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Totally agree - it will hose up in a fast run champion hurdle.
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This is "pound for pound" the best National Hunt horse on the planet in its category - I am expecting this horse to be rated the best 2M Hurdler of the last decade by the end of this season.
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Pound for pound?
I've heard it all now. I have it on good authority that the horse shiits gold bars as well. Some people do get carried away. |
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fast champion hurdle..loses ground at it's hurdles oops
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yep because Faugheen's jumping was horrific in the Herald Champion Novice Hurdle ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKR4Y0bHeE |
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some people on this thread seem to have been following the sport for of of 2 seasons hyperbole at its best.
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Paterson
The question arises because of how he kicked the downhill hurdles out of the ground in the Neptune. I don't think he could do that in a champion hurdle. |
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I agree that he can't do that in a Champion Hurdle, not denying that. However, that 2 mile race in Ireland showed just how much a decent pace improves his jumping and that pace will be even quicker in the Champion that, in my opinion, will be an advantage. No one can deny his jumping improved that day. He's in the right hands for the next 6 months and with the exception of injury, he will make many punters richer for a 2nd year in a row! Everyone is entitled to their own opinion. If only I had £1 for every time I heard/read people doubting this horse due to the way he jumps a hurdle - I hope the outcome is the same in 6 months time!
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don't underestimate jezki won more impressively than he was given credit for, last year.
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Totally agree Howdi and admittedly I was one of those who didn't give him the credit he was due at the time. On the plus side, thanks to Jezki, My Tent has received its last penny from me. Still very interested to see where UDS will end up next season!
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Simply The Best, better than all the rest.
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Don't get me wrong paterson. I'm not in any way dismissing the horses chances. I very much liked the way he put the Neptune race to bed and the Punchestown result was very much expected by me because I didn't think the drop to 2 miles would inconvenience him. My personal view at this stage is that Faugheen and Jezki are the two I wouldn't want to be taking on. So I rate the horse very highly and think he is the one who could be anything but as yet until he races against the best we really can't say for sure. But I like him a lot.
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Good luck paterson.
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Rumour has it that MTOY is going chasing as first preference.
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Interesting that Jezki was top rated novice hurdler of 2012-2013 season (and for many a season) before he went on to win the following years Champion hurdle. I for one wouldn't be surprised if he stamped his authority in this division now, although I respect The New One & Faugheen, who could be anything. I am more conservative than most but I would be fairly confident the winner of the Champion Hurdle will come from these three. I would be very interested in Vautour in the Champion hurdle as he struck me as a real Cheltenham specialist, track playing to his strengths. I think he is a solid bet for the Arkle (should he be confirmed for this route), much the same way Simonsig looked a couple of years ago (Simonsig was 3-1 ante post favourite), so 5's looks fair, to me.
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Faugheen rated 161 now , same mark as Jezki at the end of his Novice Hurdling season, by the way.
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Best of luck Howdi. You been having a few ante post bets already for the festival? I normally wait until November/December but have had a few quid on here and there.
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And with regard to MTOY - massive fan of the horse. Left me devastated on more than one occasion - most notably the defeat to Champagne Fever in the Supreme and the defeat to Jezki in March. But would definitely like to see him over a fence - could be exactly what is required to settle him as nothing else appears to work. Would love to see him win a Champion but unfortunately can't see it happening now.
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Nothing yet Paterson. I have the uncanny knack of getting one injured once I have backed it.
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Haha I know that feeling. I have the magic of making a horse go off a short priced favourite but fall early on - Briar Hill.
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Champagne Fever was top rated novice hurdler 2013. OR164
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Ignore that. That was RPR.
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no he wasnt it was jezki (bhb)
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Thats why I said ignore what I said. I read his RPR instead of his OR.
Faugheen as I can see is 158. Where did you read 161 ? |
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then don't clutter the site with bollox
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faugheen is 161 i'll send you the full excel list if you want via email, if this would be handy let me know, ive sent it to 3-4 people on here over the summer. Howdi
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Faugheen battered his through 3 of the last 4 flights in the Neptune, skied the last, if he jumps the way he hurdles, he hasn't a hope in the big chases in my opinion. I've read the suggestion that he'll "respect" fences more but I can't see it. He has a serious engine but I'd keep this horse to Hurdles and aim him at the Stayers. The owners have Vautour and Annie Power for novice chases.
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stayers why not champion?
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My opinion Howdi would be that he doesn't hurdle anything like a champion hurdler, at least on the Neptune evidence. In the past the Stayers has been dominated by horses with big engines and a less than perfect hurdling technique, e.g. Big Bucks. I think at this minute that is the profile I would have of him.
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Always interested to see other people's opinions! Puzzle as always (Willie probably doesn't know for certain himself) but my thinking is the following 3 are being targeted ...
Arkle - Vautour (Champagne Fever route) Champion - Faugheen (has the engine for it - jumping the concern) Mares Hurdle - Annie Power (now a Grade 1 and no Quevega) No idea where Un De Sceaux will end up, thought initially another French campaign but having 2nd thoughts. If not, Arkle or Champion likely to be the aim. Pont Alexandre to make a return (not even going to try and guess). Briar Hill I always just assumed would go chasing but I'm thinking World Hurdle could be a possibility. Djakadam maybe Gold Cup? Shaneshill maybe Supreme? Then of course Willie has the Gigginstown pair Tell Us More and Alez Columbierres who may be worth keeping an eye on ... |
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It seems a fashionable viewpoint that Faugheen is a poor jumper. Poor beggar has had a mere 6 starts under rules, 5 of them in a hurdle race, 2 of which were at the very top table. He was a NOVICE during this time and is entitled to improve his technique with more experience. It seemed to me last term that it improved all the way through with racing and in a faster run race.
I don't see it as an issue. |
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Well said sir.
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He jumped perfectly well for most of the Neptune and did so again on his final start at Punchestown. The question which remains is how he will take three and two out in the champion? He was going at his own pace over the longer distance this year as he'd taken it up then but he still made a right horlicks of both those flights as the race began to generate steam.
I simply don't believe that he can make such mistakes in 2015 and win a champion hurdle. Going back over 20 years I don't recall any horse making those types of mistakes at the business end of champion hurdles and winning. Not only are champion hurdlers good hurdlers but they generally have an outstanding ability to get from one side to the other with lightning speed and efficiency and at the highest level this often makes the difference. So any bet has to be done in the hope that it will be okay on the day because he won't be running on the champion track or anything like it until the day and the chances are that sooner or later he will flatten a hurdle. |
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I would dispute that he made a 'right horlicks' of the flights. He made errors and was less than fluent, as are many novices at times or even seasoned hurdlers.
Jezki is not the best jumper of a hurdle you will ever see, neither is The New One & Punjabi fell before winning his. Just some examples off the top of my head. Is there room for improvement in Faugheens jumping? Of Course Does he have the room to make that improvement? Given the normal progression from novice to more experienced hurdler, I think he does. Will he make that improvement? Million dollar question ![]() |
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I would be more worried about him staying sound and healthy given he has had reported problems in staying sound. It is encouraging though that he managed to run at Punchestown after appearing at Cheltenham as you would have thought the undulating nature of Cheltenham may have aggravated any underlying soundness issues.
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Neither Jezki or The New One are always the cleanest of hurdlers but they perfectly illustrate the point. Jezki didn't jump four out that well but it didn't matter too much because they hadn't started to race at that stage. The key point is that either by luck or good jockeyship as they began to really race going to three out Geraghty saw a stride and Jezki flew it and jumped two out quickly taking him into the lead and for a few strides after he sat quiet allowing the horse to fill his lungs for the finish. The New One was close enough going to three out but he jumped that one a little clumsily and did so again at two out and they had flown away. Punjabi was generally a good jumper and did jump well when he won. Of course horses can and do come to grief.
Where I disagree is your characterisation of Faugheen's mistakes especially at three out. Two out he was more clumsy and in a champion that would have cost him a length or so. Three out he hit halfway up and flattened it. Champion hurdlers don't tend to do that at that stage because the taps are really turned on. Such a mistake would have cost him two or three lengths at the top level and momentum. Racing so much quicker at that stage could even see him on the floor making that mistake in a champion. Of course not only could he improve (although he does spend more time than ideal in the air even jumping well) but he just could have one of those rounds like Jezki where he makes his mistake when it doesn't matter and he jumps the hurdles where speed is of the essence really well. |
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Hard to disagree with anything you say really. I am not saying he is the best jumper of a hurdle ever but he is not as bad as some are making out either, in my opinion only of course.
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In the interests of fairness and collective knowledge I'll throw another potential scenario into the equation touched on by some of his greatest advocates. Perhaps this horse just is that little bit special and if he plays to his strength of galloping at a high cruising speed as he did in arguably his two best performances is it not conceivable that he could do a Hardy Eustace from the front and control the race to suit himself? In these circumstances a mistake or two if he's up in the van become less problematic for his chances than if he's sat three or four off the lead and trying to make ground as they run to three out.
From memory with the exception of Sublimity and Hurricane in 2011, in the last decade the winners have either been at the front or near to it or if they couldn't get near the front they were working hard to maintain whatever position they could get (Brave Inca and Hurricane in 2013). |
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And this is what draws me back to the jumps year after year. The debate will rage for six months as we sift through all the clues along the way. Not only for this horse and this race but for all the big races at the festival and that's only part of the narrative arc which stretches from the Charlie Hall all the way to Punchestown.
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Can't recall a horse in recent times who has caused such debate, can't help but think Willie Mullins put everyone away, when he said Faugheen was better, while he mopped up the 14-1 on the Champion (in March, after the festival).
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