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Potential Selections - 15.04.14
17:00 - DNIPRO v VOLYN 18:00 - RIJEKA v ZADAR 21:10 - VELEZ v QUILMES |
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Off to work now but all 3 look good although the Argie game has an S/R lower than 3.00 so won't be a qualifier.....
Bet 34 - DNIPRO v VOLYN @ 17:00 Win: 1.22 ~ DNB: 1.05 ~ Lay: 20.00 S/R = 4.62 Bet 35 - RIJEKA v ZADAR @ 18:00 Win: 1.22 ~ DNB: 1.06 ~ Lay: 16.50 S/R = 5.43 |
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Potential Selections - 16.04.14
18:30 - SUNDOWNS v BLACK ACES 18:30 - WITS v MOROKA SWALLOWS 19:30 - BASEL v ZURICH 19:45 - MAN CITY v SUNDERLAND 19:45 - EVERTON v PALACE |
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Potential Selections - 17.04.14
18:45 - ST GALLEN v LAUSANNE 19:30 - PALERMO v REGGINA |
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Off out now and will update when I get back but the Palermo game looks promising
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Bet 36 - PALERMO v REGGINA @ 19:30
Win: 1.45 ~ DNB: 1.20 ~ Lay: 8.80 S/R = 6.87 |
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Potential Selections - 18.04.14
15:00 - BLACKBURN v YEOVIL 15:00 - BOURNEMOUTH v SHEFF W 15:00 - CHESTERFIELD v EXETER 16:00 - BRONDBY v SONDERJYSKE 19:00 - METZ v C.A BASTIA 19:15 - JIHLAVA v BOHEMIANS 19:30 - ST ETIENNE v RENNES 19:30 - ATLETICO v ELCHE 19:45 - SHEFF U v STEVENAGE |
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Bet 37 - BLACKBURN v YEOVIL @ 15:00
Win: 1.62 ~ DNB: 1.25 ~ Lay: 6.40 S/R = 3.15 Bet 38 - BOURNEMOUTH v SHEFF W @ 15:00 Win: 1.73 ~ DNB: 1.29 ~ Lay: 5.30 S/R = 3.97 |
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Potential Selections - 19.04.14
13:00 - CAEN v AUXERRE 14:00 - MILAN v LIVORNO 14:00 - PLATINUM v G. ARROWS 14:30 - DORTMUND v MAINZ 15:00 - BORO v MILLWALL 15:00 - BURTON v HARTLEPOOL 15:00 - FALKIRK v RAITH ROVERS 15:00 - HAMILTON v ALLOA 15:00 - VASLUI v C. BRASOV 15:30 - A. VIENNA v W'BERGER 17:00 - GALA v KASIMPASA 17:30 - CHELSEA v SUNDERLAND 17:30 - JUVE v BOLOGNA 18:00 - BARCA II v GIRONA 19:15 - M. BOLESLAV v JABLONEC |
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Bet 39 - A. VIENNA v WOLFSBERGER @ 15:30
Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.20 ~ Lay: 7.80 S/R = 3.54 |
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Vienna are playing ****, win looks unlikely
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Ha
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Ooooohhhhhhhhhhhhhh Vienna.
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Haha...can't beat a bit of Ultravox
![]() To be fair John you were right and Vienna were total sh!te in the 1st half mate! Can't work out if they improved or Wolfsberger tanked in the 2nd half but it had a happy ending either way ![]() |
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Potential Selections - 20.04.14
12:30 - KAISER'TERN v FSV 13:00 - MONACO v NICE 15:00 - DYNAMO KIEV v VORSKLA 16:00 - BORDEAUX v GUINGAMP 16:00 - VALLECANO v BETIS 16:00 - RECREATIVO v ALAVES 16:00 - TEPLICE v Z. BRNO 16:00 - AAB v RANDERS 18:00 - SEVILLA v GRANADA 18:00 - BENFICA v OLHANENSE |
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Bet 40 - VALLECANO v BETIS @ 16:00
Win: 1.95 ~ DNB: 1.44 ~ Lay: 4.80 S/R = 3.31 Bet 41 - TEPLICE v Z. BRNO @ 16:00 Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.17 ~ Lay: 8.60 S/R = 3.97 |
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Bet 42 - SEVILLA v GRANADA @ 18:00
Bet 43 - BENFICA v OLHANENSE @ 18:00 |
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That helps Rod to shake off the one from yesterday. Keep em coming.
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Potential Selections - 21.04.14
14:00 - MID'LLAND v VIBORG 15:00 - SHEFF WED v CHARLTON 15:00 - DERBY v BARNSLEY 15:00 - BRIGHTON v BLACKPOOL 15:00 - PRESTON v SHREWSBURY 15:00 - P'BORO v CARLISLE 15:00 - FLEETWOOD v WYCOMBE 15:00 - SOUTHEND v ACCRINGTON 19:15 - KOLN v BOCHUM 20:00 - MAN CITY v WEST BROM 20:00 - PORTO v RIO AVE 20:10 - GIMNASIA L.P v ALL BOYS |
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Bet 44 - MID'LLAND v VIBORG @ 14:00
Win: 1.53 ~ DNB: 1.22 ~ Lay: 8.20 |
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Bet 45 - DERBY v BARNSLEY @ 15:00
Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.18 ~ Lay: 8.00 Bet 46 - BRIGHTON v BLACKPOOL @ 15:00 Win: 1.45 ~ DNB: 1.15 ~ Lay: 9.20 Bet 47 - PETERBOROUGH v CARLISLE @ 15:00 Win: 1.62 ~ DNB: 1.25 ~ Lay: 6.80 |
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Bet 48 - KOLN v BOCHUM @ 19:15
Win: 1.40 ~ DNB: 1.12 ~ Lay: 10.50 |
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Potential Selections - 23.04.14
15:00 - SEVASTOPOL v M. ZAPOR'YA 17:00 - SHAKHTAR v TAVRIYA 17:30 - PSG v EVIAN |
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Bet 49 - SEVASTOPOL v M. ZAPOR'YA @ 15:00
Win: 1.73 ~ DNB: 1.30 ~ Lay: 5.70 S/R = 4.44 |
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ttt
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This looks to be the last day of 'Home Favourites II' before a break for a reassessment as I'm sure there will be at least one qualifier on this busy day which will take me to the 50 bet mark. I'm thinking of doing something slightly different this time though as with May approaching, viable betting propositions will be few and far between although various leagues will thankfully still be up and running.
Envisaging this slower period on the domestic football front, I began to formulate another market-based method as of Feb 1st on horse racing which adopts similar characteristics to this approach with football. Thus far it has shown a profit in 10 out of 12 weeks so I plan to post 'qualifying bets' on both football & racing for just the month of May to see how it goes but I can fully understand if you don't want non-footballing content on this section of the forum so just say if you don't fancy it. Cheers (apologies if I'm being thick but what's ttt mean?) |
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to the top
Keep going Rod, see you around next season after the usual 6 games to qualify? |
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Enjoyed the thread Rod,by all means post the horse selections on this thread,keeps it alive.
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Ok cheers fellas
![]() Bet 50 - MAN UTD v NORWICH @ 17:30 Win: 1.33 ~ DNB: 1.12 ~ Lay: 10.50 |
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All the facts and figures for the final week are now up on the blog
.Despite a good week of 6 wins and a draw from 7 selections, an overall loss was posted over this current 50 bet period but still nicely in profit since the thread started. I'll take a look at the data over the next couple days and explain any alterations that will be made for the next period. As stated previously, I'm planning to expand the portfolio with market-based lays on horses and also goal markets but I'll explain further on Wednesday. |
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A brief outline of the plan of action for May can be viewed on my Betfair blog under 'Changes for May'
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Home Favourites
No potentials I'm afraid .Goal Markets Games in Norway and Poland but will post if/when anything catches the eye. Racing Lays As explained on the blog, the following horses will be layed if their BSP drifts to the indicated amount and beyond..... 14:15 - SEDGEFIELD: TRIPLE EIGHT @ 6.60 14:35 - LINGFIELD: ANNALUNA @ 8.40 14:45 - SEDGEFIELD: EDMUND @ 3.45 15:15 - SEDGEFIELD: SHADRACK @ 2.40 15:35 - LINGFIELD: MARAAYILL @ 8.40 15:45 - SEDGEFIELD: MANNERED @ 9.40 15:55 - REDCAR: SPIRIT OR SOUL @ 4.00 16:20 - SEDGEFIELD: TWICE LUCKY @ 6.60 17:20 - TOWCESTER: MOULIN DE LA CROIX @ 8.40 17:40 - FFOS LAS: SUPREME BOB @ 5.50 18:15 - FFOS LAS: COPPER BIRCH @ 8.40 19:05 - TOWCESTER: TAKE THE CROWN @ 8.80 19:25 - FFOS LAS: DEVILS **** @ 5.50 As previously stated, the process in actioning these lays will become clearer as the days go by as I hope the daily review (which should be up by 11:00 tomorrow) will show. I also plan to put up all the previous selections since Feb 1st (including BSP, IP prices, results, P/L etc) on the blog when time allows ![]() |
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Well done rob
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01.05.14 - Daily Review
Well, not too much to report really as their were no qualifiers for any of the 3 methods yesterday. Although I think only 2 of the horses shortlisted won yesterday, unfortunately none of them drifted sufficiently as all had a BSP below the indicated price. I'm sure that will change today ![]() |
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Home Favourites
Shakhtar Donetsk - 17:30 - Illichivets' CFR Cluj - 19:00 - Concordia Chiajna Niort - 19:00 - Auxerre Caen - 19:00 - CA Bastia Metz - 19:00 - Tours Nancy - 19:00 - Istres Spezia - 19:30 Reggina Shamrock Rovers - 20:00 - Limerick Goal Markets Loads of games across Europe from 1200 till 2000 which I'm sure will yield a few qualifiers. Racing Lays 13:45 - CHEPSTOW: ROSIE REBEL @ 4.80 15:00 - M'SELBURGH: HIT THE JACKPOT @ 2.20 15:10 - LINGFIELD: MAISON BRILLET @ 7.80 15:25 - CHEPSTOW: SOLEMN @ 7.20 15:55 - CHEPSTOW: ROCK OF DREAMS @ 7.80 16:05 - M'SELBURGH: POWERFUL PRESENCE @ 4.20 16:15 - LINGFIELD: SPELLMAKER @ 7.80 16:30 - CHEPSTOW: LA NAPOULE @ 5.50 16:45 - LINGFIELD: PORT ALFRED @ 4.00 17:20 - LINGFIELD: TIJUCA @ 6.00 17:25 - FONTWELL: REQUIN @ 7.80 17:35 - CHEPSTOW: LAC SACRE @ 4.20 17:55 - FONTWELL: CLOUD CREEPER @ 7.80 19:00 - FONTWELL: SHES NOBLE @ 3.85 19:30 - FONTWELL: BALLYVONEEN @ 6.60 19:50 - BANGOR: EDMAAJ @ 5.50 |
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GL with new projects Rob
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Cheers chaps
![]() Goal Markets * 1700 - Rijeka v Drago: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.20 |
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Home Favourites
* 1900 - Metz v Tours: 1.62 ~ 1.29 ~ 7.40 Goal Markets * 1900 - Nancy v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.30 |
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Goal Markets
* 1945 - UCD v Drogheda: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 |
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02.05.14 - Daily Review
Home Favourites * 1900 - Metz v Tours: 1.62 ~ 1.29 ~ 7.40 = 1-1 FT (P/L: -£11.10) Goal Markets * 1700 - Rijeka v Drago: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.20 = 1-0 HT (P/L: +£2.96) * 1900 - Nancy v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.30 = 3-1 HT (P/L: +£4.13) * 1945 - UCD v Drogheda: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 = 0-1 HT (P/L: +£3.65) Racing Lays 15:10 - Lingfield: Maison Brillet @ 7.80 = BSP 8.20 (P/L: +£2.59) 16:05 - M'selburgh: Powerful Presence @ 4.20 = BSP 4.28 (P/L: +£5.67) Daily P/L = +£7.90 Monthly P/L = +£7.90 |