If I hadnt laid off it was 4k ... not a great move when I posted up my thoughts BEFORE the race on Menorah on here. I'll find it and post it up how I thought the race would go.

Here we are lad. Now stop being a control freak with the forum people can post what they want especially when it gives punters the benefit of nearly 3 decades of antepost experience [:happy

Re Silviniaco Conti


eric_morris
Date Joined: 27 Jun 10 Add contact | Send message When: 22 Nov 10 21:09

Nicholls weakest area is 2 mile hurdlers so this one has been thrust upon him dont expect too much from him.


Re Menorah

eric_morris
Send message When: 01 Dec 10 12:45

Menorah could be bursting a couple of bubbles here imo.

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red and white
Send message When: 28 Nov 10 10:00

Cue Card set to run in the Bula. Happy days.

eric_morris
Send message When: 28 Nov 10 10:26

Happy days if you dont mind him being stuffed by Menorah.

red and white
Send message When: 28 Nov 10 10:38

We'll see. Just hope the race is on. I do think the younger horses are the ones to follow for the big hurdle races this year.

eric_morris
Send message When: 28 Nov 10 11:41

What exactly has Menorah done wrong doing a Rooster Booster carrying 11st 12lb to victory in the Greatwood and has already won the Supreme?


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eric_morris
Send message When: 08 Dec 10 08:35
Menorah needs a fast pace and Silviniaco Conti should provide that. Sit in behind with Cue Card, Silv may not shake both off then when they quicken up Cue Card's hurdling under pressure is tested for the first time and he could easily make a mistake because if any horse can battle them out of it, it is Menorah. Menorah can make the odd mistake but he has proven he can recover from them whereas a novice hits one and the chances are they will lose their rhythm or reduce to empty very quickly in a high class race.

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eric_morris
Send message When: 11 Dec 10 10:18
Cue Card has beaten nothing of the order of what he is facing today and he just did what you'd expect last time against inferior opponents. Really surprised he is fav as there is no guarantees he is good enough to win this years Supreme yet and here he is up against last years excellent Supreme winner and battle-hardened Menorah. Silviniaco has the disadvantage of the drop back in trip but is arguably the biggest danger to Menorah here.


eric_morris
Send message When: 11 Dec 10 10:27
That was an amazing run by Menorah first time out, when the heads go down he is the last to be raising his ... Cue Card wont have met his like before. Menorah the biggest danger to Binocular the Champion Hurdle imo... does need a strong pace hopefully pacemaker today will do its job.

.. by you, you insecure weirdo.

that we have a new Gold Cup contender in Midnight Chase - don't think his form lines tie in with any of the others and he's still improving.

And that Nicholls still has more ammunition than anyone else - and has produced more masterful training to get Master Minded back to his best.

Sintonian, I agree that Menorah was giving Bothy a lot of weight but I don't think that many people would have considered Bothy to be within 40lb of a CH winner. Now (if Menorah ran to the same mark) he must be rated only 28lb away. Don't forget that Menorah was only off 151 that day which is a long way from top class. Yesterday, Menorah beat 2 horses rated 160 and 159 easily so must be up to 165+ making Bothy worth about 138. I think that either Menorah has improved a lot in 3 weeks or the 2 behind him yesterday are over rated.

Don't think they will run in that one Willie - reckon they will go for the 2.5 miler.

Reve you fluked a win on Friday son.

Time fpor Rupert could win the 2.5 miler then follow up with the RSA

time for rupert looks solid for the rsa imo
cue card should stay within the novice ranks this year and win the supreme
midnight chase for the william hill imo
wishfull thinking could be interesting for the arkle...strong run 2miles around cheltenham would suit more than the 2m 4f novice chase
sam winner looks a good horse but pantxoa wasnt given a hard time of it and could be one to watch out for in the near future
master minded looked like he is over last seasons blip and rightfully leads the queen mother betting as havent seen a better horse over 2miles this year....shame i missed the fancy prices :s
any given day....hmmm coral cup maybe.???

Dont think they'd be scared of anything tbh Willie

Next December they will run the vote Jessica Ennis Gold Cup at Cheltenham!!

Seemed to do the trick for AP!!

Racing again. Yipeeeeeeeeeeeee. Super stuff yesterday and very informative. Well at Leopardstown.
It looks like Zaidpour will need further so my Supreme AP looks doomed.
Big Zeb was fantastic and jumped like an old pro. Along with MM, they have the Champion Chase between them.
Hurricane Fly also looked good but, imho, he won like he should have. Everything was in his favour today so there was no reason to think Solwit could beat him. The Champion Hurdle is shaping up to be the race of the festival.
Ghizao for the Arkle? Still not convinced. It's a pity we could not see this meeting as we need to know how they were jumping.
The Sam Winner form was well franked by Grandouet sauntering home.
Doubt if Punchestowns can win a GC, but hopefully Pride of Dulcote can as I'm on at 3 figures
Finally to the star of the NH season. Big Bucks only has to turn up fit and well to take his 3rd World Hurdle. He is simply in a different league to all staying hurdlers.

Oscar Whisky

Arkle looks the worst ever

Gotta a feeling Oscar Whiskey could end up running in the County Hurdle which he is fav for.

Think after defeat in the CHurdle they may be tempted to take the County Hurdle in. He beat a lot of slowish horses yesterday, Karabak would be miles behind in a Champion Hurdle and dropping back to 2m Oscar may fall short for pace. Welsh Champion a v good chance but when in with the best he is likely to need yesterdays trip which he loved.

You cant fall into the easy trap of declaring Oscar a Champion Hurdle horse because he impressed against staying types over this trip when there is evidence there is better. If he had won the Supreme or Triumph you might have some evidence of that but instead you have a horse who already beat him comfortably in the Supreme looking in top shape beating better horses than yesterday over the near CHurdle course and trip.

I'm the last person to rely on the formbook to find future Champions and jockeys opinions of their owm rides (which can relate to how much they want the ride in some cases rather than the horses real prospects), also you need to make a percentage call on information available and not have your view affected by having 80s on him.

stable don't have Punjabi or Zaynar for the race this year (s'pose they could enter Zaynar but it would be futile) - Gearaghty is used to being on one that is competitive for Henderson even though McCoy rides Binocular. Geraghty obviously wants to ride OW in the race - seems a quite straightforward decision to have a crack for me, though yesterday did n't seem like much of a CH trial to me given distance and protagonists.

well Rease,i think we have got used to having the CH without many clues.seems to be the thing now for fancied horses not to face each other much before March!! OW probably wont have any decent opposition,but maybe something will run that will give us a guide.

Plenty of thoughts re Oscar Whiskey and you can look at it 2 ways.
1st, it was only 4L behind Menorah last year in the Supreme, one of the favs for the race, so on that form it deserves to be there.
2nd, beating Karabak, Celestial Halo etc is not, imho, CH winning form. I bet it yesterday and, not taking in what the jock said, I would go for the CH cos where else will it go after it wins the Welsh equivilent for the owners. To much weight for the County.