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11.30am "Some big puddles have formed on the edge of the covers. It does not look good," says Firdose.
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Today has been trailed as a washout for ages so is possible the market may stall at 3.6 or so but then if that were true, it ought not to have moved much first thing ether.
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The draw seems to have stabilised - is this worrying??
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No play for it to move back down??
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11.30am "Some big puddles have formed on the edge of the covers. It does not look good," says Firdose.
Peter: "As a local in Hobart, when the rain comes in from the east then it will set in for the day. Anyone holding out hope of play today, sorry to say forget it, it won't happen. " Lakshitha: "In Melbourne, it can rain cats and dogs all of a sudden for 30 minutes with heavy winds, and the rest of the day will be full of sunshine as if nothing happened. Looks like Hobart is not in the same category! |
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Bibical Big price draw.
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the draw definitely not going to drop any more
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should have layed all red ff at 3.7
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so the market had more or less factored the rain into the draw odds.
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Factored in of course but draw will hit a lot lower as will Aus price. I was looking for around 12s on Aus as they should hit around 3.5-4s at some point.
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Assessment in 5 mins, probably call it off for the day
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Green screen, It's been a while. Where have you been my little green.
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£90
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abandoned for the day
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Will the draw go down now? Or has it already been factored in?
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who knows!?
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Just woken up from a nap. Looks like we didn't get another run down. Still I made quite a bit.
Tomorrow morning still looks a bit iffy with maybe a shower or 2. |
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Oops, screwed that one up.
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All that weather has broken up really quickly.
Should be fine for an early start tomorrow |
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pxb • November 12, 2016 11:55 PM GMT
20 minutes after the scheduled start and the draw has already hit 3.5. No need to thank me chaps. But I'm pretty good on the psychology of markets. pxb • November 13, 2016 12:03 AM GMT I expect the run down to 3 after lunch, when people recognise no prospect of play today. pxb • November 13, 2016 4:06 AM GMT Just woken up from a nap. Looks like we didn't get another run down. Still I made quite a bit. draw now 5.7, yes u sure are good at the psychology of markets ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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the draw price has been drifting all day but i still think its to short !
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Aus price seems too short for me, halved in price since yesterday!
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Is Vernon fit after his collision with Smith?
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he fecking better be after ive laid the draw.
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Beating myself up for taking on more draw just after going green on SA; for not laying it all and more when stupidly short at 3.4 or so and even more for not bailing on a bad position hours ago. Draw was in the 4s when I woke up and now 8s! Could have been absolutely fine if I'd just jumped on it then. Now utterly screwed, massively if Aus wins, just badly if SA does. Need a really very surprising amount of batting to happen to get out of gaol here. Ah well, lesson on being absurdly greedy thinking the draw would go down to 3s registered. The prices were wrong enough without waiting for them to get significantly more absurdly wrong. Not taking my medicine earlier is inexexcusably bad though. I probably ought to lay my draw green off even now, to be honest but might wait for a couple of overs to get a read on how bad it is.
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Couple of overs with no rain on the horizon and ball zipping all over the place on a juice pitch and that draw will be 10+ and heading in one direction only
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the way this Aussie team play there aint gonna be many draws.
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what time is kick off ?
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They gonna start 30 mins early I guess? 11pm?
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Draw back down to 7s briefly. Trading it correctly rather than dazzlingly ineptly would have been quite good this match.
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https://www.instagram.com/p/BMxF2olDoek/
Looks pretty green! |
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Good point by Vaughan, the ball 55 overs old already
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this game might be over 2day
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Tom said your all pure mugs for backing the draw so heavily!
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