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China stockmarket down 7 %

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Replies: 345
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 25 Feb 16 11:42
No MT, wouldn't touch them with a bargepole.

They're too easily manipulated by connections out to make a quick buck.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 25 Feb 16 11:47
We have to use major turning points as our benchmarks for calculations on rises or drops to make any sense.

The six month period I used was a coincidence.
It just happened to be a dead six months on the day that I posted.
By:
Money Tree cost me thousands!!
When: 25 Feb 16 11:55
I've learnt that the hard way. Herencia have a months trading money left.
They are trying to sell off some assets so they can continue to exist.
Years have been spent testing the ground and they have some fantastic mineralisation.
They will never dig it out. Just bank the wages.
Opportunity was huge. Delivery of business plans horrific.
Someone will end up with a decent bit of land with good ore 
Herencia share holders will end up with empty pockets.
By:
Money Tree cost me thousands!!
When: 25 Feb 16 11:57
As the people on here seem rather seasoned with stocks any suggestions for good dividend stocks?
I started buying into companies looking to profit from increased share price and did ok but think long term
dividend stocks a good option
By:
Stow_judge
When: 25 Feb 16 12:08
GSK. The dividends would not be of much comfort should the stock get dragged down with a market fall.
Have you invested in retail bonds before?
By:
Money Tree cost me thousands!!
When: 25 Feb 16 23:11
No stow I've not. Do they pay a yearly amount!
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 29 Feb 16 16:24
This crash is a long time coming.

We're only 14% down on where we were last April.
It doesn't even look like bear territory at the moment.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 29 Feb 16 16:34
Most of the retails bonds pay out twice per year. The dividends in an ISA or pension are not taxed. The bonds are traded on the LSE from start to finish. The bonds have different duration. Retail bonds are not covered by the UK deposit protection scheme. If a company goes out of business, you may lose some or all of your investment. Selftrade is one of the better brokers to use, as you can trade most of them online.

http://www.fixedincomeinvestor.co.uk/x/learnaboutbonds.html
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/prices-and-markets/retail-bonds/retail-bonds-search.html
By:
Stow_judge
When: 29 Feb 16 16:34
ONLY 14% Grin
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 29 Feb 16 18:27
I'd presume that it was only viewed as a technical rally, as some thought the market was temporarily oversold.
If you can think of some positive factors that might weigh against this tidal wave of risks, then I'll be amazed!



    Negative factors                                       
    Oil price collapse symbolic of weak worldwide demand           
    Chinese $30 trillion debt           
    Brexit           
    Worldwide debt           
    ISIS           
    European migrant crisis           
    Hong Kong real estate bubble collapsing           
    Banks bad debts still a problem after 2008 crisis           
    UK Consumer credit binge   


ONLY 14%

It was almost down that amount when you posted the above.
Surely you were anticipating a much larger fall than 14%?
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 12:22
14% is a lot, but yes I certainly expect further falls. None of the above list have gone away.

Fear of new debt bubble as household borrowing soars
Households are borrowing more than £1 billion each month to finance new cars, holidays and big-ticket consumer items in a spending splurge that economists warn could fuel another dangerous debt bubble.
Figures from the Bank of England showed that unsecured lending to households rose at the fastest pace in a decade in January, rising by 9.1 per cent, a level not recorded since 2006. In total, consumers borrowed £1.6 billion in January, up from £1.1 billion the month before.
In what was described by economists as a rediscovered “zeal for borrowing”, £500 million was piled on to credit cards in January. In total, households owe £63.8 billion on credit cards and £115.7 billion in other loans, excluding mortgages, as low interest rates continue to drive up demand for unsecured credit.
This follows on from a spike in borrowing in November, when shoppers made the most of deals during the Black Friday weekend before Christmas and growth in consumer credit jumped by £300 million that month to £1.6 billion.
The sharp growth in consumer credit is likely to cause concern for Bank of England policymakers, who will be worried that Britons are making themselves vulnerable if another financial downturn were to occur.
“What we are seeing is the early stages of what could potentially be another debt problem,” Samuel Tombs, chief economist of Pantheon Macro-economics, said. “I think the Bank of England will have to act fairly soon this year to cool lending.” The Bank’s financial policy committee has said that it may raise the amount of money that banks are required to put aside to cover their lending as the economy continues its recovery from the financial crisis.
Some debt charities have expressed concern about the pace at which consumers are taking on credit.
Martin Beck, senior economic adviser to the EY Item Club, said: “The Bank of England has expressed increasing concern about the frothiness of the lending data in recent months, so while the FPC may not intervene in the buy-to-let market, broader action is possible.”
Mortgage approvals also soared in January, jumping to the highest level in two years, in a sign that would-be landlords are rushing to buy homes before the extra 3 per cent stamp duty on buy-to-let properties and second homes takes effect in April. The total figure for mortgage approvals in January was 75,581, hitting the highest level since January 2014 and up strongly from 71,335 in December. It also surpassed economists’ expectations of 74,000, but was still significantly below the pre-crisis rate of more than 100,000 a month.
Many analysts believe that mortgage approvals will fall once the new stamp duty charge comes into effect.
Ruth Miller, of Capital Economics, said: “The stamp duty surcharge should only provide a temporary stimulus to the housing market. Once this temporary effect fades, buyer demand will probably fall, easing the current upward pressure on mortgage approvals over the remainder of the year.”
Some economists believe that an interest rate rise from the present 0.5 per cent is the only way that Britons will curb borrowing.
By:
Crisp77
When: 01 Mar 16 13:38
Greggs shares up 15% today and Ocado down 3.5%...must be a huge recession coming.Laugh
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Mar 16 14:06
Marvellous stuff from S_J.

You're saying that all that bad news will stop people from buying shares?

Yet in the last thirteen days the FTSE100 as I write has risen by 600 points.

Why hasn't it gone down instead?
By:
xmoneyx
When: 01 Mar 16 14:23
I bought 1000 greg donuts 11am
By:
breadnbutter
When: 01 Mar 16 15:56
greggs shutting 3 factories ,laying off 250 people Sad

tbh there pies/sausage rolls are grim but they have been making there munee out of other stuff anyway
By:
Crisp77
When: 01 Mar 16 16:01
They've got their fingers in a lot of pies...that's why I stopped buying them.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 17:21
We can all pick a time period to suit the point they are trying to make, though you seem a particular expert at this! It is my belief that the overall trend is DOWN.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 17:30
btw one reason for recent rises might be the anticipation of more ECB intervention announced at next week's meeting. I can't find any news of any economy growing to justify any upward short term moves.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Mar 16 18:34
We can all pick a time period to suit the point they are trying to make, though you seem a particular expert at this!

Well I gave a very good reason for choosing the starting point that I chose.
You simply chose a period to suit your argument.

I can't find any news of any economy growing to justify any upward short term moves.

Yet the market continues to rise?

Although up can be down the way you read the market.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Mar 16 19:02
Had I bought on the straight reversal that occurred over the 11 and 12 of this month, I would be very nervous tonight after todays action.
In fact I would have taken profits today.
Better to be safe than sorry.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 20:02
I pick a period to suit my argument and you fish out a 13 day move Laugh

Down can be up for your arguments too. The FTSE 100 is down year to date (-1.42%) and in the last calendar year (-11.43%)

I offer lots of reasons why the sentiment should be negative, yet you offer nothing to explain the direction. We can all read a chart between two points. Mischief
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Mar 16 20:07
Yet in the last thirteen days the FTSE100 as I write has risen by 600 points.

Why hasn't it gone down instead?


My thirteen day rise came with a question. And I see you haven't answered it.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 01 Mar 16 20:12
The FTSE 100 is down year to date (-1.42%) and in the last calendar year (-11.43%)

Lol. Go back four years and it's up.

That's why tops and bottoms should be used as your benchmarks.
Not set periods of time which don't tell the proper story.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 20:31
This question?
Surely you were anticipating a much larger fall than 14%?

I consider 14% to be a very significant event. I'm expecting the market to lose a fair bit more, but the market does not trade on fundamentals to such a large extent, largely due to extremely high central bank intervention. Central bank intervention may work in the short to medium term, but the vast majority of world problems are not fixed. In fact, they have arguably not even hit their prime target, repairing bank balance sheets and in fact have created another source of instability in COCO bonds.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 01 Mar 16 20:44
How about the fact that the US dollar still amounts to ca. 2/3 of the world's reserve currencies? A country with $19 trillion debt. We aren't doing too good in Europe either!


http://cointelegraph.com/news/rumor-mill-new-reserve-currency-may-rock-us-dollar-in-october
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Budget_Deficit_and_Public_Debt_to_GDP_in_2012_(for_selected_EU_Members).png
By:
Stow_judge
When: 05 Mar 16 15:11
    Negative factors            Positive factors      
        Chinese $30 trillion debt                     
        Worldwide debt                     
        Brexit                     
    300 billion UK final salary pension deficit                  
    UK Dividend doomsday                  
        Oil price weakness symbolic of weak worldwide demand                     
        ISIS                     
        European migrant crisis                     
        Hong Kong real estate bubble collapsing                     
        Banks bad debts still a problem after 2008 crisis                     
        UK Consumer credit binge              
               





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/investing/shares/income-investors-warned-they-are-heading-for-doomsday-for-divide/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/03/04/debt-explosion-awaits-unless-policymakers-defuse-demographic-tim/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/pensions/11423713/Final-salary-pension-Your-retirement-income-is-at-risk.html
By:
jollyswagman
When: 05 Mar 16 19:09
i was reading about coco bonds a few days ago stow, the latest financial weapon of mass destruction? all the problems pre 2008 plus many trillions more in debt, fantastic!

i keep plugging gold, in sterling my stack (not that big) is up over 20% this year.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 06 Mar 16 19:24
Debtor days are over as BIS calls time on world credit binge
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/03/04/debtor-days-are-over-as-bis-calls-time-on-world-credit-binge/
By:
jollyswagman
When: 06 Mar 16 20:36
the trouble is the board of the bis consists of the people who caused all the things the bis is now complaining about.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 10 Mar 16 17:23
Is Dragi now firing blanks? If so, what else can they do & is the biggest market fall any of us might ever see in our lifetimes in the not to distant horizon? Shocked
By:
Stow_judge
When: 10 Mar 16 17:24
too
By:
jollyswagman
When: 10 Mar 16 17:55
i think it may be time to put on my tin hat and head for the hills stow Crazy

have we reached peak bull sh*t yet or can the central bankers fool the markets for a while longer?

what's coming next? cash bans, supposedly in the name of fighting money laundering (we're all assumed guilty) but really a way to control us and steal our cash.
By:
Stow_judge
When: 10 Mar 16 18:14
Yes, THEY would love an electronic currency, so they could bale everyone in who had cash every time they failed to govern within the budget.
They also will be raising both the state pension age and even the age you can draw your personal pension at, which disgusts me!
How about some re-claim of gold or any asset they can grab their hands on?
Some new stealth taxes perhaps, which will only quash any chance of growth and plunge us all into a giant black hole. ShockedCrazy
By:
TheBaron
When: 10 Mar 16 18:17
Well if all this is true its about time for a good old World War to reset the global economy.
By:
jollyswagman
When: 10 Mar 16 18:21
i know, for all my plugging of gold there is nothing to stop them taxing/stealing it from me Cry

the only good thing is that the bundesbank have come out against doing away with cash.

we're going into the black hole one way or another, i say lets get it over and done with asap.
By:
jollyswagman
When: 10 Mar 16 18:25
war is another way of diverting the public's attention from the mess that has been created baron. the neo-cons who control american foreign policy seem intent on this, hence surrounding russia with military hardware and overthrowing the corrupt but elected ukrainian government.
By:
Crisp77
When: 10 Mar 16 18:33
I've sent this thread to Morrissey so he can cheer himself up
By:
TheBaron
When: 10 Mar 16 18:35
All them weapons...be a shame not to use them
By:
jollyswagman
When: 10 Mar 16 18:35
Laugh

always look on the bright side of life
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 10 Mar 16 19:18
So no one recommends we buy any shares at the moment then?

That's a comfort.

When Joe in the street talks about share prices it's time to sell.

And when it's all doom and gloom and things can't get any worse it's time to buy.

We're not at the buy stage yet judging by the market action; but we're getting there.
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