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Home Favourites
Home Favourites
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Goal Markets
18:45 - Zürich v St. Gallen: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 |
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Goal Markets
20:00 - Montpellier v Bastia: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.65 |
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10.05.14 - Daily Review
Home Favourites 14:00 - Trencin v Ruzomberok: 1.62 ~ 1.25 ~ 5.70 = 3-0 FT (P/L: +£34.53) 14:00 - Palermo v Lanciano: 1.75 ~ 1.33 ~ 6.40 = 1-1 FT (P/L: -£9.45) 14:30 - Hoffenheim v Eintracht Braunschweig: 1.75 ~ 1.38 ~ 5.20 = 3-1 FT (P/L: +£43.77) 14:30 - Augsburg v Eintracht Frankfurt: 1.49 ~ 1.25 ~ 6.80 = 2-1 FT (P/L: +£29.13) Goal Markets 18:45 - Zürich v St. Gallen: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 = 1-0 HT (P/L: +£3.65) 20:00 - Montpellier v Bastia: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.65 = 0-1 HT (P/L: +£3.58) Racing Lays 14:55 - LINGFIELD: Sudden Wonder @ 6.60 = BSP 7.20 (P/L: +£3.01) 16:05 - HAYDOCK: Lockwood @ 4.20 = BSP 4.30 (P/L: +£5.67) 16:30 - NOTTS: Putra Eton @ 5.50 = BSP 6.80 (P/L: +£3.22) 16:50 - HEXHAM: Outlaw Tom @ 5.50 = BSP 5.60 (P/L: +£4.12) Daily P/L = +£121.23 Monthly P/L = +£258.40 |
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11.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 12:15 - Celtic v Dundee United 12:45 - CSKA Moskva v Tom' Tomsk 12:45 - Luzern v Lausanne Sport 13:30 - Vaslui v Otelul Galati 14:00 - AIK v Mjällby 14:30 - Greuther Fürth v Sandhausen 14:30 - Ingolstadt v Energie Cottbus 15:00 - Liverpool v Newcastle United 15:00 - Manchester City v West Ham United 15:00 - Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa 15:00 - Metalurh Donetsk v Metalurh Zap' 15:45 - Sparta Praha v Sigma Olomouc Racing Lays 15:15 - LUDLOW: Irish Buccaneer @ 4.80 16:15 - LUDLOW: Memorabilia @ 8.80 16:30 - PLUMPTON: Venetian Lad @ 9.40 |
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Goal Markets
12:15 - Celtic v Dundee United: Lay HT 0-0 @ 5.10 |
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Goal Markets
14:00 - Livorno v Fiorentina: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.90 |
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Goal Markets
14:30 - Union Berlin v 1860 München: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.50 14:30 - St. Pauli v Erzgebirge Aue: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.50 |
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Goal Markets
15:45 - Sparta Praha v Sigma Olomouc: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.10 |
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Goal Markets
12:15 - Celtic v Dundee United: Lay HT 0-0 @ 5.10 = 0-0 HT ~ 3-1 FT (P/L: -£5.00) 14:00 - Livorno v Fiorentina: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.90 = 0-0 HT ~ 0-1 FT (P/L: -£5.00) 14:30 - Union Berlin v 1860 München: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.50 = 0-1 HT (P/L: +£2.71) 14:30 - St. Pauli v Erzgebirge Aue: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.50 = 2-1 HT (P/L: +£2.71) 15:45 - Sparta Praha v Sigma Olomouc: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.10 = = 2-0 HT (P/L: +£3.06) Daily P/L = -£1.52 Monthly P/L = +£256.88 |
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12.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 18:00 - Malmö FF v Halmstad 19:00 - Steaua Bucureşti v Pandurii Târgu Jiu Racing Lays 14:10 - DONCASTER: Push Me @ 7.80 14:20 - LINGFIELD: Menelik @ 3.85 14:55 - LINGFIELD: Baltic Brave @ 4.20 15:05 - M'SELBURGH: Echo Of Lightning @ 5.50 15:30 - LINGFIELD: Speed Society @ 5.50 15:40 - M'SELBURGH: Fly Solo @ 5.50 15:50 - DONCASTER: Foxtrot Romeo @ 8.40 16:05 - LINGFIELD: Sequester @ 7.80 16:25 - DONCASTER: Gilbeys Mate @ 4.50 16:50 - M'SELBURGH: Cahal @ 6.00 17:00 - DONCASTER: Mariners Moon @ 2.20 17:20 - M'SELBURGH: Clumber Place @ 4.50 17:35 - DONCASTER: Derbyshire @ 6.00 18:50 - WINDSOR: Stampede @ 3.15 19:20 - WINDSOR: Ocean Tempest @ 3.30 19:30 - TOWCESTER: Sail And Return @ 5.50 19:50 - WINDSOR: Lady Marl @ 10.50 |
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12.05.14 - Daily Review
Racing Lays 14:10 - DONCASTER: Push Me @ 7.80 = BSP 8.80 (P/L: +£2.43) 14:20 - LINGFIELD: Menelik @ 3.85 = BSP 3.85 (P/L: +£6.66) 16:05 - LINGFIELD: Sequester @ 7.80 = BSP 9.40 (P/L: +£2.23) 16:50 - M'SELBURGH: Cahal @ 6.00 = BSP 9.40 (P/L: +£2.23) 17:00 - DONCASTER: Mariners Moon @ 2.20 = BSP 2.24 (P/L: +£15.32) 17:20 - M'SELBURGH: Clumber Place @ 4.50 = BSP 5.70 (P/L: +£5.13) 18:50 - WINDSOR: Stampede @ 3.15 = BSP 3.40 (P/L: -£20.00) Daily P/L = +£14.00 Monthly P/L = +£270.88 |
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13.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 19:00 - Caen v Nîmes 19:30 - Siena v Reggina Racing Lays 14:50 - SEDGEFIELD: Lost In Newyork @ 6.00 15:10 - WINCANTON: Another Brandy @ 4.00 15:30 - BEVERLEY: Niceonemyson @ 6.00 15:40 - WINCANTON: Bostin @ 4.80 16:00 - BEVERLEY: Baraweez @ 4.80 16:20 - SEDGEFIELD: Edmund @ 3.45 16:30 - BEVERLEY: Stanarley Pic @ 6.00 18:40 - FFOS LAS: Doc Wells @ 3.15 19:05 - SOUTHWELL: At Reception @ 8.40 19:45 - FFOS LAS: On The Move @ 5.50 |
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13.05.14 - Daily Review
No qualifiers at all today I'm afraid but it's better than a losing day I suppose  Unfortunately won't be able to put anything up tomorrow as I'm out the door early in the morning to London all day (although I best be back for the Europa League final or I won't be happy  !) but normal service will be resumed Thursday. |
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Great thread Rob, hope to see it next season.
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Cheers Cloughie
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15.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 16:30 - Pandurii Targu Jiu v Corona Brasov 19:30 - Grasshopper v Luzern Racing Lays 13:45 - YORK: Ashpan Sam @ 13.50 14:00 - SALISBURY: Melrose Abbey @ 6.00 14:15 - YORK: Thistle Bird @ 7.20 14:35 - SALISBURY: War Spirit @ 7.20 14:45 - YORK: True Story @ 2.20 15:15 - YORK: Fury @ 8.80 15:25 - PERTH: Hold Em Cowboy @ 4.00 15:50 - YORK: Justice Day @ 3.30 16:35 - PERTH: The Shrimp @ 6.00 17:00 - YORK: Calculated Risk @ 8.80 17:05 - PERTH: Bordoni @ 5.50 (Evening meetings to follow later....) |
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15.05.14 - Daily Schedule (continued...)
Racing Lays 17:55 - NEWMARKET: Dandy @ 10.50 19:00 - NEWMARKET: Quest For More @ 3.85 19:35 - NEWMARKET: Cosette @ 3.85 |
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This might sound a bit biased considering my forum name but Arsenal are definitely a great selection for the "home favourites" Saturday considering we are in great form winning our last five league games and mostly all our best players are back fully fit and playing how they were when we were top of the league for so long. I know the match is a cup match and will be played in a neutral venue but I can't see any other result other than a Arsenal win especially as Hull will be without cup tied strikers Nikica Jelavic and Shane Long! 1.5 is also huge value!
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Hi Gooner,
Just PM'd you mate |
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15.05.14 - Daily Review
Another bet-less day..... Daily P/L = £0.00 Monthly P/L = +£270.88 |
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16.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 17:00 - Viking v Sandnes Ulf 17:30 - Dinamo Bucuresti v Sageata Navodari 19:05 - Stromsgodset v Sarpsborg 08 19:30 - Angers v Istres 19:30 - Brest v Châteauroux 19:30 - Astra Giurgiu v ACS Poli Timisoara Racing Lays 14:15 - YORK: Arab Spring @ 3.30 14:35 - NEWBURY: Balmoral Castle @ 4.00 15:15 - YORK: Radiator @ 8.80 16:00 - NEWMARKET: Gone Dutch @ 5.50 16:25 - YORK: Dusky Queen @ 6.60 16:45 - NEWBURY: Mushir @ 4.80 17:00 - YORK: Mairise @ 5.50 17:30 - AINTREE: Queen Olivia @ 9.40 19:00 - HAMILTON: Alluring Star @ 4.80 19:15 - AINTREE: Party Rock @ 7.80 19:35 - HAMILTON: Special Meaning @ 6.60 19:50 - AINTREE: Bears Affair @ 9.40 20:05 - HAMILTON: Ifwecan @ 7.80 20:25 - AINTREE: Vinnie My Boy @ 6.60 20:40 - HAMILTON: Hab Reeh @ 9.80 21:10 - HAMILTON: Manatee Bay @ 4.20 |
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Goal Markets
17:00 - Split v Lokomotiva Zagreb: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 |
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Home Favourites
19:30 - Brest v Chateauroux: 2.40 ~ 1.80 ~ 3.55 Goal Markets 19:30 - Angers v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.00 |
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16.05.14 - Daily Review
Early review today as I'm out all day tomorrow on the lash so unfortunately no selections but let's hope I sober up for Sundays action Home Favourites 19:30 - Brest v Chateauroux: 2.40 ~ 1.80 ~ 3.55 = 3-0 FT (P/L: +£82.35) Goal Markets 17:00 - Split v Lokomotiva Zagreb: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.60 = 0-0 HT ~ 1-1 FT (P/L: -£5.00) 19:30 - Angers v Istres: Lay HT 0-0 @ 4.00 = 0-0 HT ~ 1-0 FT (P/L: -£5.00) Racing Lays 17:30 - AINTREE: Queen Olivia @ 9.40 = BSP 15.00 (11.00 matched I.R) (P/L: +£1.90) Daily P/L = +£74.25 Monthly P/L = +£345.813 |
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19.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Needless to say, I hadn't sobered up by Sunday  . However, I'm ready for the final week so lets hope the profits continue.......Home Favourites None Racing Lays 14:40 - TOWCESTER: Umustbejoking @ 8.40 14:50 - REDCAR: Kiss From A Rose @ 7.80 15:20 - REDCAR: Biscuiteer @ 6.60 15:30 - SOUTHWELL: K Lightning @ 7.20 15:40 - TOWCESTER: Favoured Nation @ 3.85 16:00 - SOUTHWELL: Injaz @ 6.00 16:10 - TOWCESTER: Thoresby @ 7.20 16:20 - REDCAR: Another Wise Kid @ 7.80 16:30 - SOUTHWELL: Patrona Ciana @ 3.45 17:00 - SOUTHWELL: Sam Spade @ 5.50 17:30 - SOUTHWELL: Sakash @ 4.00 19:15 - LEICESTER: Busatto @ 6.60 19:45 - LEICESTER: Bold Lass @ 7.80 20:05 - WINDSOR: Cafe Society @ 2.70 20:45 - LEICESTER: Jarlath @ 4.20 |
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ever had a look at the top league in Estonia rob? needless to say, i'm no expert on it (is anyone?!) but there is a big gulf in the top few teams and the bottom few teams and whenever i've bet on the big teams at home they've invariably won, a lot of time 4/5-0.
got a good example of that with a game on at 5pm today. home team lost 1 in 55ish home games, away team not won in last 6 away |
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Snooki
Noticed that as well,away side don't concede many goals,average 1 a game and home side only 2 conceded. |
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Hi Snooki,
Cheers for the question. It's basically because from the outset, I knew it would only be possible to cover a finite number of leagues. As part of my selection process is based around market forces, there are considerably fewer domestic & continental outlets offering odds on these events and also a relative lack of liquidity on the exchanges which reduces the sample size and therefore the validity of any potential market movement that may occur. Hope it comes in for you if you're getting involved though |
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yeah, that's fair enough. good luck with your horses and cheers
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20.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 19:45 - Dundalk v Drogheda United Racing Lays 14:30 - NOTTS: Gold Club @ 8.40 15:00 - NOTTS: Sir Frank Morgan @ 3.45 15:10 - BATH: Kosika @ 3.45 15:30 - NOTTS: Heho @ 4.20 15:40 - BATH: Saxon Princess @ 4.20 16:10 - BATH: Spectator @ 3.45 16:20 - NEWCASTLE: Beat The Tide @ 6.00 16:30 - NOTTS: Rainbow Rock @ 3.45 16:50 - NEWCASTLE: King Of Eden @ 6.00 17:00 - NOTTS: Dawn Catcher @ 6.60 17:10 - BATH: Miss Tiger Lily @ 4.00 17:20 - NEWCASTLE: Dansili Dutch @ 6.00 17:50 - NEWCASTLE: Polar Forest @ 5.50 18:00 - YARMOUTH: Giantstepsahead @ 7.20 18:30 - YARMOUTH: Ela Goog La Mou @ 4.20 18:45 - WARWICK: Vincentti @ 10.50 19:00 - YARMOUTH: Emulating @ 5.50 19:15 - WARWICK: Katja @ 8.80 19:30 - YARMOUTH: Arctic Lynx @ 3.45 19:45 - WARWICK: Black Minstrel @ 3.15 20:30 - YARMOUTH: Lulu The Zulu @ 4.80 20:45 - WARWICK: Grayswood @ 6.00 |
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20.05.14 - Daily Review
Racing Lays 16:50 - NEWCASTLE: King Of Eden @ 6.00 = BSP 8.00 (P/L: +£2.71) Daily P/L = +£2.71 Monthly P/L = +£348.54 |
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21.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites None Racing Lays 14:00 - LINGFIELD: Men Dont Cry @ 5.50 14:40 - N. ABBOT: Miss Tenacious @ 4.80 14:50 - AYR: Hab Reeh @ 4.20 15:10 - N. ABBOT: Dan Breen @ 7.80 15:20 - AYR: Talented Kid @ 7.80 15:50 - AYR: True Pleasure @ 4.20 16:10 - N. ABBOT: Realta Mo Croi @ 3.85 16:50 - AYR: Imperial Legend @ 6.60 17:00 - LINGFIELD: Run It Twice @ 8.80 18:20 - KEMPTON: Lager Time @ 5.50 19:20 - KEMPTON: Magic Hurricane @ 7.80 20:20 - KEMPTON: Darnathean @ 7.80 |
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22.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites None Racing Lays 14:20 - AYR: Captain Scooby @ 8.40 14:40 - GOODWOOD: Gothic @ 7.80 15:25 - AYR: Henpecked @ 8.40 15:40 - WETHERBY: Gassin Golf @ 6.00 15:50 - GOODWOOD: Russian Realm @ 3.45 16:00 - AYR: Uncle Brit @ 6.60 16:25 - GOODWOOD: Jordan Princess @ 6.00 16:35 - AYR: Ingleby Symphony @ 4.80 16:50 - WETHERBY: Ballybough Gorta @ 8.80 17:10 - AYR: Uncle Dermot @ 5.50 17:45 - AYR: Monel @ 3.45 18:25 - SANDOWN: Vent De Force @ 7.20 19:35 - SANDOWN: Munaaser @ 3.45 19:50 - SALISBURY: Burnham @ 4.20 20:40 - SANDOWN: Gay Marriage @ 5.50 20:50 - SALISBURY: Gavlar @ 4.20 |
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22.05.14 - Daily Review
Racing Lays 19:35 - SANDOWN: Munaaser @ 3.45 = BSP 5.10 (P/L: +£4.63) 20:40 - SANDOWN: Gay Marriage @ 5.50 = BSP 6.40 (P/L: +£3.46) Daily P/L = +£8.09 Monthly P/L = +£356.63 |
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23.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 20:00 - Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians Racing Lays 14:00 - HAYDOCK: Luck Of The Game @ 2.70 14:40 - YARMOUTH: Strike A Light @ 7.20 14:50 - GOODWOOD: Red Refraction @ 4.00 15:05 - HAYDOCK: Red Pike @ 3.15 15:15 - YARMOUTH: Glorious Star @ 4.00 15:25 - GOODWOOD: Kalispell @ 6.00 15:40 - HAYDOCK: Aldborough @ 6.60 16:00 - GOODWOOD: Observational @ 3.85 16:25 - YARMOUTH: Kasbhom @ 6.60 17:45 - GOODWOOD: Groundworker @ 4.20 17:50 - TOWCESTER: Vedani @ 3.30 18:20 - TOWCESTER: Berties Desire @ 3.30 18:30 - PONTEFRACT: Im Super Too @ 6.60 19:00 - PONTEFRACT: Aramist @ 7.80 19:10 - M'SELBURGH: Here Now And Why @ 7.80 19:50 - TOWCESTER: Lady Fingers @ 8.80 20:00 - PONTEFRACT: Lothair @ 7.80 20:30 - PONTEFRACT: Chortle @ 6.60 20:40 - M'SELBURGH: Twin Appeal @ 2.86 21:10 - M'SELBURGH: Outlaw Torn @ 6.00 |
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Goal Markets
16:30 - Honka v IFK Mariehamn: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.40 16:30 - Lahti v TPS: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.05 |
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23.05.14 - Daily Review
Goal Markets 16:30 - Honka v IFK Mariehamn: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.40 = 1-0 HT (P/L: +£3.95) 16:30 - Lahti v TPS: Lay HT 0-0 @ 3.05 = 1-0 HT (P/L: +£4.64) Racing Lays 15:15 - YARMOUTH: Glorious Star @ 4.00 = BSP 4.60 (P/L: +£5.19) 20:30 - PONTEFRACT: Chortle @ 6.60 = BSP 8.40 (P/L: +£2.52) Daily P/L = +£16.30 Monthly P/L = +£372.93 |
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24.05.14 - Daily Schedule
Home Favourites 15:00 - Elfsborg v Örebro Racing Lays 13:35 - HAYDOCK: Glenard @ 7.80 14:00 - BEVERLEY: Genius Boy @ 3.85 14:05 - HAYDOCK: Out Do @ 9.80 14:40 - HAYDOCK: Hot Streak @ 5.50 14:50 - CATTERICK: Green Howard @ 8.80 14:55 - GOODWOOD: Wahaab @ 8.40 15:10 - HAYDOCK: Joyeuse @ 7.80 16:00 - CATTERICK: Miss Macnamara @ 3.30 16:05 - GOODWOOD: Debdebdeb @ 4.20 16:20 - HAYDOCK: Wrangler @ 4.00 16:40 - GOODWOOD: Mon Brav @ 3.45 16:50 - BEVERLEY: Sooqaan @ 6.00 17:10 - CATTERICK: Meshardal @ 6.00 17:25 - BEVERLEY: Joyful Sound @ 8.80 18:05 - FFOS LAS: One For The Boss @ 7.80 18:50 - CARTMEL: Danny Cool @ 5.50 19:10 - FFOS LAS: Zarzal @ 3.85 19:40 - FFOS LAS: Five Star Wilsham @ 4.80 20:15 - FFOS LAS: Langarve Lady @ 2.70 |
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24.05.14 - Daily Review
Racing Lays 18:50 - CARTMEL: Danny Cool @ 5.50 = BSP 7.40 (P/L: +£2.92) Daily P/L = +£2.92 Monthly P/L = +£375.85 |
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Well...that was that then! I'm off for a week now and I must say the results throughout the month far surpassed my expectations.
As I'm sure you're aware, 'Home Favourites' has been going quite a while now and has been tweaked and refined from it's infancy at the start of the year to become a solid method which has consistently shown a profit so it's continued positive performance in May cemented my optimism. As for the newcomers, the figures were very encouraging. Both 'Goal Markets' and 'Racing Lays' posted profits to a very decent level considering stakes have been kept to a cautious minimum. Due to this continued success for both approaches, I feel little need to tinker with either method and am looking to increase the stakes in the future (maybe adding 1% to each respective system?). As for the future, I'm thinking about looking into maybe two additional markets that I may move into (an 'Unders' spin on my current 'Goal Markets' approach & 'Tennis Trades') although a little more thought and research needs to be done before I get involved (and starting out with minimum stakes naturally). A breakdown of all the facts and figures for the month can be found on the blog so take a look if you're interested and I wish GL to all in the meantime |