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New Zealand v Sri lanka 1st Test Dunedin

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Replies: 462

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:05

Ideal scenario for NZ would be to get a wicket before the new ball.......get a new batsman in

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:06

Mark Richardson must be reading this forum

By:

detraveller When: 13 Dec 15 22:06

Thanks a lot for the tips guys. One last question, what the hell does it mean when you guys say a lot of 'red' on srilanka or green on the draw. Does that mean you are 'currently at loss on your bet' or 'lay(which is red on betfair)'

By:

Foinavon When: 13 Dec 15 22:07

NZ price creeping up as is the run rate. SL is my biggest outcome too but have only piffling amounts of green. Want to go in again but too early to make a decision.

By:

pxb When: 13 Dec 15 22:09

3 runs an over required. If this pair still in at lunch, I'll like SL chances.

Possible rain late in the day, but it should be all over by then.

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:09

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:06PM, detraveller wrote:

Thanks a lot for the tips guys. One last question, what the hell does it mean when you guys say a lot of 'red' on srilanka or green on the draw. Does that mean you are 'currently at loss on your bet' or 'lay(which is red on betfair)'

A red means a potential loss . A green means 'profit'. 'A lot of red' means you have large liability on the team (large loss) on that outcome.

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:11

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:02PM, pxb wrote:

FS, use bank transfer which should be free (it is for me). It also takes 48 hours to transfer for me, which stops me dumping money into my account when I max out. A sort of discipline.

Hmm, think I get charged for that. May have a further look.

I've got some further serious draw laying in. Wicket falls it goes out a long way but it can only really shorten significantly if they survive and don't score runs and I don't think that's either of these batsmen. Nor do I particularly think it's how McCullum sets his side up, particularly as they're actually still heavy favourites so pretty much have to attack, at least a bit.

By:

pxb When: 13 Dec 15 22:13

And I get interest on the money in the bank.

By:

detraveller When: 13 Dec 15 22:14

Thanks West Coast Eagles. I just cashed out a bit on the draw thinking the target was 300! Lol. Anyhow, im winning if its a draw or srilanka win. And its my funeral if NZ win.

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:14

Next question is whether to get shot of any of my NZ green beyond the lays I've already got in place from yesterday. Suppose I could just back NZ and go a deeper shade of carmine on the draw. I'm almost tempted to let them ride, just in case they ride it home.

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 13 Dec 15 22:15

Is this all boiling up to the new ball?

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:16

to be fair I think the pitch is still good for batting. Bowlers can rely on cloudy conditions (overcast) to possibly get some movement in the air.

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:17

detraveller, no matter how well this pair is doing, the NZ win is by a mile the most likely outcome. Even a reckless gambler like me (okay, I'm overselling my recklessness, I do this to win) wouldn't want to be accepting a kicking on that.

By:

Foinavon When: 13 Dec 15 22:18

It's 3 an over if we don't get rain. Draw price suggesting that won't be a problem.

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:18

Richardson said it 'if McCullum knew the way this pitch would play out' he wouldn't have declared that early ............he said something along those lines

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:22

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:18PM, West Coast Eagles wrote:

Richardson said it 'if McCullum knew the way this pitch would play out' he wouldn't have declared that early ............he said something along those lines

It's because he is a useless captain. Of course he knew the pitch would play like this. It plays like this every time they play here.
The groundsman leaves so much grass on the deck that it cannot deteriorate. I've been saying it since day 1.

By:

pxb When: 13 Dec 15 22:25

I think BMc saw the rain coming and that's why he declared at 400 and not more.

By:

detraveller When: 13 Dec 15 22:26

New Zealand odds just started moving a little.

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:27

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:25PM, pxb wrote:

I think BMc saw the rain coming and that's why he declared at 400 and not more.

I said that yesterday but even so, he should have gone harder, earlier. Should of batted 4 as he knew showers were in the vicinity.
He was nothing short of dreadful in Aus.
Changing the field all the time & attacking all the time doesn't make a good captain.

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:27

OUT

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:28

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:25PM, pxb wrote:

I think BMc saw the rain coming and that's why he declared at 400 and not more.

To be fair, he got it absolutely bang on in terms of the amount of time lost to weather: a little bit of run rate pressure in the unlikely event that SL get through enough overs to stand a chance but a maximum amount of time to bowl them out. If they lose he'll be slaughtered for it but that doesn't make it a bad decision, any more than losing bet is automatically a bad one.

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:28

Neil Wagner, crucial wicket there

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 13 Dec 15 22:29

big wicket!

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:30

NZ price crashes from 1.49 to 1.20 after that wicket

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:30

actually it did hit above 1.50

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:30

Hmm, too greedy on the NZ lays yet again. Oh well. I'm almost 1k green on NZ too so not going to complain.

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:32

First SL wicket not caught. I bet that doesn't happen very often

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:35

Would a further long odds back of NZ be trying to repeat a trick that's run its course this test, do you think?

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:37

Time for a blockathon from SL

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:38

Market is in love with NZ

By:

Whisperingdeath When: 13 Dec 15 22:38

Matthews could have batted half the overs. Without him I think it is unlikely I mean more than unlikely

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:39

There is a new ball to come too.

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:39

OUT LBW

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:39

big big wicket of Chandimal

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:40

REVIEW

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:40

OUT

By:

West Coast Eagles When: 13 Dec 15 22:41

As Danny Morrison would say thats 'GONESKI'

By:

Fatslogger When: 13 Dec 15 22:44

Just the decision on whether to cede a bit of my NZ green to cover a whole load of blocking with or without some rain getting them to stumps. It's just not a percentage bet though, I don't think. This is an easy NZ win from here, as it mostly looked all along.

By:

pxb When: 13 Dec 15 22:44

Should be over quickly now.

By:

jucel69 When: 13 Dec 15 22:44

yeh that's the game now