Cricket
Ashes - 2nd Test Lord's, Aug 14-18 2019
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I use this one: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcpvhhdht#?date=2019-08-14
Yes I think there's possibility of some play on day 1. Draw looks short to me. But I thought that at 3.3 when I started laying |
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for mine 2.6 one the draw = 120-150 overs lost
Can't see that at all 300 overs will be enough imo |
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continuing to lay down to 2.2
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That is a nonsense price on the draw, I might have to lay it....seen little on the forecasts to warrant this shortening.
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Now its broken 2.5
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Michael Fish has gone all in
Alledgedly  |
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Those PARASITE bookies piss me off the way they just follow the exchange!
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2.4
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A HUGE WEDGE just backed draw at 2.36
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Michael is backing the draw with everything he has, also investing in an umbrella stand outside the ground.
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UNSTOPPABLE now 2.22
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A few hours before the Great Storm of 1987 broke, on 15 October 1987, Michael Fish said during a forecast: "Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way. Well, if you're watching, don't worry, there isn't!".
The storm was the worst to hit South East England for three centuries, causing record damage and killing 19 people. |
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George Davis has now joined the gamble, has also gone all in on the draw, last seen at B&Q purchasing digging implements and vast quantities of oil.
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I'm in deep here too!
These odds are for a 3 day game now! |
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Manipulation DT, happens a lot. Just need to hold your nerve
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last year day 1 wash out 1.65 ish....weds and sat look bleak, fri looks showers....be very wary of laying yet
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In markets like a small consortium can push the prices up and down easily.
Just takes one bigger fish to take them out though |
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Coming back up, hopefully not a false dawn!
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So much looking at weather forecasts in next few days, gonna be boring as f*ck
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People must be betting using the Beebs forecast. Ain't worth sh1t imo
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The friday evening shower and saturday rain could well be ireelevant by the time we get there.
Or they could just disappear(its still six days to saturday) Alternatively it worsens and we are reduced to a 3 day game. That's what the odds reflect at the moment. I don't buy that. We lose 2 sessions on day 1 and two sessions on saturday. That's the worst case scenario that I see. |
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That's what I'm thinking DT. Plus can add on every day
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I use an radar app called "home and dry" its much more detailed than the publicly available met office forcast.
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When I say two sessions lost on day 1 I mean a washout with one session made up for with early starts next 4 days.
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Most of them still buy their models/data from the met office
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I belief there was a split between met office & BBC and they no longer match each other, met office is more reliable. BBC is much worse and I suspect foul play is possible here.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcpvhhdht#?date=2019-08-14 https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2638768 |
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BBCs website is lazy as fcuk
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If they do play wednesday it will be treacherous batting conditions with moisture and leaden skies.
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I've got a few that I subscribe to, but they are mostly useful on the day, rather than for forecasting
so have I jucel, I think home and dry is the best, and is v good for + 3 or 4 days....besides they don't have to be right to move the market....I am waiting till 1.65 to lay...anyway be lucky |
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