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Welshie5121
11 Feb 15 21:43
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Date Joined: 09 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 7,330 | Blogger: Welshie5121's blog
Just started to try and put something together to see if this is worth it or not before I start staking money.

So, I will be aiming to back over 0.5 goals in any PL match that is 0-0 @ HT.

Odds will vary, as I have seen tonight.

I will post a running total etc, to see if it is profitable until the end of the season.

Input welcomed.

Thanks, Welsh.

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Replies: 140
By:
Welshie5121
When: 11 Feb 15 21:46
All running total will be worked out excluding commission to make it simple, and level stakes of £100 just as an example.
By:
Welshie5121
When: 11 Feb 15 21:46
11/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Chelsea v Everton - @ 1.23
Southampton v West Ham @ 1.33
West Brom vs Swansea @ 1.43
By:
Welshie5121
When: 11 Feb 15 21:48
11/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Chelsea v Everton - @ 1.23 won
Southampton v West Ham @ 1.33 lost
West Brom vs Swansea @ 1.43 won

£100 stakes = -£34.00 (excluding commission)
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Feb 15 21:50
GL, this works very well in a lot of South American games, as they tend to leave it late. (I usually back another to at 3s around 50min mark).
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Feb 15 21:51
*two
By:
The Special One™
When: 11 Feb 15 21:53
isn't this same as laying the 0-0 HT score, so you can play the 1st half, then play the 2nd half too if no goal in 1st half then double up the stake to recover lost stake on losing 0-0 HT lay  bet
By:
The Special One™
When: 11 Feb 15 21:54
But if it ends 0-0 your stuffed as usual
By:
Welshie5121
When: 11 Feb 15 22:13

Feb 11, 2015 -- 9:53PM, The Special One™ wrote:


isn't this same as laying the 0-0 HT score, so you can play the 1st half, then play the 2nd half too if no goal in 1st half then double up the stake to recover lost stake on losing 0-0 HT lay

By:
Welshie5121
When: 11 Feb 15 22:14
I will be getting involved in too many matches if I did that strategy.

Maybe it is something I will look at after this has run the course.
By:
The Special One™
When: 11 Feb 15 22:58

Feb 11, 2015 -- 10:14PM, Welshie5121 wrote:


I will be getting involved in too many matches if I did that strategy.Maybe it is something I will look at after this has run the course.


This is really just laying the 0-0 but with a lower liability than laying the 0-0 outright just before kick off, been loads of 0-0 challenges on here, and al of them ended up in smoke, good luck with it though is all down to how many 0-0's you manage to dodge, its like dodging bullets, you get hit by 1 eventually   

By:
Welshie5121
When: 21 Feb 15 16:05
21/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Sunderland vs West Brom - @ 1.45
By:
Welshie5121
When: 21 Feb 15 18:17
21/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Sunderland vs West Brom - @ 1.45 lost

£100 stake = -£100

Running p/l = -£134.00 (excluding commission)
By:
The Special One™
When: 21 Feb 15 18:23
I did warn you, see my post above

Some games are going to end 0-0 there's no getting away from that

So if you lay a 0-0 at HT, then why should that change? All your doing is still laying the 0-0 pre kick off but with a lower liability, therefore effectively your still laying 0-0 and dodging bullets
By:
Welshie5121
When: 21 Feb 15 19:31

Feb 21, 2015 -- 6:23PM, The Special One™ wrote:


I did warn you, see my post aboveSome games are going to end 0-0 there's no getting away from thatSo if you lay a 0-0 at HT, then why should that change? All your doing is still laying the 0-0 pre kick off but with a lower liability, therefore effectively your still laying 0-0 and dodging bullets


This is just an experiment of this strategy, like I said above.

I have already said I am going to continue to do this until the end of the season to see how it runs out.

Observe if you like, but please stop saying the same thing over and over, I heard you the first time.

Thanks, W.

By:
Welshie5121
When: 22 Feb 15 17:06
22/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Everton vs Leicester - @ 1.4
By:
Welshie5121
When: 22 Feb 15 17:09
22/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Everton vs Leicester - @ 1.4 won

£100 stake = £40 return

Running p/l = -£94.00 (excluding commission)
By:
The Special One™
When: 22 Feb 15 22:55
Well done, but I was only trying to stop you losing money as its just laying 0-0 with a lower liability,! I will just observe now Mischief
By:
littlegypt
When: 22 Feb 15 23:36
Brazil 1st&2nd div very profitable if 0-0 at HT
By:
fleetingglimpse
When: 23 Feb 15 18:30
Another Version would be to Lay half Time Draw at 10 points, back 1-1 at 2 points and 2-2 at 1 point,
By:
Lifter
When: 23 Feb 15 19:05

Feb 22, 2015 -- 11:36PM, littlegypt wrote:


Brazil 1st&2nd div very profitable if 0-0 at HT


this

By:
DirkDiggler
When: 23 Feb 15 19:52
What are the top 2 divs in Brazil called? (on BF) i've looked on BF and I can't work it out!

Laugh
By:
Blockfire
When: 23 Feb 15 19:58
Serie A & B. Season not started yet though.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 23 Feb 15 19:59
Right, that's what I got when I googled, didn't know it hadn't started, when do those leagues start?
By:
Blockfire
When: 23 Feb 15 20:05
Not 100% but April sometime I think.
By:
fleetingglimpse
When: 23 Feb 15 20:21
11/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Chelsea v Everton - @ 1.23 won
Southampton v West Ham @ 1.33 lost
West Brom vs Swansea @ 1.43 won

£100 stakes = -£34.00 (excluding commission)



How is that £34.00 profit??
By:
fleetingglimpse
When: 23 Feb 15 20:23
Got it, £34.00 Loss
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 23 Feb 15 20:28
Not 100% but April sometime I think.

Cheers.
By:
WordSoundIsPower
When: 23 Feb 15 20:45
Anyone doing this in Cagliari vs Inter Milan? 0-0 and nearly H/T. Podolski has missed some sitters, surely a goal coming in 2nd half?
By:
WordSoundIsPower
When: 23 Feb 15 20:46
H/T just gone. +0.5 is at 1.3 at the moment, not bad
By:
Welshie5121
When: 01 Mar 15 00:08
28/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Burnley vs Swansea - @ 1.3
Manchester United vs Sunderland - @ 1.25
Stoke vs Hull - @ 1.36
By:
Welshie5121
When: 01 Mar 15 00:11
28/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Burnley vs Swansea - @ 1.3 won
Manchester United vs Sunderland - @ 1.25 won
Stoke vs Hull - @ 1.36 won

£100 stakes = £91.00

Running p/l = -£43.00 (excluding commission)
By:
Welshie5121
When: 01 Mar 15 00:13

Feb 22, 2015 -- 11:36PM, littlegypt wrote:


Brazil 1st&2nd div very profitable if 0-0 at HT


I found that doing this on Argentinian football is profitable too.

By:
Welshie5121
When: 03 Mar 15 20:41
3/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Southampton vs Crystal Palace - @ 1.4
By:
Welshie5121
When: 03 Mar 15 21:53
3/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Southampton vs Crystal Palace - @ 1.4 won

£100 stakes = £40.00

Running p/l = -£3.00 (excluding commission)
By:
Welshie5121
When: 04 Mar 15 21:00
4/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Newcastle United vs Manchester United - @ 1.33
QPR vs Arsenal - @ 1.2
By:
Welshie5121
When: 04 Mar 15 21:39
4/3/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT

Newcastle United vs Manchester United - @ 1.33 won
QPR vs Arsenal - @ 1.2 won

£100 stakes = £53.00 return

Running p/l = [b]+ £50.00 (excluding commission)[/b]
By:
timbuctooth
When: 06 Mar 15 03:54
Am I missing something, or are you actually doing a bit better than that?


Welshie5121 22 Feb 15 17:09 
22/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Everton vs Leicester - @ 1.4 won
£100 stake = £40 return
Running p/l = -£94.00 (excluding commission)

with your next post saying


Welshie5121 01 Mar 15 00:11 
28/2/15 - Over 0.5 @ HT
Burnley vs Swansea - @ 1.3 won
Manchester United vs Sunderland - @ 1.25 won
Stoke vs Hull - @ 1.36 won
£100 stakes = £91.00
Running p/l = -£43.00 (excluding commission)


Which would leave you £90 up, overall?
By:
crackerpants
When: 06 Mar 15 06:18
Welshie try this one and let me know what happens try it for small stkes at first. lay the 0.0 ht. bet the draw ht in the same game. dont know bout prem. but i do it in championship and it works. the more games you play at the same time
By:
sonofshinner
When: 06 Mar 15 06:46
what percentage stakes do you use cracker
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