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Replies: 419
By:
robd270
When: 15 Apr 14 12:25
Potential Selections - 15.04.14

17:00 - DNIPRO v VOLYN
18:00 - RIJEKA v ZADAR
21:10 - VELEZ v QUILMES
By:
robd270
When: 15 Apr 14 13:47
Off to work now but all 3 look good although the Argie game has an S/R lower than 3.00 so won't be a qualifier.....

Bet 34 - DNIPRO v VOLYN @ 17:00

Win: 1.22 ~ DNB: 1.05 ~ Lay: 20.00

S/R = 4.62


Bet 35 - RIJEKA v ZADAR @ 18:00

Win: 1.22 ~ DNB: 1.06 ~ Lay: 16.50

S/R = 5.43
By:
robd270
When: 16 Apr 14 16:32
Potential Selections - 16.04.14

18:30 - SUNDOWNS v BLACK ACES
18:30 - WITS v MOROKA SWALLOWS
19:30 - BASEL v ZURICH
19:45 - MAN CITY v SUNDERLAND
19:45 - EVERTON v PALACE
By:
robd270
When: 17 Apr 14 11:16
Potential Selections - 17.04.14

18:45 - ST GALLEN v LAUSANNE
19:30 - PALERMO v REGGINA
By:
robd270
When: 17 Apr 14 14:10
Off out now and will update when I get back but the Palermo game looks promising Happy
By:
robd270
When: 18 Apr 14 11:50
Bet 36 - PALERMO v REGGINA @ 19:30

Win: 1.45 ~ DNB: 1.20 ~ Lay: 8.80

S/R = 6.87
By:
robd270
When: 18 Apr 14 11:51
Potential Selections - 18.04.14

15:00 - BLACKBURN v YEOVIL
15:00 - BOURNEMOUTH v SHEFF W
15:00 - CHESTERFIELD v EXETER
16:00 - BRONDBY v SONDERJYSKE
19:00 - METZ v C.A BASTIA
19:15 - JIHLAVA v BOHEMIANS
19:30 - ST ETIENNE v RENNES
19:30 - ATLETICO v ELCHE
19:45 - SHEFF U v STEVENAGE
By:
robd270
When: 18 Apr 14 14:54
Bet 37 - BLACKBURN v YEOVIL @ 15:00

Win: 1.62 ~ DNB: 1.25 ~ Lay: 6.40

S/R = 3.15


Bet 38 - BOURNEMOUTH v SHEFF W @ 15:00

Win: 1.73 ~ DNB: 1.29 ~ Lay: 5.30

S/R = 3.97
By:
robd270
When: 19 Apr 14 12:00
Potential Selections - 19.04.14

13:00 - CAEN v AUXERRE
14:00 - MILAN v LIVORNO
14:00 - PLATINUM v G. ARROWS
14:30 - DORTMUND v MAINZ
15:00 - BORO v MILLWALL
15:00 - BURTON v HARTLEPOOL
15:00 - FALKIRK v RAITH ROVERS
15:00 - HAMILTON v ALLOA
15:00 - VASLUI v C. BRASOV
15:30 - A. VIENNA v W'BERGER
17:00 - GALA v KASIMPASA
17:30 - CHELSEA v SUNDERLAND
17:30 - JUVE v BOLOGNA
18:00 - BARCA II v GIRONA
19:15 - M. BOLESLAV v JABLONEC
By:
robd270
When: 19 Apr 14 15:25
Bet 39 - A. VIENNA v WOLFSBERGER @ 15:30

Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.20 ~ Lay: 7.80

S/R = 3.54
By:
Johnlyons
When: 19 Apr 14 16:19
Vienna are playing ****, win looks unlikely
By:
Johnlyons
When: 19 Apr 14 17:15
Ha
By:
This is for BIG Players only
When: 19 Apr 14 18:40
Ooooohhhhhhhhhhhhhh Vienna. Happy
By:
robd270
When: 19 Apr 14 21:52
Haha...can't beat a bit of Ultravox Laugh

To be fair John you were right and Vienna were total sh!te in the 1st half mate!  Can't work out if they improved or Wolfsberger tanked in the 2nd half but it had a happy ending either way Happy
By:
robd270
When: 20 Apr 14 10:21
Potential Selections - 20.04.14

12:30 - KAISER'TERN v FSV
13:00 - MONACO v NICE
15:00 - DYNAMO KIEV v VORSKLA
16:00 - BORDEAUX v GUINGAMP
16:00 - VALLECANO v BETIS
16:00 - RECREATIVO v ALAVES
16:00 - TEPLICE v Z. BRNO
16:00 - AAB v RANDERS
18:00 - SEVILLA v GRANADA
18:00 - BENFICA v OLHANENSE
By:
robd270
When: 20 Apr 14 15:59
Bet 40 - VALLECANO v BETIS @ 16:00

Win: 1.95 ~ DNB: 1.44 ~ Lay: 4.80

S/R = 3.31


Bet 41 - TEPLICE v Z. BRNO @ 16:00

Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.17 ~ Lay: 8.60

S/R = 3.97
By:
robd270
When: 20 Apr 14 17:59
Bet 42 - SEVILLA v GRANADA @ 18:00

Bet 43 - BENFICA v OLHANENSE @ 18:00
By:
This is for BIG Players only
When: 20 Apr 14 19:28
That helps Rod to shake off the one from yesterday. Keep em coming.
By:
robd270
When: 21 Apr 14 09:49
Potential Selections - 21.04.14

14:00 - MID'LLAND v VIBORG
15:00 - SHEFF WED v CHARLTON
15:00 - DERBY v BARNSLEY
15:00 - BRIGHTON v BLACKPOOL
15:00 - PRESTON v SHREWSBURY
15:00 - P'BORO v CARLISLE
15:00 - FLEETWOOD v WYCOMBE
15:00 - SOUTHEND v ACCRINGTON
19:15 - KOLN v BOCHUM
20:00 - MAN CITY v WEST BROM
20:00 - PORTO v RIO AVE
20:10 - GIMNASIA L.P v ALL BOYS
By:
robd270
When: 21 Apr 14 13:57
Bet 44 - MID'LLAND v VIBORG @ 14:00

Win: 1.53 ~ DNB: 1.22 ~ Lay: 8.20
By:
robd270
When: 21 Apr 14 14:59
Bet 45 - DERBY v BARNSLEY @ 15:00

Win: 1.50 ~ DNB: 1.18 ~ Lay: 8.00


Bet 46 - BRIGHTON v BLACKPOOL @ 15:00

Win: 1.45 ~ DNB: 1.15 ~ Lay: 9.20


Bet 47 - PETERBOROUGH v CARLISLE @ 15:00

Win: 1.62 ~ DNB: 1.25 ~ Lay: 6.80
By:
robd270
When: 21 Apr 14 19:05
Bet 48 - KOLN v BOCHUM @ 19:15

Win: 1.40 ~ DNB: 1.12 ~ Lay: 10.50
By:
robd270
When: 23 Apr 14 11:37
Potential Selections - 23.04.14

15:00 - SEVASTOPOL v M. ZAPOR'YA
17:00 - SHAKHTAR v TAVRIYA
17:30 - PSG v EVIAN
By:
robd270
When: 23 Apr 14 14:51
Bet 49 - SEVASTOPOL v M. ZAPOR'YA @ 15:00

Win: 1.73 ~ DNB: 1.30 ~ Lay: 5.70

S/R = 4.44
By:
DAFFODIL1
When: 25 Apr 14 15:25
ttt
By:
robd270
When: 26 Apr 14 09:51
This looks to be the last day of 'Home Favourites II' before a break for a reassessment as I'm sure there will be at least one qualifier on this busy day which will take me to the 50 bet mark.  I'm thinking of doing something slightly different this time though as with May approaching, viable betting propositions will be few and far between although various leagues will thankfully still be up and running. 

Envisaging this slower period on the domestic football front, I began to formulate another market-based method as of Feb 1st on horse racing which adopts similar characteristics to this approach with football.  Thus far it has shown a profit in 10 out of 12 weeks so I plan to post 'qualifying bets' on both football & racing for just the month of May to see how it goes but I can fully understand if you don't want non-footballing content on this section of the forum so just say if you don't fancy it.  Cheers Happy  (apologies if I'm being thick but what's ttt mean?)
By:
This is for BIG Players only
When: 26 Apr 14 11:47
to the top

Keep going Rod, see you around next season after the usual 6 games to qualify?
By:
DAFFODIL1
When: 26 Apr 14 12:15
Enjoyed the thread Rod,by all means post the horse selections on this thread,keeps it alive.
By:
robd270
When: 26 Apr 14 17:26
Ok cheers fellas Happy

Bet 50 - MAN UTD v NORWICH @ 17:30

Win: 1.33 ~ DNB: 1.12 ~ Lay: 10.50
By:
robd270
When: 28 Apr 14 12:41
All the facts and figures for the final week are now up on the blog Happy.

Despite a good week of 6 wins and a draw from 7 selections, an overall loss was posted over this current 50 bet period but still nicely in profit since the thread started.  I'll take a look at the data over the next couple days and explain any alterations that will be made for the next period.  As stated previously, I'm planning to expand the portfolio with market-based lays on horses and also goal markets but I'll explain further on Wednesday.
By:
robd270
When: 30 Apr 14 15:02
A brief outline of the plan of action for May can be viewed on my Betfair blog under 'Changes for May' Happy
By:
robd270
When: 01 May 14 12:13
Home Favourites

No potentials I'm afraid Sad.


Goal Markets

Games in Norway and Poland but will post if/when anything catches the eye.


Racing Lays

As explained on the blog, the following horses will be layed if their BSP drifts to the indicated amount and beyond.....

14:15 - SEDGEFIELD: TRIPLE EIGHT @ 6.60
14:35 - LINGFIELD: ANNALUNA @ 8.40
14:45 - SEDGEFIELD: EDMUND @ 3.45
15:15 - SEDGEFIELD: SHADRACK @ 2.40
15:35 - LINGFIELD: MARAAYILL @ 8.40
15:45 - SEDGEFIELD: MANNERED @ 9.40
15:55 - REDCAR: SPIRIT OR SOUL @ 4.00
16:20 - SEDGEFIELD: TWICE LUCKY    @ 6.60
17:20 - TOWCESTER: MOULIN DE LA CROIX @ 8.40
17:40 - FFOS LAS: SUPREME BOB @ 5.50
18:15 - FFOS LAS: COPPER BIRCH    @ 8.40
19:05 - TOWCESTER: TAKE THE CROWN @ 8.80
19:25 - FFOS LAS: DEVILS **** @ 5.50

As previously stated, the process in actioning these lays will become clearer as the days go by as I hope the daily review (which should be up by 11:00 tomorrow) will show.  I also plan to put up all the previous selections since Feb 1st (including BSP, IP prices, results, P/L etc) on the blog when time allows Happy
By:
DAFFODIL1
When: 01 May 14 18:59
Well done robHappy
By:
robd270
When: 02 May 14 11:04
01.05.14 - Daily Review

Well, not too much to report really as their were no qualifiers for any of the 3 methods yesterday.  Although I think only 2 of the horses shortlisted won yesterday, unfortunately none of them drifted sufficiently as all had a BSP below the indicated price.  I'm sure that will change today Happy
By:
robd270
When: 02 May 14 12:07
Home Favourites

Shakhtar Donetsk - 17:30 - Illichivets'
CFR Cluj - 19:00 - Concordia Chiajna
Niort - 19:00 - Auxerre
Caen - 19:00 - CA Bastia
Metz - 19:00 - Tours
Nancy - 19:00 - Istres
Spezia - 19:30    Reggina
Shamrock Rovers - 20:00 - Limerick


Goal Markets

Loads of games across Europe from 1200 till 2000 which I'm sure will yield a few qualifiers.


Racing Lays

13:45 - CHEPSTOW: ROSIE REBEL @ 4.80
15:00 - M'SELBURGH: HIT THE JACKPOT @ 2.20
15:10 - LINGFIELD: MAISON BRILLET @ 7.80
15:25 - CHEPSTOW: SOLEMN @ 7.20
15:55 - CHEPSTOW: ROCK OF DREAMS @ 7.80
16:05 - M'SELBURGH: POWERFUL PRESENCE @ 4.20
16:15 - LINGFIELD: SPELLMAKER @ 7.80
16:30 - CHEPSTOW: LA NAPOULE @ 5.50
16:45 - LINGFIELD: PORT ALFRED @ 4.00
17:20 - LINGFIELD: TIJUCA @ 6.00
17:25 - FONTWELL: REQUIN @ 7.80
17:35 - CHEPSTOW: LAC SACRE @ 4.20
17:55 - FONTWELL: CLOUD CREEPER @ 7.80
19:00 - FONTWELL: SHES NOBLE @ 3.85
19:30 - FONTWELL: BALLYVONEEN @ 6.60
19:50 - BANGOR: EDMAAJ @ 5.50
By:
madhatters
When: 02 May 14 15:05
GL with new projects Rob
By:
robd270
When: 02 May 14 16:57
Cheers chaps Happy

Goal Markets

* 1700 - Rijeka v Drago: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.20
By:
robd270
When: 02 May 14 19:00
Home Favourites

* 1900 - Metz v Tours: 1.62 ~ 1.29 ~ 7.40

Goal Markets

* 1900 - Nancy v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.30
By:
robd270
When: 02 May 14 19:41
Goal Markets

* 1945 - UCD v Drogheda: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60
By:
robd270
When: 03 May 14 11:08
02.05.14 - Daily Review

Home Favourites

* 1900 - Metz v Tours: 1.62 ~ 1.29 ~ 7.40 = 1-1 FT (P/L: -£11.10)


Goal Markets

* 1700 - Rijeka v Drago: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.20 = 1-0 HT (P/L: +£2.96)
* 1900 - Nancy v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.30 = 3-1 HT (P/L: +£4.13)
* 1945 - UCD v Drogheda: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 = 0-1 HT (P/L: +£3.65)


Racing Lays

15:10 - Lingfield: Maison Brillet @ 7.80 = BSP 8.20 (P/L: +£2.59)
16:05 - M'selburgh: Powerful Presence @ 4.20 = BSP 4.28 (P/L: +£5.67)


Daily P/L = +£7.90

Monthly P/L = +£7.90
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