4
8.00 £2 £78
8.20 £284
8.40 £5 £280
8.60 £43
8.80 £16
9.00 £254
9.20 £631
9.40 £1,025
9.60 £1,759
9.80 £1,735
10.00 £3,589
10.50 £2,478
11.00 £20 £2,775
11.50 £960
12.00 £2,129
12.50 £4,778
13.00 £80 £2,300
13.50 £4 £582
14.00 £598
14.10 £359 £6,172

Going probably HEAVY IMO at Nottingham.....so nap had little chance!

4.20 TARA ROYAL



COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 931.21 points
Available odds: 5.70 (betfair)
My odds: 4-1 (20 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 19.40 points WIN

Kempton tonight, forget the football rubbish.... :)

Morning.

With racing starting at 12.05.....had a quick look at that race and was almost tempted by outsider, but favourite , Karasiyrais, is likely winner . FAV odds not high enough , and as going HEAVY mainly is not worth the "risk" IMO at odds on!

Of course fav trainer J OXX has another horse in race, Takaliyda,........and just gives me another reason for ignoring race.....as there are other good trainers in race too with Reach The Stars..........................However, how close would they want to be to fav in finish????

Magical Memoir was one was considering as PLACE back .........currently 26s...as conditiions may suit it today......but only 3 places , so another excuse for not being tempted with 18 runners.

Will LEAVE race alone!!!!

12.35 - Don Leone



COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 911.81 points
Available odds: 17 (betfair)
My odds: 12-1 (7.69 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 14.74 points WIN

1.00 FAV may well win....at a glance not a tough field against it......but not tempted at odds, as NOVICE HURDLE race .......................so PASS.

1.20 Kudu Country






COMBINED ATTEMPTS BANK 897.07 points
Available odds: 4.3(betfair)
My odds: 11-4 (26.67 %)
Kelly (incl 5% commission) = STAKE 28.25 points WIN

Haydock 12.50
1st 6 Peters Star (IRE) 9-4 F
2nd 5 Stick Together 3-1


Tote Win £3.10
Pl £1.80, £1.90
EX £10.80
SF £9.53

1.05 blaze brightly ran well Ir

1.41 £165
1.44 £354
1.45 £285
1.50 £146
1.52 £10
1.53 £72
1.55 £109
1.56 £14
1.60 £391
1.61 £618
1.62 £270
1.67 £400
1.70 £45
1.71 £94
1.72 £33
1.73 £6
1.75 £4
1.76 £10
1.77 £40
1.80 £54
1.83 £14
1.85 £9
1.90 £26
1.91 £1
1.94 £4
2.00 £344
2.02 £292
2.12 £85
2.14 £160
2.16 £0
2.20 £22
2.22 £16
2.24 £40
2.28 £215
2.30 £4
2.32 £90
2.36 £11
2.40 £20
2.42 £231
2.50 £197
2.54 £9
2.62 £144
2.70 £15
2.74 £6
2.80 £51
2.82 £600
2.90 £4
3.00 £1,094
3.05 £60
3.10 £30
3.15 £13
3.20 £24
3.25 £170
3.35 £27
3.40 £18
3.50 £260
3.55 £142
3.60 £29
3.65 £20
3.90 £13
4.00 £124
4.10 £16
4.20 £181
4.30 £42
4.40 £22
5.00 £46
5.10 £4
5.50 £10
6.00 £30
6.20 £13
6.40 £20
6.60 £14
8.00 £4
8.40 £49
8.60 £27
9.60 £31
9.80 £208
10.00 £511
10.50 £593
11.00 £3,415
11.50 £804

Leopardstown 1.05
1st 9 Jamaayel 6-1
2nd 6 Blaze Brightly (IRE) 8-1
3rd 2 Intapeace (IRE) 6-1
11.51 £140 £1,46