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New Zealand vs England, 1st Test Day/Night

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Replies: 1,082
By:
VardonVoo.
When: 23 Mar 18 09:13
Your 3.8 low looking like a pretty good call so far, Tyco.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 23 Mar 18 11:59
Quite satisfying to see the rain last night. I still agree with Tyco. NZ win this.

They have got enough of a lead to be able to declare on Monday and still have enough time to skittle Engerland again. A washout tomorrow will help get the exchange going!

I can't believe how woeful England have been this winter starting with the Selectors, The Heirachy about Stokes, Bayliss, the back room staff and the team! We were close a couple of times but came up short.

This New Zealand stage is looking embarassing. Bayliss must go. He has added nothing!
By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 12:40
Sunday not looking to clever either

Occasional rain with heavy falls possible from afternoon, easing evening. Light winds.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 23 Mar 18 12:46
Crike my 3.15 lay matched on draw just now!....how low can it go?
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 14:56
Messed this up with a combination of greed, slight misjudgement and being asleep at the wrong times again. I moved my draw backs in the low 6s out, which would have been matched and put me near flat on the draw and also missed some high 5s when rain was coming but I was at least half asleep. As it is I’m pretty much push if I chose to be but will actually run my draw red. I still think this sees enough play for a result. I’m looking forward to the fat spinner having a bat.
By:
Injera
When: 23 Mar 18 15:51
Bayliss and his staff are responsible for the ludicrous warm up games that had no competitive edge. They were farcical. His main job is of course preparation.

The blame often goes to the host nation for not supplying adequate parctice matches. It's a daft accusation when England could just play against each other.

Bring in a few fielders and have Broad, Anderson, Woakes, Overton etc bowl at the batsman. That would be edgy.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 22:41
I may well be misreading the radar and it’s a few hours to play yet anyway but the pictures look a lot better than the forecast  to me. If there’s some play this morning the market will probably have at least a few kittens, as this must be the day where the expectation was of very little if any cricket. Anyway, have taken some lays under 4 to go £4.5k draw red again.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 22:47
Other question is how NZ approaches this with a day almost entirely washed out yesterday but still three days of play nominally to come. I guess if they get out first thing (aka early afternoon) and it’s looking okay for at least a few hours of play today there’s no need to hurry and they’d can just wait for the fat spinner to do the biffing later.
By:
DAN1974
When: 23 Mar 18 22:57
i  dont think they will change their game plan, Monday still looks ok for virtually a full day so any play today and tomorrow is about building the lead so they can bowl them out on Monday

The radar looks ok for the next couple of hours, but those showers seem to appear suddenly.
By:
DAN1974
When: 23 Mar 18 23:04
the market is moving as if theres going to be some play
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:18
I think it’s  slow to react and am tempted by yet another lay. I get that it’s hard to be sure but people are going on the forecast rather than the pictures and one of them is wrong.
By:
DAN1974
When: 23 Mar 18 23:23
the forecast was updated 30 minutes ago and hasn't changed, so they must be confident its right, who knows?? i think it will  probably be similar to yesterday, we will have some play then the rain and showers will come in
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:31
I’ve taken the lay mid 4s and will look to get rid of some low and some mid 5s. Pretty confident the market will have further to go if they start on time, which looks very probable now.

I’m not sure how effectively they update the forecast for the next few hours to come. Lot of sites (NZ Met is a better one, I admit), stick with their prior prediction of rain, even if the skies are clear.
By:
DAN1974
When: 23 Mar 18 23:37
i wish we had someone in auckland
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:43
It’s about whether that rain off the W coast isn’t making it across or not. I think it’s missing and the most of it could go past. I’m taking a big stand on this and will be in an anxious place for the rest of the test if today is washed out. I think I get out of gaol on days 4 and 5 though, if I have to.
By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 23:45
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DZAeRddVwAA7ETr.jpg:large
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:46
Was thinking a shelf of Black Booster for that link.
By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 23:47
I'm going to have to change my name to Leatherface soon. Another test match where I've chainsawed a load of green.
Mostly whilst sleeping this time
By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 23:48

Mar 23, 2018 -- 11:43PM, Fatslogger wrote:


It’s about whether that rain off the W coast isn’t making it across or not. I think it’s missing and the most of it could go past. I’m taking a big stand on this and will be in an anxious place for the rest of the test if today is washed out. I think I get out of gaol on days 4 and 5 though, if I have to.


Need a few more updates before I can decide

By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 23:48
I can see Cook and Stoney putting on 2 hundredWink
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:50

Mar 23, 2018 -- 11:47PM, jucel69 wrote:


I'm going to have to change my name to Leatherface soon. Another test match where I've chainsawed a load of green.Mostly whilst sleeping this time


Tell me about it. My efforts yesterday were horrible, especially where I took my draw backs out in the 6s, where they’d have been matched. Could have been so much more aggressive now if I’d got that right but I’ve decided to back my radar reading on this one and take a very deep shade of carmine on the draw.

I think you’re right about needing another few updates to call it for sure but the early bird gets the worm.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:53

Mar 23, 2018 -- 11:48PM, jucel69 wrote:


I can see Cook and Stoney putting on 2 hundred


I’m thinking I’d like to back draw hard at long prices before England bats again hoping for great things from the top 3 under sunny skies on a typical now flat Kiwi wicket. So I am a bit worried I could be in the sh1t if it really doesn rain a lot today but I feel it’s a risk worth taking. Going £7k red is still only about 6% of my bank. Be bloody, bold and resolute.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Mar 18 23:54
Is a total pain in the arse to be taking a position before play though, as this is when I was planning to sleep!
By:
jucel69
When: 23 Mar 18 23:56

Mar 23, 2018 -- 11:54PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Is a total pain in the arse to be taking a position before play though, as this is when I was planning to sleep!


Yeh it's hard to sleep when you have a position open and it could go either way

By:
DAN1974
When: 24 Mar 18 00:03
Edgbaston tests are a lot easier for me
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:03
Indeed. I’m at risk of confirmation bias here but that rain really look to be missing, at least for a couple of hours. I’m not sure whether the Eastern bit of the front over the mainland is going to catch Auckland but it looks pretty feeble and unlikely to kill play for long even if it does. There’s some further loose stuff behind it but again it’s showers, not solid rain. At worst I don’t expect to get rid of some red a bit above 5s.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:04
That’s at worst I do expect.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:05

Mar 24, 2018 -- 12:03AM, DAN1974 wrote:


Edgbaston tests are a lot easier for me


Rain Today’s spurious accuracy is nice, isn’t it?

By:
DAN1974
When: 24 Mar 18 00:17
its a lot easier to look out of your window, i still think its going to rain, they cant get the forecast that wrong surely
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:17

Mar 24, 2018 -- 12:17AM, DAN1974 wrote:


its a lot easier to look out of your window, i still think its going to rain, they cant get the forecast that wrong surely


I’m quite worried that there will be a shower at or near the start of play but I still don’t think we’re seeing rain all day.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:18
I’m going to bed anyway.
By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:35
Think that blue stuff is going to smash into Auckland
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:36

Mar 24, 2018 -- 12:35AM, jucel69 wrote:


Think that blue stuff is going to smash into Auckland


Was just about to say that I think it’s hitting, perhaps a little while after play starts. Still think the day sees a fair bit of play but tempted to close out a few of my trades.

By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:38
There is red colours in there too, could be biblical and make the market panic.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:38
Hard to tell whether it’s smashing or just the edge is getting there. Also wondering how cute to try to be with timings.
By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:38
Took another 3k at 4.7
By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:41
looks like a decent chunk to hit now.
Bear in mind if you look to the west it doesn't show the full pic. There are boundaries on the radar and stuff lurking behind it isn't shown until it comes into view on the radar
By:
Fatslogger
When: 24 Mar 18 00:41
I got shot of a bit of red at 4.7 and have some other backs up around 5s, with some lays at 4 and under. Could work.
By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:42
looks about 45 mins away, right before play
By:
jucel69
When: 24 Mar 18 00:42
Andrew McGlashan


@andymcg_cricket
3m3 minutes ago
More
Dark clouds approaching #NZvENG
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