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Value selections and general musings

Milan Derby

24 Feb 13 17:44
I have been looking for an interest in the Milan derby this evening. Inter are at home to AC. Prices as I write are Inter (4.1-4.2), draw (3.55-3.6), AC (2.06-2.08).

Now, I don't profess to any specialist knowledge about the Italian league or about the teams, but I can see that AC are third in the table and Inter fifth, with one point between them. Inter have a home record of 7-3-2, AC have an away record of 4-5-3.

If one took an analogous situation from the EPL, the match ups - in statistical terms only and in very broad terms - are something like Chelsea playing at Arsenal, or Man City playing at Sours. Would either  of those go off at 2.06-2.08 ? Maybe, but I would be layer rather than a backer at that price. So I will lay AC Milan, to small stakes.


Ciao for now. Cool
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