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Traded out for a modest profit.
Case of wait and see if there is another opportunity... ![]() ![]() |
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How low can Aus go here?
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Draw showing almost no inclination to drop at all. Problem is Aus scoring so fast that the Aus win is eating up the NZ win rather than the draw coming in. NZ and draw backers need Warner out, really. Still a bit surprised it's moved so little. This clearly isn't a bad batting track.
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The market only seeing one result this test. I'm tempted to have a small go at NZ at 20s. You don't often get the chance to back a reasonable side at those sort of odds before they've even given away 100 runs.
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Well, I don't think they'll win but they've not looked out of any chance of taking wickets so I've backed NZ for £50 at 21s. That's just so long.
I'm now of course just going to see Aussie runs pile up, the draw not shorten and then NZ get torn apart. To be fair, those aren't unlikely events. |
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Same as last game IMO. Only difference really, is that Aus started much shorter, and as such, can't really hold the draw off as long. Draw was 4.20-4.50 at the bewilderment of a few of us. 8.40+, there must come a time today that it starts to shorten.
Not getting caught out on it again this game. Need to find the bottom of the Aus price before we can look at the draw. |
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Nice thing about having some cash on NZ is that I'm covered if wickets tumble and will hopefully see the draw eventually decide to move if they don't. I'm not in for any more now but that is one hell of a short Aussie price.
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I've got a big green on the draw. NZ should bat OK on this pitch.
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Craig bowling bantha fodder again
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lucky there, looked out to me. I'd have given that out
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My draw green is at the expense of a big NZ red. When NZ bat, NZ and the draw will move in the same direction, so not much risk.
The risk was Aus get knocked over for a small score and that's passed. |
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Looked pretty good shout to me.
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ahh, bat.
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Dumpkof Schizer!
If you are on the rope stay on the rope. I learned that as a 12 year old! |
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Nz are toast.
Hi Ho, it's off to lay we go. |
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Seems pretty ridiculous I could back NZ at 21s when Aus 90/0 and still at least theoretically bowl out able for a score under 400 s d they've only gone out to 30s at 318/1.
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Market realises as they have done for the last half a day, that NZ will be batting tomorrow afternoon, ~600 behind, regardless of wickets or declaration.
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Very unlikely we see much change til then. Fortunately, there appears to be ODI game on tonight, and another test starting tomorrow, as this one looks about fooked.
Did make a little safe money on it though, so while has been very boring from both a watching and betting perspective, boring tends to still lead to money, albeit without a whole lot of risk, which ultimately is the aim, even if it does feel like I haven't done anything for the day. |
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Take the new ball, or don't. Not really important. Australia will still get to 550-600. The quicker they do it, the less bowling needs to be done.
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Warner can thank his missus for that.
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Stupid and irrelevant.
But will ask anyway. Do the reviews added get added on the new ball, or on the 90th over?? ![]() ![]() |
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Sorry, 80th over.
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I mean, if they don't take the new ball, do they still get the reviews?
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lol.
Ball was replaced after 7 overs wasn't it? This one lasted 3 balls? Give these fcukers the sack. |
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get reset after 80 overs
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kk. Figured as such. But then thought ask anyway.
They were saying, those balls cost around 400 dollars.... lol |
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Embarrassing this is for the Kiwis. Proper bend over and touch yer toes stuff
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Yeah, what was the game before? 1st wicket took 503 runs? Didn't fair much better next game. 1/381 here. Amazing really.
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They have probably cost a few careers too.
Khawaja probably booked into number 3 for next 12 months regardless. Burns probably not far off either. |
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Khawaja I think was averaging 25.5 when risked coming back in 10 months after a knee reco? Currently on 42.5 now.
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farcical stuff this
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worse than the first two tests in Abu Dhabi
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Against South Africa and Sri Lanka? Both were drawn. This unlikely to be.
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This innings reminds me of a Kevin 'Bloody' Wilson song - "Bend over and take it like a man, superdooperdildo"
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Market realises as they have done for the last half a day, that NZ will be batting tomorrow afternoon, ~600 behind, regardless of wickets or declaration.
Sure that's true but it's still a bit odd, as there's a massive difference between 90/0 and 318/1. You have to think that NZ had an at least reasonable chance of keeping the win in the equation from the former, very little indeed from the latter. Anyway, got my lay of NZ at 32s matched after close and some of my lay of the draw at 7 so may not end up having a terrible test. Still disappointed that I didn't call the draw getting as long as it did but 8s always felt pretty high, expecting it to get up to 9s would have been a bit deep. |
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Possible storm forecast tomorrow. Seems unlikely to me, but draw could move around.
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I'm on the draw at an average of 8.87 and trying to work out what to do with it. A bit (or preferably a lot!) of rain would help.
Aussies scored so quickly and will be at least 600 up after a day-and-a-half (depending on rain of course). Can NZ bat for three days using both innings? I doubt it but at the odds I'll risk keeping the draw. |
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Suspect there might be an early declaration like last time with the intention of batting third again to give the bowlers respite from the sun.
Brave man Charlie but big rewards if it comes off. |
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Foinavon • November 13, 2015 6:37 PM GMT
Suspect there might be an early declaration like last time with the intention of batting third again to give the bowlers respite from the sun spot on foinavon I'd say most likely aussies bat into the 2nd session today and declare at around 600 then try to bowl NZ out 1st time round in 3-4 sessions for approx 300 then bat again to set them 500 ish and try to bowl them out in minimum 5 sessions similar to the gabba really |