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Backing Over 0.5 goals @ Half Time.
Backing Over 0.5 goals @ Half Time.
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Replies: 140
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im talking about having knowledge and thinking there will be a late goal... not just doing randomly on any game btw
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Lifter I see what you're saying, TSO ... anyway.
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Both rely on not being hit by a 0-0
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Ok I'll explain this in laymans terms.
TSO you are taking a massively helicopter view that what will be will be. TOO helicopter. THESE guys are making the observation that in some games, statistically, they may change at HT, so it's not linear, as a statistic, across the game. Some teams may be happy with 0-0. Some only brighten up second half. Etc. Etc. This is quite obvious, I know you've been kicking about the forums for years so I can't understand if you're being deliberately obtuse, or just don't understand the basics of how someone might observe and obtain an edge?! |
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You could say that about any market thought TSO. Say punter A gets on a team to win at the start and Punter B gets on at half time, Punter B is having the better oh the deal because of better odds. Same with laying the 0-0 at half time.
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Don't forget the OP is only laying 0-0 if score at HT is 0-0
If there is a goal in 1st half then the punter that lays 0-0 at HT missed out altoghther |
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Im out of this im going back to betting on South American football
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This really is simple, you can tell if this is going to be profitable or not by looking at the stats over the last say 5 to 10 premier league seasons to see what of results were 0-0
If this percentage is in your favour say less than 20% then you can profit laying 0-0 at HT or pre kick off by betting with a staking plan to use the % in your favour So just by looking at the stats you can answer the question that the opening poster is trying to answer (is laying the 0-0 at half time if score is 0-0 profitable) without even risking a penny Anyway good luck with it hope it works whoever is on it, im just not convinced |
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Blockfire I love south american football.
Argentinian 0-0s PUT MY QUINTUPLETS THROUGH COLLEGE!* * I don't have quintuplets. |
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Sorry blockfire, little joke to myself for two reasons :)
1. I made a similar joke about twins through college cos I made money on tonights RM loss and Barca a couple weeks ago ;) and 2. I used to (when I had time) get involved in the argie games and SO MANY were 0-0 it was so funny, and so many would sit on the match threads in anger having blown their bank on overs on a game that was like 8.0 0-0 at kick off :) |
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Ha, thats uneducated punters for you
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14/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Leicester v Hull - @ 1.44 |
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14/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Leicester v Hull - @ 1.44 lost £100 stakes = -£100.00 Running p/l = -£10.00 (excluding commission) |
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15/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Swansea v Liverpool - @ 1.33 |
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15/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Swansea v Liverpool - @ 1.33 won £100 stakes = £33.00 Running p/l = £23.00 (excluding commission) |
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21/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Aston Villa v Swansea - @ 1.36 West Ham v Sunderland - @ 1.32 |
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21/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Aston Villa v Swansea - @ 1.36 won West Ham v Sunderland - @ 1.32 won £100 stakes = £68.00 Running p/l = £91.00 (excluding commission) |
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Burnley 0 tottingham hotSpuds 0
This will have wiped out the £91 profit and running P/L would now be -£9 (prob more with the commission taken off) As i said this is just layign the 0-0 at a lower liability becuase you are only laying for 45 mins rather than 90 Since laying 0-0's doesnt work in the long term then i cant see this working either |
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5/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Burnley v Tottenham @ 1.36 |
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5/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Burnley v Tottenham @ 1.36 lost £100 stakes = -£100.00 Running p/l = -£9.00 (excluding commission) |
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11/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Southampton v Hull @ 1.38 Sunderland v Crystal Palace @ 1.34 |
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11/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Southampton v Hull @ 1.38 won Sunderland v Crystal Palace @ 1.34 won £100 stakes = £72.00 Running p/l = £63.00 (excluding commission) |
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12/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
QPR v Chelsea @ 1.3 |
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12/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
QPR v Chelsea @ 1.3 won £100 stakes = £30.00 Running p/l = £93.00 (excluding commission) |
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25/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
QPR v West Ham @ 1.34 West Brom v Liverpool @ 1.4 Burnley v Leicester @ 1.39 Crystal Palace v Hull @ 1.36 |
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Laying 0-0 in the first half is easy enough
to check, do that and save yourself some time. |
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25/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
QPR v West Ham @ 1.34 lost West Brom v Liverpool @ 1.4 lost Burnley v Leicester @ 1.39 won Crystal Palace v Hull @ 1.36 won £100 stakes = -£125.00 Running p/l = -£32.00 (excluding commission) |
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26/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Arsenal v Chelsea @ 1.31 |
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26/4/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Arsenal v Chelsea @ 1.31 lost £100 stakes = -£100 running p/l = -£132.00 (excluding commission) |
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2/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Swansea v Stoke @ 1.32 |
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2/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Man United v West Brom @ 1.35 |
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2/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Swansea v Stoke @ 1.32 won Man United v West Brom @ 1.35 won £100 stakes = £67.00 running p/l = -£65.00 (excluding commission) |
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9/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Everton v Sunderland @ 1.35 Hull v Burnley @ 1.35 |
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9/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Everton v Sunderland @ 1.35 won Hull v Burnley @ 1.35 won £100 stakes = £70 return Running p/l = £5.00 (excluding commission) |
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11/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Arsenal v Hull @ 1.31 |
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11/5/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Arsenal v Hull @ 1.31 won £100 stakes = £31.00 return Running p/l = £36.00 (excluding commission) |