Nov 29, 2013 -- 11:54AM, BJT wrote:

Dstyle.I think you are pretty spot on.In regards to Johnson though, I don't think he is any more vulnerable than Anderson/Broad.  When the conditions suit, they take a bag, when they don't, they get smacked around the park.  And they need different conditions, so are hardly "on" at the same time.Broad at Brisbane got wickets, but that was due to the Australians more than him.  He certainly bowled decent, but Aus gave their wickets up more than he took them.Chester-le-street, on the other hand, he took them, and looked like he could have taken plenty more.  That spell of bowling by Broad was by far the best bowled test I have seen recently throughout the 2 series.If he doesn't take a bag though, which is often, he goes for plenty.  He isn't much different in that regard than Johnson.  In fact, even with the batting, neither team would be too concerned with having them as their next batsman in.  Very similar in regards to results, but obviously Johnson is much quicker, and should be much more effective in Aus.Anderson of course however, is much worse than either.  After the first test, what exactly has he done?First test:10/158.Since3/802/1532/1385/1222/140Anderson at Nottingham:7/1191/1579/9811/715/1316/11610/15849/85015% of his wickets have been taken there, and averages about 17 or so there.286/9196He averages 32.15 outside of that ground.Adelaide he has:1/1086/143Australia he has:1/1951/1083/1102/1146/1434/1265/1157/1272/14031/1178That is an average of 38 when bowling in Australia.Compare that with somebody like Harris, who is yet to have a series he averaged over 30, and is currently sitting on an average that puts him in the elite.Talk about Johnson all you like, but realistically, Anderson is the one most likely to fail, and Broad really is less consistent than Johnson.Who for the record has had issues, but since 2012, has taken 6/1646/793/920/609/103Adelaide all up has to his name:6/1595/858/20819 wickets @23.8Perth for the record:5/14411/1595/1599/826/164averaging 16.89....Brisbane:4/969/694/1100/1709/10326/548Averaging 21.08Melbourne:3/462/1636/822/1346/7919@26.53Sydney:2/1814/1185/914/1683/9218@36.11Apart from Sydney, there is nothing to suggest at all that he isn't an exceptional bowler on home soil.  Very few matches where he failed.4 games out of 24 where he didn't have at the very least very good figures.Compare that with somebody like Anderson, who has had 3 out of the last 4 games as extremely poor.I understand that Johnson is seen as a wayward bowler, but he has no reason not to have confidence going into Adelaide.  Coming off a 9 for, averaging under 24 at the ground.Anderson?And not forgetting Clarke averages 110+ at Adelaide coming off 2 double centuries in the last 2 games, Australia have every reason to believe that Adelaide is perfect for them.England of course have a good record, at least Pietersen loves it there, and Cook has a double century, but neither are really considered in any form better than woeful.

That is what I said about Johnson, how he excels in Australia and no reason to think he wouldn't....