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Chelsea 2.84 @ liverpool

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Replies: 549
By:
modk
When: 08 May 12 13:49
HKJC have the worst 1x2 prices
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 08 May 12 13:53
if the CL final was this weekend, you'd expect chelsea to field a weakened team.

but with a 10% chance of a top four finish and ten days recovery, I can't see why they wouldn't go all out to win this. plus some of their key players are banned for the CL final anyway, so no point resting them.
By:
high_lander
When: 08 May 12 13:53
tbh I think Chelsea will win, bearing in mind how bad Liverpool are at home these days + how average a side they are anyway.
By:
viva el presidente!
When: 08 May 12 13:54
modk
Date Joined:     07 Nov 04
Blogger: modk's blog
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08 May 12 13:49 Joined: 07 Nov 04 | Topic/replies: 18,590 | Blogger: modk's blog
HKJC have the worst 1x2 prices

-------

they're a protected monopoly. but their very worst prices tend to be on the big name teams.
By:
modk
When: 08 May 12 13:55
Poorest prices out of all the asian books, even their handicap lines are rubbish
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 08 May 12 13:56
Just how weak will Chelsea be?

Terry, Ivanovic, Ramires and Mereiles can't play in the CL so they're guaranteed to play tonight and they're 4 of their best players.

Torres didn't play at the weekend so he will probably start. Likewise Sturridge and Essien.

Only definite weaknesses will be if they rest Cech and Cole.
By:
ours4keeps
When: 08 May 12 13:56
bergkamp really is a clueless mug.

So it's only Liverpool fans backing Liverpool?!?Crazy

Look at the time of the day. This money's coming in direct from Asia and as I posted on here last night there's a strong probability that Chelsea will be fielding a significantly weakened team while Liverpool will be looking to close out their season on a high in front of their fans and a smidgeon of revenge. I was happy to take the 6/4 with PP yesterday afternoon as it was clear the price was only going to go one way.
Whether Liverpool have enough to win the game is another argument but it's clear why the price has moved so much, and it's not just because some scally from Norris Green has just opened accounts with all the high street bookies and had thousands of pounds on.
By:
modk
When: 08 May 12 13:58
Dalglish on LFC TV

http://www.liverpoolfc.tv/news/latest-news/kenny-let-s-finish-on-a-high

“We will need to assess how everyone is after the weekend,” Dalglish added.

“We will see what we’ve got as a few bumps and bruises may well have cleared by Tuesday morning.

"We’re not going to give anything away but it will be the strongest team we’ve got from the players available.”
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 14:01
i will laugh if liverpool field a weakened team......i will also wonder where they found one from Wink
By:
high_lander
When: 08 May 12 14:02
Liverpool don't have anything to play for tonight
They are not very good anyway
Are very poor at home these days
Chelsea have 4th place to go for - that should be plenty of motivation
Chelsea are a much better side than Liverpool

Can only see a Chelsea win tbh
By:
Barca-Martillo
When: 08 May 12 14:02
How will we tell the difference if Liverpool field a weakened team or not?
By:
Barca-Martillo
When: 08 May 12 14:03
Unders looks big too me 2.12 at the mo
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 14:04
if it a normal team then the scousers will be claiming they will win 4-0
if its a weakened team then they will only be claiming to win 2-0
thats how you tell the difference Wink
By:
sofaking
When: 08 May 12 14:12

May 8, 2012 -- 2:03PM, Barca-Martillo wrote:


Unders looks big too me 2.12 at the mo


I agree.   UNDERS all the way.

By:
scaredmoney
When: 08 May 12 14:14
I think a "weakened" Chelsea team would compare very well against Wigan and WBA who won at Anfield against "full strength" Liverpool sides.

I hope the money keeps coming for Liverpool,i'll be a layer at KO and having a small bet on Chelsea aswell.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 08 May 12 14:21
Chelsea definitely look value. That said, there isnt a great deal bewteen the sides imo. As shown by Sundays encounter.
By:
pushkin99
When: 08 May 12 14:44
2.18 seems a low price to back Liverpool - unless they know something we don't - but nowhere near as daft as advising backing Chelsea at 2.84 a couple of days ago.
By:
songsforthedeaf
When: 08 May 12 15:34
Back Liverpool at 2.7.... No movement for a couple of days Plain
Look last night, see 2.4. Happy that's a reasonable price, looks like the eastern money is involved. Decent trade Happy
Look today...2.16 ExcitedShockedShocked wtf? NOW the Macau big boys are in.

Do I wait to see if it drops FURTHER?!??
By:
Shazza93
When: 08 May 12 15:37
Always happens with Liverpool, their backers are deluded.
By:
scaredmoney
When: 08 May 12 15:46
I can see it dropping further....like Shazza says....deluded
By:
songsforthedeaf
When: 08 May 12 15:48
ga the point of your thread was to buy Chelsea for a trade, it has turned out to be an awful trade, you've demonstrated a complete lack of knowledge about the markets... the best thing you can do is stop posting
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 15:55
green army
06 May 12 20:26
now I know I mentioned this earlier, but after todays results just think of it like this
a mid table prem team has finished its season v disappointingly, its last 3 home games lost all 3 v wigan, fulham & wba
last game with nothing to play for they meet chelsea who have just beaten them in the cup final, they are on fire having recently disposed of Barca in the CL
chelsea are not yet guaranteed a CL spot next year but may do this if they win this game + blackburn at home
so who are the faves ? Im a trader & I have been wrong about liverpool a few times but if they start faves for this game on tuesday I will question the sanity of the human race - if I was a punter with £1k to spare Id see this as one of the best value bets of my life
btw I have already had me £2k on chelsea


this has got to be the worst advice i have seen on betfair.
it is well known that liverpool's price comes in nearer the kick off time, so the only things that makes sense is to buy the price early and sell at KO.
for anyone to recommend to do the opposite means either they do not know how to follow the history charts on betfair, or they were trying to manipulate the market in their favour.
in this case i suspect the former over the latter.
By:
metaphor
When: 08 May 12 16:00
green army, forum mug and all round eejit, are you kidding me?
liverpool being overbet shocker! has this ever happened before? yes every single time they play.






MUG
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 08 May 12 16:02
it is well known that liverpool's price comes in nearer the kick off time, so the only things that makes sense is to buy the price early and sell at KO.

You'd have taken a sizeable loss had you done this in the last home game they played.  So, in other words, you're talking total and utter bollòcks.
By:
OptPrime
When: 08 May 12 16:07
Petr Cech is not expected to play.  Hence I have becked Carroll at AGS as I dont rate Hilario or Turnbull at all.
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 16:07
wow, bit aggressive arnt we mate. try some decaf Wink

checked my history charts and liverpool's price has not come in twice this season, so overall a hell of a winner over the season.

but i guess you knew this already and are just fishing...otherise you are just someone making a statement without checking his facts.
By:
scaredmoney
When: 08 May 12 16:08
Was that a one off Rob?

I'm not a watcher/trader of pre game markets
By:
green army
When: 08 May 12 16:08
thats me peeps the worst trader on betfair and Im really sorry for being so bad, and Ive learnt my lesson

but really I really am sick to death of you moaning nothing to contribute, nothing positive to say miserable women - Ill tell you what songsforthedeaf and fallenangel, I promise never to post on your threads again and you never come on mine - agreed everyone ? - I really cant be fairer than that - and if anyone breaks the agreement the whole community can point at them and say haha you're a cant - ok ?
By:
scaredmoney
When: 08 May 12 16:09
cheers fa for answering my question Happy
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 16:10
wow, i was only pointing out the error in your reasoning mate. i would have thought that if you were a serious trader then you would look at such things as history charts and know that your reasoning was poor.
By:
green army
When: 08 May 12 16:11
and you metaphor and you rob go on feck off and start your own thread see if anyone with anything insightful to say comes within a mile of it
By:
sofiakenny
When: 08 May 12 16:13
i can sea a meet up ruckas at a mutually agreed pub car park...yikes!!!!
By:
metaphor
When: 08 May 12 16:15
cry baby
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 08 May 12 16:15
fallenangel

wow, bit aggressive arnt we mate. try some decaf

checked my history charts and liverpool's price has not come in twice this season, so overall a hell of a winner over the season.

but i guess you knew this already and are just fishing...otherise you are just someone making a statement without checking his facts.


Lol, sorry.

Just disagree with the notion that it's a case of lump on Liverpool and then lean back for a few days until you're able to guarantee a nice win.  Otherwise everyone would be doing it.

Not fishing, no.  This is an exceptional instance really, as it's based on suspected team news and the assumption that Chelsea are likely to be significantly weakened.  Maybe the OP should have factored this into his betting, maybe not.  But to say he's an idiot for backing Chelsea when Liverpool always steam is just plain wrong.
By:
Rob_The_Bantam
When: 08 May 12 16:16
green army

and you metaphor and you rob go on feck off and start your own thread see if anyone with anything insightful to say comes within a mile of it


Wow, and just as I was sticking up for you.  That cuts deep.  But I will indeed feck off.  Good luck with the bets.
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 16:17
the sun has risen every morning. greenarmy come on here and tells us to lay it. we point out that history is against him and maybe his advice isnt that good. his reply...."feck off and dont post on my threads again!!" LaughLaughLaugh
By:
fallenangel
When: 08 May 12 16:18
rob - i havent called him an idiot. all ive said is that his reasoning is poor.
By:
green army
When: 08 May 12 16:21
suits me - no-one disses the green army - and actually I just got back in a great mood from picking up me flight tix for the crick world cup in sri lanka and read this load of **** from the most miserable negative picky half glass empty shower of **** on the entire internet - well feck you im a happy bunny - and as i said if you dont like it, its just like a newspaper, dont read it
By:
sofiakenny
When: 08 May 12 16:21
PLEASE stop it boys..i feel queezy and unwell when i suspect violence is nearing.Sad
By:
Barca-Martillo
When: 08 May 12 16:21
Top SEETHING by green armyLaugh
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