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New Zealand v Sri lanka 1st Test Dunedin

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Replies: 462
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 22:47
Hardly made anything on this game. I just haven't fancied NZ at the odds on this pitch.
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Dec 15 22:48
Lessons learnt. See you guys next game.
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:49
SL 168/5
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 22:49
Still got massive greens on the draw & SL. No chance of laying them off now.
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:49
SL 2nd innings runs line now at 250.5
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:50
Goes up to 255.5 after that boundary
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:51
REVIEW
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:53
hawkeye showing that was bouncing over the stumps.......
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:54
I thought it was a question of whether the ball was pitching on line
By:
Fatslogger
When: 13 Dec 15 22:54

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:49PM, jucel69 wrote:


Still got massive greens on the draw & SL. No chance of laying them off now.


Easy to sound wise now, but this looked like a NZ win the whole way through. I was too greedy with my SL green but because I was hoping to cash it in for a bit more rather than because I saw them winning.

Anyway, 33 matched bets this test and think most of them were fairly reasonable. Assuming the almost inevitable NZ romp to a win, will have got me out of gaol for this weekend's largely fairly abortive gambling.

By:
pxb
When: 13 Dec 15 22:55
I'll make 200 on NZ, after some poor decisions throughout the Test. Made it all and then some, trading last night in a market concerned about rain today.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 22:56

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:54PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:49PM, jucel69 wrote:Still got massive greens on the draw & SL. No chance of laying them off now.Easy to sound wise now, but this looked like a NZ win the whole way through. I was too greedy with my SL green but because I was hoping to cash it in for a bit more rather than because I saw them winning. Anyway, 33 matched bets this test and think most of them were fairly reasonable. Assuming the almost inevitable NZ romp to a win, will have got me out of gaol for this weekend's largely fairly abortive gambling.


Yeh just never fancied them at sub 1.5 most of the game. Especially at this ground on a flat deck with weather always in the background.

By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:57
LBW
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:57
REVIEW
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:57
thought it was plum
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 22:58

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:55PM, pxb wrote:


I'll make 200 on NZ, after some poor decisions throughout the Test. Made it all and then some, trading last night in a market concerned about rain today.


I've got a paltry 100 quid on NZ and thousands on the other twoCry.
I'm pretty philosophical though as I didn't fancy either test this week.

By:
Fatslogger
When: 13 Dec 15 22:58

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:56PM, jucel69 wrote:


Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:54PM, Fatslogger wrote:Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:49PM, jucel69 wrote:Still got massive greens on the draw & SL. No chance of laying them off now.Easy to sound wise now, but this looked like a NZ win the whole way through. I was too greedy with my SL green but because I was hoping to cash it in for a bit more rather than because I saw them winning. Anyway, 33 matched bets this test and think most of them were fairly reasonable. Assuming the almost inevitable NZ romp to a win, will have got me out of gaol for this weekend's largely fairly abortive gambling.Yeh just never fancied them at sub 1.5 most of the game. Especially at this ground on a flat deck with weather always in the background.


Completely take the point and easy one to be playing around the margins trading rather than backing the winner. It's perfectly possible I've just been a bit lucky leaving a lot of red on the draw most of the game and not seeing a total downpour.

By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:58
hit middle and off
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 22:59
my god, ball missing
By:
PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH
When: 13 Dec 15 23:00
Laugh
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 23:00

Dec 13, 2015 -- 10:59PM, West Coast Eagles wrote:


my god, ball missing


just saw the odds change , couldn't believe it

By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:01
ball tracking doesn't take into account of the ball 'reversing'
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 23:03
Still 71 overs left. Only bowled 27 in 150 minsSurprised
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 23:04

Dec 13, 2015 -- 11:03PM, jucel69 wrote:


Still 71 overs left. Only bowled 27 in 150 mins


No I'm wrong, Crazy still 30 mins left

By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 23:05
So used to lunch being on the hour
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:06
REVIEW
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:06
Nigel Llong reckons there was bat
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:07
good decision
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:08
Paul Reiffel : "Well Done"
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:11
SL NEED 212 off a minimum 69.0 overs [5 Wickets In Hand]
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:12
WIDE
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:12
no need to run for that
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Dec 15 23:12

Dec 13, 2015 -- 11:11PM, West Coast Eagles wrote:


SL NEED 212 off a minimum 69.0 overs [5 Wickets In Hand]


SL win a lot more likely than a draw. Think they are going to play their shots here.

By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:13
agree
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:13
Vithanage not holding back here, I think he knows runs are going to be easier against the old ball than new ball
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:13
Vithanage 38 off 33
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:13
a little psychological barrier overcome, target now under 200
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:14
NZ wouldnt mind this , taking risky shots
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 13 Dec 15 23:15
15 minutes till lunch
By:
Fatslogger
When: 13 Dec 15 23:15

Dec 13, 2015 -- 11:12PM, jucel69 wrote:


Dec 13, 2015 -- 11:11PM, West Coast Eagles wrote:SL NEED 212 off a minimum 69.0 overs [5 Wickets In Hand]SL win a lot more likely than a draw. Think they are going to play their shots here.


Yep, both obviously vanishingly unlikely but agree. Suppose Herath could come in and block for 30 overs but it's only really this pair that could save the game and they'd win it well before that. Unfortunately can't really see any way of deriving profit from that knowledge short of laying the draw at 18s when I'm already £1.8k red on it. Not appealing.

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