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Value selections and general musings

Tuesday 12 March 2013

12 Mar 13 18:23
Selections: 5/9, P/L +7.7pts, ROI: 0.137 (63.8-56.1/56.1)

A couple of strong bets tonight:

Cardiff to beat Leicester 10pts (max bet) at 2.3

Cardiff are 1st in the Championship, with 71 points and have a home record of 13-2-2. Leicester are 5th, 13 points back with an away record of 5-4-8. I have already referred to the Foxes poor form on the road this season in this blog (and profited from it !). There is no good reason (that I can see) for Cardiff being substantially above evens. So, it's time for a maximum.

Leeds to beat Peterborough 8pts at 1.78

Leeds are 10th, 51 points, with home form of 11-2-4; Peterborough are 23rd with 38 points and away form of 6-1-10. Although Posh have improved markedly since the start of the season, a trip to Elland Road is a tough test and the price of 4/5 for the home win looks a little on the generous side to me. Not quite generous enough for a maximum (although Hills advertised 10/11 first thing, which would have been). I doubt that will still be standing after the rush of Cheltenham good things today, but am checking this out...

Good luck to all with their bets tonight !

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