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I thought about putting up three of my favourites bets up today. Two were in the Georgian League, and given my knowledge is limited on that part of the world, and with it being first game back after the winter break, I decided against it. Both won.
The other was/is Celtic, and it's probably worth a small interest. It's top v bottom, and Celtic are on an amazing run of 15 straight wins in the league. They've kept four straight clean sheets, and have conceded just tow goals in 12 games. The Pars are not goal shy, but do have injury concerns ahead of tonight's game. They also lost 3-0 to Celtic, at home last month. You wouldn't want to be backing Celtic @ 1.14, but it's fairly reasonable to back them @ 1.75 to win to nil. Celtic to win to nil. 1.75 W Hill Or 1.73 with Bet365, Skybet, Coral, Ladbrokes, P Power There's always the more conservative bet Both teams to score - NO 1.73 Stan James 1.67 Skybet, Betfred, P Power, Ladbrokes Bets available on here but poor liquidity But the main reason I came on here is one for the weekend, as mentioned a couple of days ago. There's a team in Turkey who have failed to score in their last 9, and 13 of their last 14. They've also lost their last 8. Karabukspor v Ankaragucu. 11am, Saturday. Karabukspor are in decent form, winning 4 of their last five. The thing is they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 13, but I had the very same bet two weeks ago against Istanbul BB and they had similar stats, something like 12-13 without a clean sheet. (further up this thread) Ankaragucu have been in my notebook for a while, but I bottled playing it last week as they were at home to the team second bottom of the league. Result: Ankaraguc lost 3-0. Karabukspor are generally 1.1 to win. That's 1/10 in old money. But there's decent prices to be had in my type of bet. Karabukspor to win to nil 1.8 Paddy Power No other firm offering odds yet, but if they do, I can't see it being better than this. Both teams to score - NO 1.67 Paddy Power A couple of firms have priced this up at 1.53 & 1.57 |
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Terrific thread Kev. Good ideas for tomorrow; and just for a surprise for you, Betfair layers offering 2.04 Celtic to win to nil !!!!!!!! That sort of figure IS attractive to say the least. Cheers, Pete
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Terrific thread Kev. Good ideas for tomorrow; and just for a surprise for you, Betfair layers offering 2.04 Celtic to win to nil !!!!!!!! That sort of figure IS attractive to say the least. Cheers, Pete
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Not too confident about backing Celtic again. Motherwell are in decent form.
I do have another one for tomorrow though. Cyprus League, 5pm A Deryneia v AEL I've posted a bet in this league before. There is such a wide gap between the top four and the rest in this League. This game see's 2nd bottom host the league leaders, with a massive 39 points seperating them after 21 games. It's also the best defence, with just 7 conceded by AEL, versus the second lowest scorers. 13 goals in 21 games, and just one win. The home side have just one point from their last 14 games, shocking form, and at home it's just as bad. They managed a goal in their last home game, but failed to score in their previous five home games. AEL have 4 straight clean sheets, and 8 in their last 10. Also 8 from their last 10 away games. AEL to win to nil 1.53 Paddy Power or Both teams to score - No 1.33 Paddy Power or AEL clean sheet - 1.36 Paddy Power |
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Yeah, think you're right, Motherwell having seen Rangers lose their 10 points and them in poor form aswel, must have sights on 2nd place so will have more incentive to score rather than sit back and keep the goals out !! But this AEL.......mmmmm
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Well that wasn't supposed to happen
![]() I still it's worth keeping Ankaragucu in the notebook though. I've just had a little nibble on the home side to win @ 1.55 Sill got the Cypriot game to get us back on track later today. |
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The Cypriot bet was a winner.
Anyway International football is back, so that can mean only one thing - Wonga!! It's not the best round of matches, especially as the European's are only involved in friendlies. However there is serious stuff going on in Asia, Africa and European U21's. And It's Asia where I'll start. Japan v Uzbekistan. Wednesday, 10.30am Friends of this thread will know all about the Japan/Uzbekistan group, and how the two of them have qualified with excellent defensive records. They meet in the final group game, in what is, to a degree, a dead rubber. However I'm pretty sure Japan will want to finish top, and they need a win to secure that. Uzbekistan just need a draw, and with them not the most prolific nation's in terms of goals, I suspect their aim is to go to Toyota and keep it night, hoping for a 0-0. That's one reason to have the usual bet in this game, but there are others. Zacceroni has a full strength squad. All the big boys from Europe have travelled (suggesting they're taking this seriously) They beat Iceland 3-1 last week, but it was domestic players only, and the Icelandic goal came in injury time from the penalty spot . That Iceland goal was the first conceded on Japanese soil in ten games, dating back to May 2010. Uzbekistan will not have a full squad to choose from after FIFA sanctioned five players who all got deliberately booked in a previous game to avoid suspensions in the next round. Japan are a real Asian powerhouse and I'd expect them to win this anyway, but because of the differing strength's of both squads, it just adds a little more confidence to the bet. Japan to win to nil 2.2 Paddy Power Both teams to score - NO 1.73 Paddy Power I've split my stakes between the two bets. Since I backed these the odds have shortened. It's now 2 & 1.66 (the latter also available with Sky and S James) Tajikistan v North Korea. Wednesday, 8am This is based on Tajikistan's ineptness. They've lost all five group games with a goal difference of 0-17 North Korea can be untrustworthy (In a fooballing sense in case the Dear Leader is reading this) They beat Japan at home despite having a man sent off. Their last result was a 1-1 friendly draw with Kuwait, but this campaign has been all about goals, or lack of them. Scored 2, conceded 3. In fact their last 8 World Cup qualifiers have finished 1-0, 0-0 or 0-1. I've seen bits of both these sides in this campaign, and it wouldn't surprise me if this finished 0-0 or 1-0 to North Korea. Not one for big stakes, but worth a punt none the less. Both teams to score - NO I took the early 1.61 with Paddy Power, but it's 1.66 with Sky & S James On to the European U21's San Marino v Cyprus. Wednesday, 7.30pm We have to stick with our favourite cash cow, San Marino. Played 6, lost 6, scored 0, conceded 28. In those six games they've had just six shots on target and two corners. I actually watched a bit of one of the games v Germany, and they played a formation even Les Parry daren't try. They played without a striker! From what I can gather, the U21's haven't scored in their last 20 games. Admittedly Cyprus aren't great, but at least they've had a couple of wins. They beat Bosnia and won the reverse fixture with San Marino 6-0. San Marino are the gift that keeps giving so we have to stick with this one. I'm not even going to bother with the Both teams to score because San Marino always concede, so Cyprus will win anyway (I hope I'm not tempting fate) Cyprus to win to nil @ Evens Paddy Power Another one I took early and it's shortened. Now 1.91 |
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Two more today, but one is in 45 minutes.
Iraq v Singapore. Wednesday, 1.45pm Another dead rubber, but Iraq still have a chance of top spot when they face bottom side, Singapore. Singapore have just one goal in this campaign, back in the first game v China. It was scored by their talisman, the 41 year old Bosnian born,Duric. It looks like he's not playing. He didn't play in the Azerbaijan friendly last week, and reports in Singapore suggest the coach is being experimental in anticipation of the Suzuki Cup later this year. Zico is talking up his chance of grabbing top spot, and he has a point, as Jordan have to travel to China. I tipped Iraq to beat China back in November, and the deservedly won with a last minute goal. Since then they've had a poor Pan Arab Games (not sure how seriously they take it) and a friendly defeat in Lebanon (who have vastly improved lately) Not one for big money, but with Singapore being poor, and it being a young inexperienced side, Iraq should really be keeping a clean sheet in this one. Both teams to score - NO[/b [b]Iraq to win to nil. 1.91 This one could have a Tranmere flavour to it. Ash Taylor's Wales U21's v Andorra U21's. Wednesday, 4pm Andorra's last goal came 7 games ago in the Faroe Islands. That remains their only away goal ever as far as I can tell. Bit of a tough group for the Welsh, with a couple of long journey's, but they've done ok so far. They are 2-1-2, beating Montenegro and Andorra (1-0), getting a 0-0 draw in Armenia, and only losing 1-0 to the Czech's. Despite the sad loss of Gary Speed, Welsh football is on the up, at club and international level, and this is a game they are expected to win, and win with something to spare. Wales U21's to win to nil Both teams to score - NO Odds have changed since I placed my bets so check on here or Oddschecker for latest odds |
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I've had a small stakes treble on Wales U21 (1.5), Cyprus U21 (1.91) and Iraq (1.66) all to win to nil on the back of this. Thanks for the research Kev.
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This has to be the worst international date since I started this thread.
Tajikistan scored. Singapore scored, and though I missed the first 30 mins, they barely threatened from what I saw, and shipped seven. And to top off a shocking day, the usual reliable San Marino (U21's)have only gone and scored in their game with Cyprus. Bad times. |
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Bursaspor v Ankaragucu. Turkey, 3.30pm
Bursaspor have only conceded 9 goals at home this season, and have 3 clean sheets in their last four home games, and 5 in 7. Ankaragucu did score in a couple of recent games, but reverted type last week, losing to nil, and have failed to score in 9 of their last 11, which all ended in defeat. Not many firms betting on the lesser markets on this game, but VC go 1.57 for Bursaspor to keep a clean sheet, but there's a better price on here. Both teams to score - NO 1.73ish Betfair |
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I put this in my other thread instead of this one.
Have to be quick as i kicks off at 7pm Volendam v Emmen, 7pm Holland Emmen are in finacial dire straits and haven't scored in their last nine, and looked doomed to relegation. They have five players missing tonight. Volendam are nothing special but have won 3 of their last 4. They don' keep many clean sheets, but this bet is all about Emmen's severe problems. Both teams to score - No Evens Paddy Power Or there's a little bit of liquidity on here in the Volendam clean sheet market, where you can get 2.08 |
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First day of the month - Pay Day. Or to give it it's real title, International Football Week.
The usual bets should make us a few quid. San Marino, the team that keeps on giving. San Marino U21's v Greece U21's. 7.30pm San Marino actually scored in their last game, but I'm guessing there was a Blue Moon that night, because that's how often they score. But if you look through this thread you will see all the stats to show you how poor both the full and U21 sides are. Greece to win to nil. 1.36 Bet365 Both teams to score - NO. 1.33 Bet365 or Hills Another U21 game. Luxembourg U21's v Holland U21's. 5.30pm These bets are not the absolute certainty they once was. Luxembourg have slowly progressed at both full international and U21 level. In fact Luxembourg have scored four goals already in this campaign, but they're playing a side today several levels above them, and they're aim will be to keep the score repsectable. Holland have kept five clean sheets in their last six, and 4 from 5 in the group stages. I actually watched the game when they conceded. They lost 2-1 at home to Scotland, with a certain Jordan Rhodes on the scoresheet. I have to say I was very impressed with Scotland that day, who defended well and played some tidy counter attacking football. I think I can safely say Luxembourg will not be doing the same today. Holland to win to nil. 1.5 Paddy Power Both teams to score - NO. 1.5 Paddy Power World Cup qualifiers all around the World this weekend, except for Europe, obviously, and there's a team I've had my eye on for a while. Mainly because they seem to be playing every week. Egypt v Mozambique. 7pm The ex USA manager, Bob Bradley is in charge of Egypt now, and he's had ample opportunity to see his team at first hand and get enough game time in preparation for their World Cup campaign, which starts tonight. Unbeaten in ten games in 2012, they've kept four clean sheets in seven. The only teams to score against them are Nigeria, Cameroon, and the improving Lebanon. In African terms Mozambique are Third Division, and have scored just one goal in their last four (v Tanzania) You have to go back to 2007 for the last time they actually scored a goal against a nation higher ranked than themselves, so even though this game is being played behind closed doors, I fully expect Egypt to make light work of this game, and keep a clean sheet. Both teams to score - NO. Genarally 1.33 - 1.36, but around 1.5 on Betfair Egypt clean sheet. 1.33 with Paddy Power and Hills but around 1.54 on Betfair To win to nil. 1.44 Paddy Power. There's a little bit of 1.61 on Betfair, but nothing has been matched yet in that market. I've gone for the Egypt clean sheet. |
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think you went unnoticed TRFC 4 games 4 winners ....did Egypt -1.5 on the h/a as they had beaten them 3 times 2-0 and made it 4 tonight ..well done
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Results
Egypt 2 Mozambigue 0 Luxembourg 0 Holland 5 San Marino 0 Greece 0 3/3, though not great odds. I have two today at better odds. Cote d'Ivoire v Tanzania 6pm Cote d'Ivoire are one of the best sides in Africa. They really should have won the Cup of Nations, missing a penalty in the final. They cruised through the whole tournement without conceding. They go into this game on the back of nine games withou conceding. Tanzania have scored just once in their last four, and that against Mozambique, who I spoke about in my last post. Drogba has said he will retire after this World Cup campaign, so I'm sure their talisman will be more determined to get his side to another World Cup, especially as this should be the easiest group game. Ivory Coast to win to nil. 1.53 Paddy Power Both teams to score - NO. 1.34 Bwin Poland v Andorra 4pm Only a friendly but at the prices it has to be worth a punt. And it's only Andorra. And Poland are heading into the Euro's in decent, solid form. We all know about Andorra's lack of goals, so I won't bore you with stats. Poland come into the game on the back of four straight clean sheets, though they haven't been free scoring. It will be typical Andorra. Keep it tight as long as possible, something they often do, so I'm guessing it won't be pretty. You would think with Lewandowski in their side they would bag themselves plenty of goals, but Andorra are adept at keeping it tight for long periods. The odds on Both teams to score are far too good to miss out on, even if it is a friendly Both teams to score - NO. 1.45 Bwin Some info on the Cameroon v DR Congo WC qualifier. Eight DR Congo players failed to turn up to travel for this game. Can't find much info on who or why they didn't turn up. Eto'o is banned for Cameroon, but unless I get more solid info I won't be getting involved. |
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Poland is 1.57 at Bet365, mate. Had them at 1.36 yesterday sadly
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Poland are now 1.57 to win to nil and in the Both Teams to Score market (covers 0-0) at Bet365.
To me that is an absolutely crazy price, especially given both teams form. I've topped up, it would be rude not too at those odds. One more for tonight. France U21's v Latvia U21's. 7.50pm Both have perfect record in this qualifying campaign. France won 5 from 5, scoring 12 and conceding none. Latvia are the opposite. Played 4, lost 4. Scored 0 conceded 13 France are actually on a six game winning run without conceding., so a win tonight should see them edge closer to qualifying in a group they're dominating. Both teams to score - NO 1.48 Bwin France to win to nil 1.5 Paddy Power. I've also done a fun correct score treble that pays around 200/1 Ivory Coast 2-0 & 3-0 Poland 2-0 & 3-0 France U21's 2-0 & 3-0 |
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6/6 this weekend.
Also I missed out on the 214/1 correct score treble yesterday by one goal. Poland won 4-0, which included two soft penalties. They subbed Lewandowski early in the second half, and the game looked like it was petering out until the second half penalty. One, possibly two more for today. I wasn't going to get involved in this game, but the odds are very tempting, so I will have small bet. Japan v Oman 11.30am Japan, usually one of Asia's powerhouse's stumbled through their last qualifying group. They even lost at home to (admittedly an improving) Uzbekistan. There is little room for slip ups in this round of qualifiers. Only two are guaranteed to qualify, and with Australia and Iraq in the same group, a win over Oman, the lowest ranked side in the group, is imperative That's not to say it will be easy. Oman are unbeaten in 7, which includes a win over Australia. However they're not the best of travelers. They haven't scored in their last four away games, which included a 3-0 defeat in Thailand. Japan are generally solid defensively when it comes to serious games, especially at home. They've only conceded 6 goals in their last 16 World Cup qualifiers at home, so they really should be seeing sides like Oman off without too much trouble. Considering they're only around 1.17 to win the game, 1.7 to win to nil (W Hill) looks pretty big, but I'm going to play it more cautiously in the BTTS market. Both teams to score - NO 1.53 Hills and Corals. I might get involved in the Spain game tonight. China are average, and it's the last warm up game before the World Champions face Italy, so I'd imagine Del Bosque might go with his Euro starting XI. |
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I never actually opened this thread until today. Pleasant surprise considering the thread title! gl.
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Thanks, Kev, refreshing indeed.
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Excellent stuff. Anything else for today?
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some good reading here, your stats may prove to work for other markets as well such as unders in the goal markets? addeed you as fav topic, please keep updated.
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I was going to leave the Spain game alone, but the odds are too good to miss.
Hills go 1.33, Bet365 go 1.4, so Paddy Power's 1.73 has to be taken. Spain v China 9pm Though it's not always reliable, Marca have Spain starting with Llorente, Negredo and Mata, who will all be playing to secure a spot in the starting X1 for next week. (Personally I'd go with Llorente) Spain score for fun so should really win this with something to spare. China are starting (if Marca are to be believed) with quite a strong team, and are managed by a Spaniard, but even though their more forward thinking players are starting, none of them have been free scoring domestically. And more often than not their goals at international level are scored against the poorer teams in Asia. It's by no means a certainty, South Korea scored v Spain last week (albeit a Worldy) and Scotland managed one against them in Alicante, but China are nothing special, so hopefully it will be a comfortable night for Spain. Spain to win to nil 1.73 Paddy Power |
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In international games I'm pretty sure the strike rate is exceptionally high.
The odds aren't always great, sometimes around 1.3, but if you read the whole thread there has been times when there's been genuine value "free money" bets. |
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nice one, i doubted whether to push into the clean sheet market on this, but glad i did, china are workhorses though but poor quality
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8 from 8 this weekend, and some at tasty prices.
And there's still plenty of international football to come in the next few weeks. |
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By: This user is offline. TRFC Kev
Date Joined: 18 Aug 02 Add contact | Send message When: 03 Jun 12 23:51 Joined: Date Joined: 18 Aug 02 | Topic/replies: 1,451 | Blogger: TRFC Kev's blog A dangerous game starting "Free Money" threads unless you can back it up over a period of time. |
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BANKER DOUBLE SPECIAL NAPS!!!!!! HorseRacingExpert
Date Joined: 20 May 12 Add contact | Send message 02 Jun 12 11:46 Joined: Date Joined: 20 May 12 | Topic/replies: 425 | Blogger: HorseRacingExpert's blog it does not come any easier than this one gents,it makes me sick that winning money has become this easy,even my cat could pick these selections out DENMARK 5/6 to smash up the aussies ENGLAND (who are not a top team) 3/4 will still beat pathetic Belgium totally and utterely guarenteed wins from a forum champion! gl 2:40 epsom saturday ST NICHOLAS ABBEY 4/6 4:00 epsom saturday CAMELOT 4/6 These 2 ballydoyle powerhouses should have little trouble landing the 2 group 1's at epsom tomorrow,myself and my good friend joci club believe they can get the job done without breaking so much as a drop of sweat,specially SNA,am i right joci The double should be backed and it pays a little under 2/1 and by tomorrow we might even get odds of a little better than 2/1,they are both rock solid apart from the silly little boy who is riding them both,but the horses are that good,that they should easily make up for his lack of ability in the saddle As a nice cover bet also,we will be backing ASTROLOGY in the 4:00 each way at 8/1 and also without the favorite,lets hope he can take 2nd and make it a very high profit race GL to all |
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By: HorseRacingExpert
Date Joined: 20 May 12 Add contact | Send message When: 01 Jun 12 21:43 Joined: Date Joined: 20 May 12 | Topic/replies: 425 | Blogger: HorseRacingExpert's blog i think we will also have a little on MOONLIGHT CLOUD 1;30 longchamp tomorrow |
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Calling the entire Football forum FREE MONEY!!!!!!!! HorseRacingExpert
Date Joined: 20 May 12 Add contact | Send message 31 May 12 18:40 Joined: Date Joined: 20 May 12 | Topic/replies: 427 | Blogger: HorseRacingExpert's blog I am not going to give this the big build up,as it is not needed with this selection This is the best 6/4 shot that i have ever seen since i started betting 12 years ago!!!! This is a total FREE MONEY give away!!!! I will quite simply put my Horse Racing reputation on this selection winning tonight and winning very well!!!! OPINION POLL 7:20 Sandown 6/4 if this loses,i will never post on the betfair forum again!!!!! |
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The Biggest BANKER in the history off........ HorseRacingExpert
Date Joined: 20 May 12 Add contact | Send message 31 May 12 00:38 Joined: Date Joined: 20 May 12 | Topic/replies: 428 | Blogger: HorseRacingExpert's blog betting ever BRAZIL R A Z I L BANKERS NAP CERTAINTYS FOOTBALLING MONSTERS POWERHOUSES 1,2,3,4,5,6 the goals will flow put every penny of your bank on this no possible to fail bet |
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Lithuania U21's v Ukraine U21's 5pm
Lithuania have failed to score in 8 of their last ten games. The two games they did find the net in was in the two games with fellow minnows, Malta. Here is some snippets from three of their last four match reports on the UEFA site (not including the win over Malta) Ukraine: Goals from Serhiy Rybalka and Yevhen Shakhov gave the home side their first win in Group 2 against a Lithuania side who rarely threatened. Slovenia: First-half goals from Robert Berić and Dejan Lazarevič gave Slovenia the ascendancy in UEFA European Under-21 Championship qualifying Group 2 as they completed the double over Lithuania. Kevin Kampl scored the only goal when the sides met in Lithuania in June, but it was a smoother ride for Slovenia this time. Sweden: Sweden completed the double over Lithuania in UEFA European Under-21 Championship qualifying Group 2 with a comprehensive victory in Kalmar. It sounds like they're shocking. Ukraine haven't pulled up any tree's, but they followed up that first win against Lithuania with a comprehensive 6-0 win over Sweden last week, which still gives them a chance of qualifying from the group. This is a game in hand on the two leaders, so a win is much needed, and with Lithuania appearing to be dreadful in front of goal, this has to be one for this thread. Both teams to score - NO 1.83 Bwin, Ukraine to win to nil 2.25 Paddy Power Ukraine clean sheet 2 Paddy Power |
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I dont know what paulme is saying,but i would be willing to bet my life that he has followed the OP with this tip (since he has no clue about betting himself) and that he is now totally seething since his money (£2) is now lost
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A dangerous game starting "Free Money" threads unless you can back it up over a period of time.
![]() ![]() ![]() the only good thing about this mug losing thread is that bob paulme vegas will have lost money on this last losing mug bet,since he is a sheep ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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TRFC Kev pls keep it up and posts in this forum, dont care what others said about U, I think U provides REALLY quality information & tips
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The internet is full of trolls and bellends, so I guess we've done well to go nine month's on this thread without attracting one.
Sadly that time is up, and we have a "winner" And as you can tell by his join date, he's obviously been banned, no doubt for being an utter bellend, and has re-joined under a different name. Anyway, for the trolls information, the last bet wasn't a loser, if you had took the more conservative bet. Something I do more often than not, though sadly not today. Hopefully those who like these type of bets did. Finally, can I ask you if you have nothing positive or constructive to say, can you kindly pish off to another thread. ![]() |
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can we get an update on how this one went TRFC kev
i had my full bank on you see,hope we won |
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It won
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And hopefully you backed the 8 winners from 8 selections over the weekend too.
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any thought on Hungary v Ireland match ?
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