Well, the losing run last Saturday was disappointing, but there we go. Form it temporary, class is permanent - or that's what I am telling myself right now. Let's see how we go on today. We have a maximum ...
Lay Southampton at 2.18 (for 8.5 points to lose 10pts) at Reading
I am really surprised to see Southampton (2-5-8 away) at such a short price on here. At 12th they are 8 places higher (and 11 points better off) than the basement occupants Reading. But Reading are 4-6-5 at home and quite tough to beat there; it is principally their dismal away form (1-2-13) that has cut them so far adrift. The betfair price implies that Southampton should be 11-10 or shorter with the layers, but that is shorter than most of the tissues and although they are arguably favourites for this match, I think the current price considerably overrates their chances.
I can't get too excited about any other prices today - thought about putting up Wolves at 3/1 at Bolton, or Wednesday at 6/5 at home to dismal Blackburn, but not enough in the stats to justify the prices being anything other than fair.
Good luck with the bets today.
Follow the Dog
