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I Wouldn't Normally Say This, But.....Free Money

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By:
toffee87
When: 11 Nov 11 11:55
San Marino v Belarus. Friday, 7.45pm

I've spoken enough in this thread about how hapless San Marino are at all levels, and tomorrow they host Belarus.

This is the Belarus side who overcame a 2-0 play off deficit to knock Italy out of the this Summer's tournement (and the Olympics)
They were then only a minute away from knocking Spain out in the semi final.

They've had mixed results in this campaign, but have won all three away games against Greece, Cyprus and the Czech Rep, so a trip to Serravalle should hold no fears.

Both teams to score - NO
1.29 Bet365


Cheers Kev - by the way bills now go 1/3 NO
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 11 Nov 11 12:20
Japan bet is a winner already, they won 4-0
By:
claudio18
When: 11 Nov 11 12:45
Colombia has James Rodriguez aswell the team is not only Falcao.. even knowing that Venezuela got stronger in the last few years I don't know if they can leave Colombia only with a 1 goal diference.. But of course asian +1 maybe good enough
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 14 Nov 11 18:07
Friday's Results

Montenegro U21's 4 Andorra U21's 0
San Marino U21's 0 Belarus U21's 2
Tajikistan 0 Japan 4
Iraq 1 China 0
Columbia 1 Venezuela 0


Tomorrow's World Cup Qualifiers


North Korea v Japan. Tuesday, 7am.

I watched Japan on Friday, and though there was a 10 minute spell when Tajikistan caused them 1-2 problems,
Japan coped admirably with the conditions and their class came through. In the end they won in a canter.

Importantly Japan can't rest on their laurels as Uzbekistan are pushing them all the way, and the group is likely to be decided when the top two meet early next year.

However North Korea are out.
I actually read a match report (can't remember which website though) from their last home game, from the perspective of a Western journalist.
Which is odd because they don't let many people into the country, nevermind their football stadia.

Apparently it was another hapless display, in a group where they've scored one goal, at home to even more hapless Tajikistan.
That is their only goal in their last six games, but prior to that they beat Nepal and Afghanistan.
They're not the most credible of results, and it's when they're playing the elite nations of Asia they struggle, and Japan are the best in the region.

North Korea don't concede many, but I expect Japan to grind them down eventually and probably win 1-0 or 2-0.
Even a goalless draw wouldn't harm Japan, as victory in their last group game will see them into the next round.

Both teams to score - NO

1.73 Paddy Power
1.7 Bwin
1.67 Bet 365

In the same group

Uzbekistan v Tajikistan. Tuesday, 1pm

I've said plenty about this group in this thread and last Friday. Suffice to say Tajikistan are woeful.
So woeful that they've already been eliminated once from the World Cup.

Syria fielded an ineligible player in the previous round, so were disqualified.
That was the last time the Tajik's scored, and that was 500 minutes ago.

The Uzbek's have built their success on a sound defence. Only Japan have scored against them in the last six,
This has the makings of a low scoring game, possibly 1-0, 2-0.

Both teams to score - NO

Bwin 1.5
Hills 1.36

Not sure if any other firms will price this up for tomorrow.

Still in Asia, and Group 5.

Indonesia v Iran. Tuesday, noon.

It's very similar to the Japan group, this time it's Iran who are trying to fend off lesser nations.
They're level on points with Qatar, and 3 ahead of Bahrain, so they can't afford to slip up against thw whipping boys.

They got a last minute equaliser at the weekend in Bahrain, and though I'm no fan of their coach (Carlos Queiroz) surely they'll have enough to see off Indonesia.
Prior to Friday they had kept 10 clean sheets in their last 11 games (in 90 minutes) and they face a side who have failed to score in 5 of their last six.

Both teams to score - NO

1.67 Paddy Power
1.5 Hills

or

Iran clean sheet
1.73 Paddy Power

or

Iran to win to nil

1.91 Paddy Power


I'd expect more firms to bet on this as it's live on some bookies live streaming.


And for a small stake fun bet I'm doing correct scores in the three Asian games.

Japan 1-0, 2-0
Uzbekistan 1-0, 2-0
Iran 2-0, 3-0

8 Trebles.
Minimum odds - 233/1
Maximum odds - 531/1

Bookie - W Hill
By:
w45tedman
When: 15 Nov 11 00:37
Australia to win win to nil 2.24 against Thailand seems good to me and I've gone in for €75 what do you reckon Kev this seems to be your speciality. Great thread btw
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 15 Nov 11 22:29
A losing bet today but still profitable overall, both today and throughout the whole thread.

International football is closing down for a wee while now.
There is the Pan Arab games next month, and there should be a couple of one sided games.
Not sure if any bookies will be betting on it though.

January is the Cup of Nations, and with plenty of big nations failing to qualify it should be an interesting tournement.

I have one final bet for tonight/early hours of Wednesday.

It's a dead rubber but it's still a miss match.


Panama v Dominica, 1am, Wed

Panama have won all three group games, including a 5-0 away win in Dominica.
Dominica have lost all three and failed to score.
In fact they haven't scored in their last six games.

Julio Dely Valdes (remember him? La Liga & Serie A), the coach of Panama has said he want's to go out with a bang, though he is mixing up his team.
It will be a mix of senior players and a sprinkling of their U23 Olympic team.

A lot of these players play in decent South American leagues, where as the Dominca squad don't seem to play anywhere outside their own country.

Both teams to score - No

1.45 - Bwin

Or you can back a Panama clean sheet at 1.4 with VC Bet
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 01 Jan 12 12:17
Another shortie for today, but I can't see it failing (famous last words)

Kettering v Luton

You will probably know that Kettering are on their arse, with a real chance of going out of existence.

They have only 10 registered players, and think they'll only have one sub today, if you believe their local press.

http://www.northantset.co.uk/sport/f...ment_1_3371115

They played the reverse fixture on Boxing Day, with Luton winning 5-0 at a canter.
Reports say they never got out of second gear but the Poppies keeper kept it semi respectable.
Some say they could have hit double figures if they wanted to.

Although it is a home game, Luton are taking 2000, and some Ketering fans are boycotting the match, so I'd imagine Luton will probably have 65% - 75% of the crowd.

Pretty short odds, but I can see a similar score to Monday.


1.25 are generally available, similar to Monday, when I backed them.

I managed to get on @ 1.35 on Betfair, and there's still 1.33 ish available.
It's also in play in case you want to lay off after they score.

If you don't want to back at such short odds, the Asians are worth a small investment.

Luton -1.75

This means if they win by 2 you win half (A £10 bet becomes a £5 bet, with the oher £5 returned)
If they win by 3 goals you win.

2.09 with 188Bet
2.05 with Bet365
2.03 with Ladbrokes.
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 01 Jan 12 16:59
A pleasing start to 2012.

Cool
By:
sniperAYR
When: 01 Jan 12 20:08
Great pick..well spottedWink
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 22 Jan 12 13:57
Cote d'Ivoire v Sudan. 4pm

These are from opposite spectrums of African football, there's over 100 places between them in the FIFA rankings.

Cote d'Ivoire qualified winning all six group games, while Sudan only got in as one of the best runners up.


They haven't scored in their last five, albeit the last three were agains decent opposition (all friendlies)
But they played competitve football last month in the Pan Arab Game where they finished 3rd (of 4) in a group containing Palestine and Jordan.

Their squad is made up of players playing domestically, while Ivory Coast can pick players from the likes of Chelsea, Man City, Arsenal & Stuttgart.

Ivory Coast won their two warm up games withou conceding, and whilst I don't trust them (especially at the price) to win the tournement, this should be a formality.

Both teams to score - NO 1.5 Corals

Or at a bigger price, and just as likely,

Ivory Coast to win to nil 1.67 Bet365, Skybet, Blue Sq, Paddy Power, Coral.
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 29 Jan 12 09:38
The last bet was a winner.

I have one today, but it's only a small tentative bet, but because of the odds has to be worth a punt.

Iran U21's v Lithuania U21's 10:15am

This is an U21 tounenment being played in St Petersburg.

So far Iran have only conceded one goal, and have 4 clean sheets in their five games.
One of those victories was a 3-0 win against Lithuania.

Lithuania have scored just two goals and have just one win.


Both teams to score - NO

Evens with Bwin

Slightly bigger on Betfair, but no liquidity.
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 04 Feb 12 07:49
The Iran U21's won 4-0 last week.

One clean sheet bet for today, and another "obscure" league.

Aris Limassol v Anorthosis. Cypriot League. 4pm

The top four are way ahead in this league and Anorthosis have conceded just 7 goals all season in 18 games, with just two conceded on their travels.

They have kept 8 clean sheets in their last ten games, including their last six.
They drew last week, but before that won six on the spin, and 8 from 9.

Aris average less than a goal a game, 14 in 18. Admittedly it's at home where they get the majority of them. 11 in 9 games.
That is a slight concern, but they have failed to score in their last three games, one of those a cup game, and have one goal in five.

As I said, a slight concern, but with Anorthosis's excellent defensive record this has to be worth a bet.

Not many firms bet on Cypriot football, but I have found three that do.

Both teams to score - NO 1.53 Paddy Power

It's 1.45 with Bwin & 1.4 with Bet365, but they give you 1.53 on an Anorthosis clean sheet.
By:
Billy Fountain
When: 04 Feb 12 09:37
Interesting stuff and thanks for last week. Did very well thanks.
What do you think of your team's chances at Wycombe today? I know a few Wycombe fans who reckon they are doomed but apart from your good performance v Huddersfield last week I seem to recall you not being too impressed with the form of your lot?
one bet I am interested in is Zambia v Sudan. Thought Zambia were going to be a lot shorter than the 5/6 on offer. Have seen a couple of the Sudan games and they looked particularly poor apart from one of their players who knows where the goal is. Havent seen Zambia in action but have read good reports about them?
By:
Billy Fountain
When: 04 Feb 12 17:37
Hope you got on Zambia. Easy win. Did your selection no goals h.t ?
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 04 Feb 12 18:09
These are the sort of games that if i was a millionaire i would be sticking it all on.
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 11 Feb 12 17:43
AZ to win to nil @ 1.73 Bet365
Both teams to score - NO @ 1.73 S James
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 11 Feb 12 17:45
Apologies for the lateness. I placed my bet earlier but forgot to put it on this thread

It kicks off just about now. Not sure if any firms bet these markets in play, but Betfair will.

I'm not going to bore everyone with the form, suffice to say I fancy this one at a decent price.
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 12 Feb 12 10:28
Another winner yeserday, but I posted it very close to kick off.

I have a tentative bet for today.

Istanbul BB v Ankaragucu. Turkish League, 11am


Ankaragucu have failed to score in 11 of their last 12 League games.
The manin concern is Istanbul's fraility at the back, and their lack of clean sheets.
None in their last 11, and just one in 15, but they are decent goal scoring form.

If they're ever going to keep a clean sheet, surely it has to be today against the side 9 points adrift at the bottom.

Not big stakes, but worh an interest to hopefully kick start Sunday's betting


Both teams to score - NO
1.67 generally available, or 1.79 on here

Or the bet I've plumped for

Istanbul BB to win to nil

Evens with Paddy Power
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:30
I think ankargucu game postponed? No long their on hills match list...
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 12 Feb 12 10:35
It's still up on here, and on Futbol24. Paddy's took my bet, and Istanbul BB's official site is advertising the game.

They play at the Ataturk, which has held a CL Final, so I'd imagine it can cope with all sorts of problems.
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:39
ok... great then.  Do you think I should back goals in this? Or will ankaramugcu will actually park the bus?
By:
physiar
When: 12 Feb 12 10:39
was on the 2-2 match they had earlier this week, and it was covered in snow. The players evidently weren't able to cope with the conditions (not used to it at all), and the ball kept slipping from their feet.
O1.5 for me just for interest
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:41
I want a bet either in this match or espanyol match just for interest before G furth match please... any tips?
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 12 Feb 12 10:41
Istanbul have scored 13 in their last five. but have conceded 11.

Ankaragucu have conceded 15 in their last six, and before that shipped 6 at home to a Div 2 side.
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:43
kev 6 at home to a div 2 side in a cup match??
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 12 Feb 12 10:51
Yes, Kasimpasa, who to be fair, are decent, and should bounce straight back up.
By:
Ozmugpunter
When: 12 Feb 12 10:52
Have fun playing with yourselves TRFC Kev and SrgtDouchebag.
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:52
that is still dreadful tho... I'm going for goals here. Remember how home side banished fener 2 weeks back
By:
Ozmugpunter
When: 12 Feb 12 10:52
Have fun playing with yourselves TRFC Kev and SrgtDouchebag.
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 10:55
LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
physiar
When: 12 Feb 12 10:55
pitch looks fine today, we should be seeing a couple of goals :)
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 11:50
I wont curse my luck but surely there should have been more goals for instanbul... normally clinical finsihers...just terrible seeing 10 shots on goal only for 1-0
By:
bjquick
When: 12 Feb 12 12:14
One more for istanbul would be nice
By:
DeSSieReborn
When: 12 Feb 12 12:21
Lay Man City?
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 13:04
3-0 Ft typcail luck of mine. Should have been 5 or 6 easily. Just when I bet in an obscure league match I lose... when will I ever learn. The moment I build my bank I get stupid and bet on these matches... goals may come but watching the game play and finishing is nerve wrecking... webo can suck my ****
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 12 Feb 12 13:16
I gave out an Even money winner, why didn't you just back that?
Have you read his thread? It is littered with good value winning bets.
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 12 Feb 12 13:19
I had a bet on over 3.5 goals on hills. I could have waited and betted instead on my first choice match G furth CryCryCryCry

I didn't follow you cuz I am loser
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 19 Feb 12 15:02
Olympiakos v Panionios. Greece, 3.15pm

Both teams to score - NO

1.44 VC Be or slightly bigger on Betfair
By:
OMH_4848
When: 19 Feb 12 17:41
good call again Sir Happy
By:
TRFC Kev
When: 19 Feb 12 21:14
I think it's worth mentioning last week's Turkish bet.

Ankaragacu failed to score again yesterday.
I did look at backing this, but they were at home to the second bottom team so I erred on the side of caution and left it alone.
They lost 3-0. That's nine League games without a goal, and they've failed to score in 13 of their last 14.

Definitely one for the notebook.

They travel to third bottom side, Karabukspor next week, who to be fair don't keep many clean sheets (But neither did Istanbul BB prior to last weeks bet). Only three all season, but they are in decent form and are scoring goals. They've socred two goals in 8 of their last 9, and scored one goal in the other game.
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