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because of the vast array of soccer games.. you bet very shrewdly and only on trades you are most confident about
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you focus on laying the weak away team when they take the lead in the 1st half
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i think this strategy can work long term.. someone convince me otherwise..
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all you need is the game to be a draw/home win for your bet to win. and the home team are expected to win anyway
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example of this today was CSS Turnu Severin taking the lead in Romania.. although the prices wasn't right there
StandingsRUSSIA: Premier Leag |
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i think it's doomed :)
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I'm with bkk :)
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really? it's laying... you need 2 runs out of 15 to be profitable each time..
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also, you're betting slowly and are picky with your choices..
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i think bet frequency must affect something..?
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you wait for the opening to present itsef to you almost.. like when MG went 1-2 down against Cruz on Sunday
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the weaker team will give up the win the majority of the time.. i fail to see how it fails with the necessary patience
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Real Sociedad 5.4, Swansea 6.1, Ipswich 4.6, Vitesse 7.0, Evian 4.8, Servette 5.4, Bristol City 4.8, Clyde 4.8, Inverness 9.1, Stormogels 5.7, Wycombe 5.4, Exeter 4.8, Cruzeiro 4.6, Hercules 4.8, Rennes 6.5, Ebbsfleet 4.6, Almere 5.7
Some examples of underdogs this week winning away from home. Not all will have been leading at half time, I dont have those stats to hand and it's too late to do them ![]() |
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those prices were pre-match prices
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Or just do asian handicap bets on underdogs............this is how I do it :) Hint: Fortuna Dusseldorf away from home :)
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That's scary that I trawlled most of those games this weekend
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when you are betting on 12x, there is too much vig to overcome, stick to AH
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i think you'll find Servette were at home and drew 0-0 though.
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yes sorry that was the Servette at Zurich match on the 24/11 (0-2)
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Cruz didn't win either. They lost 3-2
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to MG.
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Rennes never lead, and were favourite against Troyes so that doesn't fit either.
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Cruz at Fluminese on 18/11 (0-2) sorry my dates are all over the place!
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Rennes was at PSG (1-2)
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the away team has to be the smaller team, has to be leading at HT.
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if it gets levelled in the 2nd half, you can trade out at big prices
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lay 1.9, back 27 for example.
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it's a pretty good system honestly.
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yes, I'm not sure if they were leading at half-time, I dont have stats for that without staying up too late. I will try and do some tomorrow though for the interest :)
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it's main flaw is it requires patience and is time consuming
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you could lay Cruzeiro at 1.8 when they went 2-1 up early in the 2nd half. when MG equalised their price crashed to 10s
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how do you know if the price you are laying at is a good price or not?
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Exactly.
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when CSMS were 1-0 up today, there a similar price..........and won 3-0
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yeah, look in the topic for my post. it went something like 'can't bring myself to lay Iasi, galeti too wasteful.. off out for a run'
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i watched roughly 8 mins of the 2nd half and came to that conclusion. came home to see 0-3 FT
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try this system wisewords: Away team odds on favourite - back home team (+1) on AH, and "away team to win by exactly 1 goal", and perhaps some small bets on 0-2, 0-3 etc.........it's interesting :)
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so if they had been 20/1 to lay you would have layed them?
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