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1/66 spain to beat tahiti
1/66 spain to beat tahiti
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I suppose theres an awkward 'cut-off' point in this game where we are guessing, and the prices up to that point are not worth backing really.
That cut-off point I would suggest is for o 8.5 where the pirce is currently evens. I would say if Nigeria can score 6 then spain if really wanting it, can get more, but then id also say anything over 10 is asking a little too much even for them because I doubt they'll just keep firing on all cylinders one they scored say, 8...for that reason id play safe and back o 7.5 and hope the price on that gets better not worse. |
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Good, sensible post Tony Broke.
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henok 19 Jun 13 12:10 Joined: 12 May 10 | Topic/replies: 5,190 | Blogger: henok's blog
the people laying the likes of 4-1,5-1.... at above 200 must go to a mental institution. why on earth do they lay at that price when they can lay tahiti to win between 400 and 600 __________ spot on henok  |
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imo if you are going to back over 7.5 you might as well bet Spain -7 @ around 1.8 on here, seeing as it is quite unlikely Tahiti will score and the odds are much better.
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If Tahiti don't turn up Spain would be awarded a 3-0 victory.
That is by far and away the best result they can hope for.  |
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again, imagine how boring this game would be without betting, and the variety of obscure markets you can bet on nowadays.
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Forum poll - after all this excitement about how many goals Tahiti will concede, do you think the Spain v Tahiti goal odds are..
a) Too short - Tahiti will play different tactics, Spain will be complacent and score maybe 5-6 b) Too long - Tahiti are awful, Spain will walk it into the net and score 10+ c) Just about right d) I dont have a ****g clue My vote is....d  |
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FWIW, I have backed Spain HT/FT @1.05...you can back over 4.5 goals at a similar price, but why bother?
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i suspect most people saying spain wont get 10 didnt watch the other game. id be surprised if they didnt get 10 personally. ive had a grand on over 9.5 and a grand on over 8.5
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This is not betting on football, it's too silly for words.
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If this was San Marino or Andorra I'd say it could be as little as 4-0 or 5-0. Difference is that those sides are better at defending because they have to do it all the time in European qualification, whereas Tahiti are playing teams who are vaguely on the same level as them, except for New Zealand. Tahiti therefore are much better going forward but are weaker at the back than the European minnows. Even if they try and play defensively they won't be at all successful. I would say Spain -7 was pretty safe, I wouldn't want to play any higher handicaps though.
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I expect San Marino have an experienced reasonably well paid professional coach. My understanding is that the Tahiti coach is officially unemployed.
I love betting on stuff like this. Far more interesting than a standard game of football. |
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Ken surely even you can find value in this game!
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I'll go: 8 spain goals
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Oceania should not get a direct spot in this tournament to start. And Oceania should check their heads to make sure they at least send the best possible representation, not by having a meaningless tournament to determine the rep.
No matter how you look at it the match is going to be a total farce. The only ones interested are degenerate gamblers and that's about it. |
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anyone seen the Betfair FO market: will Spain more goals than Tahiti's possession stat? It's 6/1 currently, what kind of %'s have we seen in the past for mismatches
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where is the market?
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go to Betfair sportsbook, navigate to Spain vs. Tahiti in the confed cup, make sure all markets is selected at the top and on my screen it's at the very bottom. my max was £10 though :/ but if Celtic only had 16% possession against Barcelona (and won) I think it could be value
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the possession will be around 90% so youre hoping again for 10/11 goals
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If I were Tahiti, I'd be pretty insulted by that market. I'll be taking the no at 1/10
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I expect San Marino have an experienced reasonably well paid professional coach
He's the longest serving national manager in Europe, and possibly the world. |
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I bet on football matches, this is not a football match.
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How can it be a match when it's ''no offers'' one side?
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kenilworth - i've never seen so many different bets on offer - a whole host of opportunities
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this game has the most strange cs2. if heiti score a goal which is a very likely many layers are going to lose a lot of money
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Plenty of 'opportunities' indeed, for the bookmakers IMO.
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henok - i have bought no end of those bets ...i call them super value ,i still can't see Spain getting 10 etc ,atleast not that quickly ..will be 3-0 at HT no doubt
but Kenilworth will still tell you there is no value |
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Just noticed Betfair have added an o15.5 market.
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would like a correct score 3 market for those 9-0,9-1,10-0 etc
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Barca always have mercy on their opponents when hammering them in the first half and I expect Spain to do the same and not break the 10 goal barrier. Those expecting 31-0 will be disappointed. Spain will spend lots of time just bopping about for a laugh and won't be too arrsed about going crazy on the goals.
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yeah me too, seeing as im on over 8.5 and 9.5. may be tempted to have a saver on 8-0 if it was up.
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I honestly think Spain will struggle to keep the scoring in single figures against Tahiti as they are so bad, maybe if they were park the bus merchants the score would be under 10 but i just cant see it as they try to play attacking football
The last quarter of the game against Nigeria they all looked very very tired and with Spain making some subs who i'm sure will want in on the action i expect there to be 5 or 6 in the last 20 minutes alone. will be having small bets on everything o8.5 looking forward to this one  |
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most of the betting fraternity seem to be hovering in around 6 - 7-0 as the most likely score
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it's incredibly rare any side gets in to double digits in competitive football, no matter what teams are playing
Can you name a single example of a team as good as Spain playing a team as bad as Tahiti ? If such games were common then 10+ scorelines would not be incredibly rare |
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yeah 6-0 has been specially heavily attacked
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