Monday:

49. Lokomotiv Moscow to beat Amkar Perm £105.20 at 1.04


Just after HT, Loko 2-0 up.

*UEFA members. Whatevs. Still bonkers.

51. Lay Copenhagen at 16 v Galatasaray - liability £112.95

Gala currently 1-0 up, 28m in. Can't bring myself to trust Moyes' United to hold on with Jones and Evans at CB. Tempted to go for the 1.03 in the Bayern and PSG games, but decided to make things a little more interesting. Gala should be decent enough to avoid defeat to Copenhagen, let's hope Mancini is as defensive-minded as ever.

Distracted slightly in the early batch of Europa League matches and missed any value, attempted to lay the unquoted in the Spurs match at 2-0, only managed to get a bit matched. Also tried to get on Fiorentina +1 at 1-0, again only getting a bit matched before 2-0.  Swithered over Valencia at 1.05 at 2-0 but decided not to trust them. Gutted

Anyway:

52. Rubin Kazan +2 v Wigan £119.07 at 1.06


HT 1-1.

Considered lumping on Eintracht Frankfurt, 1-0 up against 10 men at home, but decided on this - surely Rubin won't collapse against a Championship team.

so far so good, u r doing great. like reading ur little analyses. keep up the good work.

Final score 31-13 - although to be honest I'm probably more chuffed I have Cam Newton (221 yards, 2 TDs) in my fantasy team this week than I am about Carolina winning

Another away day for me tomorrow, going to see the Dons strut their stuff at sunny Easter Road. Staying in Edinburgh overnight so placing Saturday's bet now, hopefully get back home at a decent time on Sunday ie when there's still decent football on.

Saturday:

54. Lay RKC Waalwijk v Ajax at 18 - liability £129.88


Although Ajax don't seem to be firing on all cylinders domestically - and unfortunately managed to lose to Celtic midweek - their home form is still as impressive as ever, 5 wins from 5 in the league this season and unbeaten at home since November last year. RKC slipped to the bottom of the table tonight and still looking for their first away win. The h2h is predictably, but still hilariously, lopsided as well, 1 win in the last 39 meetings for Waalwijk, and that was in 1999 (although I shouldn't laugh too much, sounds a bit like our record against Celtic actually)

Not a big fan of leaving bets open that I won't be able to follow, but this surely shouldn't be anything to worry about. Surely.

A pleasing weekend, only thing better than a late goal for your team is two late goals The SPFL Youtube site has match highlights up with the caption "Dons beat Hibs to keep title challenge on track", although I wouldn't advise piling in on it. Not just yet.

Checked my phone at about 21:15 yesterday expecting to see Ajax 3 or 4 up, so was a bit tense. Ended up following the last 5 mins on the 365 mobile site, which is hardly ideal for either the nerves or the phone battery! Still, looked a pretty one-sided game from the stats and just provided further proof that backing goals in general and o0.5s in particuar is a recipe for disaster.

I digress. Sunday's bet is:

55. Lazio to beat Cagliari £136.07 at 1.05

Placed about 5 mins ago, before I started typing, so about the 65th min with Lazio up 2-0

I did have a more timely post written out, but got a few tabs open and seem to have misplaced it.

56. Green Bay Packers to beat Minnesota £141.57 at 1.06


This was placed just after GB went 24-10 up with about 1:15 left in the first half. Since then the Vikings went up the field and managed to get a TD back, which caught me slightly by surprise as they've shown absolutely nothing at all before that, so it's 24-17 at the half. Still should be a routine win, the Vikings are pretty much the definition of a one-man team, and although Peterson is a hell of a player, there's a reason Minnesota have only won 1 of 6 games this season.

Literally just in the door, didn't have time this morning to study the fixture list and have a pre-match bet.

Am on the following now:

57. Lay Barcelona to score 5 or more at 20 - liability £148.39

This was placed at HT. Obviously didn't see the first half but the Sky studio seemed to think it was pretty even stuff, so went for it. Obviously could have done without the quick goal after the break, but hopefully they won't push forward too much.

Wednesday:

58. Real Madrid +1 v Sevilla £155.02 at 1.07


Sevilla haven't won away in La Liga for well over a year. Can't see them winning tonight, and the +1 handicap works out with a bit more profit than laying Sevilla at 16.

...although at 3-2 HT, might have to watch the second half after all.

Nice1 milla and well done Aberdeen, a fantastic spirit in the team to take them to cup glory??? Graeme Park will be buzzin

That was placed in the 92nd minute at 2-1 Atletico, just after Granada pulled one back. Nit more rushed than usual, since I prefer to post what I'm betting on before the event finishes. Although I suppose if I did it that way round it would be a bit easier

Ashamed to say I had to google Graeme Park - I must be getting old

It's a decent draw I suppose, think opinion was pretty split on our forums as to who the best opponent for us would be, would rather have had either of the other two myself, our games against St Johnstone have been pretty tight recently, drew 0-0 with them at Pittodrie earlier in the season.

Not unduly worried though, the way we've been playing the last few weeks we'll be ok, more concerned that we get the Saturday semi - the Sunday one would be a logistical nightmare for me. But that's purely selfish.

Plenty of short odds tonight, so a bet should present itself relatively easily. Should be fun.

Nice work milla, hope you get the saturday semi chief. PSG.. avoid at all costs nice1.

Switched the Real game off at 3-0, looks like I missed a belting finish


62. Phil Taylor to beat James Wade £185.29 at 1.06


Taylor currently 3-1 up, first to 10. Can't see Wade waving the Power off tonight - although I'd still quite enjoy it if if he did.

Seconds away from getting 1.05 on the Seattle Seahawks in overtime in the NFL last night, which would have made things slightly easier with regard to Monday's bet. Plan B was the tennis at the 02, but the game on just now could go either way at this point. I don't like sticking money on things I can't at least follow, which rules out most of tonight's football - apart from a game in Romania, but I'm not sticking almost £200 on Romanian football, since it's dodgy as ****.

So, sticking to what I know for Monday.


63. Lay Partick/Partick HT/FT v the mighty Dons at 12.5 - liability £194.29

Annoyingly, market has moved downwards since I placed the bet, so could have got even more bang for my buck. Never mind.

With regards to the game, we're not bad at home these days - only team to beat us at Pittodrie so far were the Plastic Irish, and that thanks to a red card for our keeper, a penalty and a deflected late winner, before that we easily held our own (from what I can remember, I was admittedly a bit drunk) Partick aren't complete mugs away from home, but our defence, which has only conceded two goals in our last 10 games (including destroying Thistle 3-0 away) should be good enough to keep them out. Both our regular full backs are out tonight, although tbh our regular left back is a bit of a bombscare anyway and we've got decent cover in our squad.

And there's also the statistical nugget, which I was unaware of before looking at the BF stats, that no team has scored more second half SPL goals this season than us, so if we do end up being behind at HT it's not necessarily tatties for the bet.

Prime time Monday Night Football spot on Sky tonight, can't be any worse than yesterday's "offerings" - although I have a feeling Neville and Carragher and their fancy studio toys will be given the night off.

Wish me (and us) luck. COYR

Still going well i see and yeah, that McGinn looks a decent prospect, great FK and looks talented and comfortable on the ball. No Scotland caps ???

Fell asleep on the couch and seem to have missed most of the CL action.

64. Lay Anderlecht at 22 v Paris St-Germain - liability £189.84


Originally the market was at 23, but moved down to 22 as the countdown was happening. So if Anderlecht win I get to keep an extra £20 from the challenge

Placed in approximately 78' at 1-1