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8 goals or more 1.43
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laying that little blighter
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tobermory 19 Jun 13 22:33 Joined: 01 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 33,596 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
it's incredibly rare any side gets in to double digits in competitive football, no matter what teams are playing Can you name a single example of a team as good as Spain playing a team as bad as Tahiti ? ______________ Hmm yeah,but it doesn't work like that - fopotball isn't a mathmatical formula for example, If Bulgaria beat Faroe 5-0 it doesn't necessarily follow that Germany would beat the Faroes by more just because Germany are a better team than Bulgaria - i think this is where a lot of gamblers come unstuck |
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Germany would be far more likely to win by more though, they might not , but you'd expect them too .
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Anyone else that wanted to back Spain @ 1.01 but obviously can't at the moment? Don't think I've ever seen a team unavailable to back like that.
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i'm curious, are you aware that you're betting on over 9 goals to be scored at odds of about 1.92? does that actually register in your head?
seriously people, i'm all for backing goals and handicaps but backing cricket scores just because it's Spain is a recipe for disaster - look at FA Cup giant killing or the likes of Faroe Islands, San Marino, Haiti, Liechtenstein, Malta, Andorra etc... it's incredibly rare any side gets in to double digits in competitive football, no matter what teams are playing. i'm gonna be laying anything over 10+ all day long as i feel it's almost too good to be true - over 15.5 goals matched at 12's - who in the right mind thinks this will end *at least* 16-0??? yes it registers thank you. ive never backed such a score in my life before. and ive been betting over 20 years. probably never will back such a score again. i wouldnt dream of backing over 8.5 if man utd played carshalton at home. but this is the best team in the world against a team who (on the nigeria game) would struggle to stop a sunday league team put 5 past them. ive never seen such a bad defensive performance in my entire life. i backed over 8.5 at 2.2ish for a grand and over 9.5 at 3.2ish for a grand. i dont have any second thoughts about it. if it loses it loses, but id make over 8.5 about 1/2 on how tahiti's defence played the other night. actually if i was laying, i wouldnt even lay it at 1/2. id regard it as a dodgy lay. i can afford to lose, i wont even really care if i do. cos i regard it as a good bet. i dont mind losing bets im confident on, cos they cant always win. |
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statistically maybe , but look back in history at all the high scoring games ...we will say 7 goals or more ...and i'm sure you will find they arent all scored against bottom sides by top sides ...there is a lot of randomness
Spain might be motivated by the goal difference factor ,although as long as they make it to 7 that should see them through imo |
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^to tobers
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JC i believe Hills had them at 1.01 this afternoon - bet that isn't on the board now
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B365 is up at 1.002
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how do post a reply keeping the original text?? i feel like a right plonker rodney doing it wrong!
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San Marino losing 11-0 to Holland and 13-0 to Germany are probably the only recent examples that get close to this mis-match
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I do feel that Spain will have to try harder to NOT score 8 than to score 8.
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oh yeah. thanks. ive never even seen that live view button. im obviously as observant as a really oblivious swan.
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the side Spain will be putting out. It's not a full strength side
lol , you need to look at who is in the Spain 'reserves' Better team than Brazil |
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Playing the reserves might work in their favor, players trying to impress so they get to play in the other important games and i'm sure whoever is playing upfront wont mind scoring the goals for top goalscorer of the tournament.
worth a small punt on the big overs imo |
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their reserves are Mata, Silva, Torres, Villa, Cazorla, Navas. Not exactly struggling for options.
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Coachbuster
Date Joined: 08 Apr 06 Blogger: Coachbuster's blog Add contact | Send message 19 Jun 13 22:51 Joined: 08 Apr 06 | Topic/replies: 23,643 | Blogger: Coachbuster's blog JC i believe Hills had them at 1.01 this afternoon - bet that isn't on the board now ----------- I bet that's just there for their own intelligence purposes. anyone backing will go straight to the front of the queue to get shut down. |
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or they will be restricted to 99p
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viva
wouldn't put it past them ![]() |
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I got a lot on this afternoon, but not a full bank job, though I may still put that much on. Just bizarre that only them and two others have it.
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wonder if anybody got any of that 1.02 on Spain on here
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Fair play to Tahiti though for single handedly reviving the football forum. 900+ posts for their first game and this thread will do well over 1000 posts by the end of tomorrow
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Then we have them to play Uruguay
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A bot must have gone bonkers on the correct score 2 home market? I really don't expect Tahiti to score, think a Spain clean sheet is also over priced, and personally think Spain will ratchet up 8 or more but 299/1 on 7-1 and 6-1 is absurd. The relative prices of 7-0 and 7-1 make a clean sheet 1.06.
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what an insane penalty in the **** match!
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clydebank - i can only assume its the likelihood of different Spanish goal outcomes ,but 260 is mental imo
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can john hartson pronounce any words correctly?
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ahh wrong thread haah
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this has somehow become one of the most eagerly anticipated internationals for years
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i actually think uruguay will score even more against them
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Biscuit1979, I agree but for all the wrong reasons.
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is there a mythical market anywhere for
spain goals against tahiti v uraguay goals against tahiti ??? |
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its not really needed, just wait until the spain game is over and say they score eight...if you think uruguay will score more back over 8 and less under 8, it just about amounts to the same thing
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Tahiti manager:
''But even if they score 15 or 20 goals, I would be happy if we scored one. Spain have won two European titles and the World Cup and the players on the bench are all stars. Spain is the top football nation and Uruguay only managed 28 per cent possession against them on Sunday, and I would be happy with that. But whatever happens, I do not want to play defensively and sit back and stay in our own half. When we get the ball I want us to go forwards and look for a goal." ![]() ![]() |