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Estudiantes - Any thoughts ?

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Replies: 400
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:10
because of the vast array of soccer games.. you bet very shrewdly and only on trades you are most confident about
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:10
you focus on laying the weak away team when they take the lead in the 1st half
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:11
i think this strategy can work long term.. someone convince me otherwise..
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:11
all you need is the game to be a draw/home win for your bet to win. and the home team are expected to win anyway
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:12
example of this today was CSS Turnu Severin taking the lead in Romania.. although the prices wasn't right there
StandingsRUSSIA: Premier Leag
By:
bkkboy
When: 04 Dec 12 02:13
i think it's doomed :)
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:13
I'm with bkk :)
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 04 Dec 12 02:14

Dec 4, 2012 -- 2:11AM, wisewords wrote:


i think this strategy can work long term.. someone convince me otherwise..


It all depends on the price. With a correct staking strategy and proper bank roll management, the only way to win long term is when the price is in your favour.

By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:14
really? it's laying... you need 2 runs out of 15 to be profitable each time..
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:15
also, you're betting slowly and are picky with your choices..
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:15
i think bet frequency must affect something..?
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:16
you wait for the opening to present itsef to you almost.. like when MG went 1-2 down against Cruz on Sunday
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:18
the weaker team will give up the win the majority of the time.. i fail to see how it fails with the necessary patience
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:19
Real Sociedad 5.4, Swansea 6.1, Ipswich 4.6, Vitesse 7.0, Evian 4.8, Servette 5.4, Bristol City 4.8, Clyde 4.8, Inverness 9.1, Stormogels 5.7, Wycombe 5.4, Exeter 4.8, Cruzeiro 4.6, Hercules 4.8, Rennes 6.5, Ebbsfleet 4.6, Almere 5.7

Some examples of underdogs this week winning away from home. Not all will have been leading at half time, I dont have those stats to hand and it's too late to do them Laugh
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:19
those prices were pre-match prices
By:
bkkboy
When: 04 Dec 12 02:19
Or just do asian handicap bets on underdogs............this is how I do it :)   Hint: Fortuna Dusseldorf away from home :)
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:20
That's scary that I trawlled most of those games this weekend Blush
By:
bkkboy
When: 04 Dec 12 02:20
when you are betting on 12x, there is too much vig to overcome, stick to AH
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:20
i think you'll find Servette were at home and drew 0-0 though.
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:21
yes sorry that was the Servette at Zurich match on the 24/11 (0-2)
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:22
Cruz didn't win either. They lost 3-2
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:22
to MG.
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:22
Rennes never lead, and were favourite against Troyes so that doesn't fit either.
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:22
Cruz at Fluminese on 18/11 (0-2) sorry my dates are all over the place!
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:23
Rennes was at PSG (1-2)
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:23
the away team has to be the smaller team, has to be leading at HT.
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:23
if it gets levelled in the 2nd half, you can trade out at big prices
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:23
lay 1.9, back 27 for example.
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:24
it's a pretty good system honestly.
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:24
yes, I'm not sure if they were leading at half-time, I dont have stats for that without staying up too late. I will try and do some tomorrow though for the interest :)
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:24
it's main flaw is it requires patience and is time consuming
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:25
you could lay Cruzeiro at 1.8 when they went 2-1 up early in the 2nd half. when MG equalised their price crashed to 10s
By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:26
how do you know if the price you are laying at is a good price or not?
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 04 Dec 12 02:26
Exactly.
By:
bkkboy
When: 04 Dec 12 02:26
when CSMS were 1-0 up today, there a similar price..........and won 3-0 Laugh
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:27
yeah, look in the topic for my post. it went something like 'can't bring myself to lay Iasi, galeti too wasteful.. off out for a run'
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:28
i watched roughly 8 mins of the 2nd half and came to that conclusion. came home to see 0-3 FT
By:
bkkboy
When: 04 Dec 12 02:28
try this system wisewords: Away team odds on favourite  -  back home team (+1) on AH, and "away team to win by exactly 1 goal", and perhaps some small bets on 0-2, 0-3 etc.........it's interesting :)
By:
wisewords
When: 04 Dec 12 02:29

Dec 4, 2012 -- 2:26AM, themover wrote:


how do you know if the price you are laying at is a good price or not?


motivation. MG needed to win to get 2nd place. Cruzeirio had nothing to play for.

By:
themover
When: 04 Dec 12 02:29
so if they had been 20/1 to lay you would have layed them?
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