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wot.a.save
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hope you've all greened out by the way
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san martin have awoke
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made up my luck has changed :)
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i greened the instant they scored lol, my pants were still on fire hehe
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that reminds me, if any1 didn't c it, vickerys column on bbc this week is bout the diff league formats in s america
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/20578920 |
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will have a read, thanks joe. what did you think of the mexico playoff final?
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22222222
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:(
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what's wrong?
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had ov 1.5, and took 50% loss after goal
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i'm sick of taking a red. it's my downfall. i leave them now
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would rather keep my conviction than the awful feeling of it coming in after i red out
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mexican was poor i thought man. was happy they won and that Martinez got assist 4 2nd goal but Toluca were v poor
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yeah Toluca disappointing. 2 quickfire goals in a boring match
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WISEWORDS. IS. BACK.
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cheers estudiantes aka newcastle united
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I don't usually get out of anything, but because it was such a borefest, I thought I would just cut my losses for once, silly me
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i cashd on shalke yesterday
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that hurt when they scored
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bkk, i had a nightmare weekend for backing out of stuff.
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so i won't do it anymore. if i lay a team and they go on to win, then i need to rethink my selection. not change my conviction every 5 mins
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I don't really understand why people do it to be honest. I see it all the time "greened out". If you identify value, then let it roll. You lose more in the long run by doing it than you win. And I just did it!
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there is honestly no way of doing it, i have kicked myself massivly for cashing out, and like wise for not, just back your hunch, and role with the punches
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lost out on a £450 win twice over the weekend. didn't bet on 1 of them, and took a £3 profit on the other
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instead of +£900.
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of shots i clearly identified as value, but then bottled it.
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however, i do think 'greening out' at prices below 1.1 is acceptable if you've backed at price evens or higher.
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still cutting your profits slightly by doing that, but surely it's sensible?
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hmmm.. explain why it isn't please..
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I can see both sides of the argument, but I agree it's not necessarily sensible. Greening out for greening out's sake is giving back value - albeit in this occasion small which is why I see both sides of the argument - and in the long run will stunt your winnings.
But everyone has their own opinions. And it possibly depends why you backed it in the first place. |
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Ok, in a nutshell, let's say we back something at 2.00, which we estimate true odds to be 1.9. And everytime we can green out at 1.10 or less, we do it. So basically, the value you initially identified has disappeared, because the true odds you receive on your trade will be 1.90, and probably a bit less. This discounts the times that you are in losing positions and unable to trade out, so basically, you are losing when you are losing, and cutting into the initial value you identified. It's a mental thing, because people don't have confidence in their ability to identify value and always looking to "book the win"
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good teams score late. thats all u need 2 have in ur head imo
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so you should let them all roll... the losers roll and the winners roll.. and if you're backing value you will come out on top slightly?
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say, out of 100 bets, you get 55 winners and 45 losers. backing each at evens with £10 stake, you will be up £100?
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if cash outs werent there then we wouldnt be having this conversation
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I tend to green out if I've had a big bet on the selection.
My view is that I am happy to lose out on a few extra quid by laying off (usually just my stake) at a short price as if I don't and the bet loses, I will chase and it will cost me more money overall as my head will be gone. |