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The Arkle - early season ramblings

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Replies: 910
By:
CVByrne
When: 07 Jan 11 11:22
I dunno, I'm just against Ghizao at this stage since I don't rate a thing he's beaten and there is big value to be had elsewhere. Tatenen was the same two seasons ago. Nicholls horse that wasn't much over hurdles winning races against none of the  opposition he'll face in march. He just can't be touched at 6/1.

Finian's Rainbow would appeal more given his hurdling form. Still there is plenty of horses yet to run over fences yet who have high hurdling marks.

I just don't like Ghizao on what he's done. Arkle winners don't drop out of the sky like that. They usually have top hurdling form from the previous season.
By:
woodworm
When: 07 Jan 11 12:54
I also think too much is being made of TJMs comparison to Well Chief. WC came second in the Triumph hurdle before his chasing campaign. A different class altogether imo.
By:
Masterminded
When: 07 Jan 11 13:40
cv what horses do you think could be decent arkle horses that haven't ran yet?
By:
CVByrne
When: 07 Jan 11 14:44
Cristal Bonus was going to run today but bangor was off. His hurdling form from the bula and in france is good. Also Flat Out runs tomorrow, his supreme 5th behind Menorah and Oscar Whiskey looks very good hurdling form. Both big prices if you wantthem. Both far  better hurdling form than Ghizao.
By:
Mayweather
When: 07 Jan 11 14:50
Alot of horses have better hurdle form that Ghizao I can see but.... are their chase form better??? No!
By:
CVByrne
When: 07 Jan 11 14:58
They haven't run over fences yet, so no they have no chase form yet.

Arkle winners almost always have good hurdling form. It's a big trends race.
By:
Albion Dan
When: 07 Jan 11 15:04
My take on Ghizao's hurdling form is that it isnt that bad.  A good second behind General Miller who is very smart, then he travelled up well in the Neptune before flattening out.  I dont think he stayed (as well as the others) and if he had a breathing problem this would have massively hindered him. He has obviously improved for fences, and also can now breath.
By:
whitmarsh
When: 07 Jan 11 17:21
I think that horses like Cristal Bonus etc.will not have enough experience of jumping fences at racing speed come the big meeting.Ghizao has won over the Cheltenham fences.At Newbury he beat Capt.Chris,who had a wind op,(the Hobbs people rate him highly).To be honest I think Capt.Chris needs top of the ground to be seen at his best and if getting his ground in the Arkle could improve on what he has achieved so far.Whether it will be enough I dont know.
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 07 Jan 11 17:55
anyone got the hudles ratings for the horses at the top of the betting plse?u usually need to have been rated 140plus to win an arkle.
vpu wasnt tho
By:
Reyes
When: 08 Jan 11 11:39
come on Flat Out - lay down a marker son. Let's get this race moving
By:
Reyes
When: 08 Jan 11 11:53
hmm, jumped well, bar over jumping the last. beat trees (at least the 2nd fav came 2nd)
more to come, let's see where he turns up next.
By:
rhinestone
When: 08 Jan 11 11:54
Very very impressed with Flat Out, jumped great I thought...
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Jan 11 11:59
must be a contender i would think,jumped well apart from the last,hard to say how good that was,but the main thing is he proved he can jump a fence.
By:
rhinestone
When: 08 Jan 11 12:02
Yep, measured them perfectly in the main. The last was just novicey and a lot would probably have toppled over and to his credit found a leg and never really looked like coming down, a good sign. Think 20's is still on the large side for the Arkle? Took quite a hold as well..
By:
CVByrne
When: 08 Jan 11 12:20
Yeah bud his fencing was impressive bar the last. That's what I wanted. We know he has talent given he came 5th in the Supreme, a race which is looking a very good renewal.

Surely too talented to go for the 2m4f race?
By:
CVByrne
When: 08 Jan 11 12:21
Also must say I don't like his head carriage
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Jan 11 12:41
well hes another Mullins ? aint he. You would know better than me i guess,what do you think? Supreme form strictly, i would think Arkle,but that was 2m4 today.has a few others for the 3 novice chase races,god knows where they will all end up!!
By:
Mayweather
When: 08 Jan 11 12:43
Flat Out has not chance in the Arkle. Trust me!
By:
rhinestone
When: 08 Jan 11 12:46
Good luck with your 1/20 chance Mayweather.
By:
Mayweather
When: 08 Jan 11 12:51
I think Ghizao was double figures when I backed him. Rhinestone, you are thick!
By:
rhinestone
When: 08 Jan 11 12:57
I appear to have already backed Ghizao at big double figures. I prefer Flat Out however....but yes i'm 'thick'.

Back  Your
Odds  Your
Stake  Your
Profit 
Ghizao 
42  £10.01  £410.41 
Ref: Bet matched:
 
44  £1.99  £85.57 
Ref: Bet matched:
 
60  £11.00  £649.00
By:
CVByrne
When: 08 Jan 11 12:58
Mayweather will you please f**k off. We know you think Ghizao is Pegasus. But we want to discuss other horses bar him so if you don't mind, shut up. You are clearly a clueless fav backer. Nicholls follower.

budd, I have a feeling I'm gonna hate this 2m4f race as I'm a big antepost player. Some of my Arkle and RSA bets will end up going for it.

As for Flat Out, PaddyP go 10/1 for the Arkle!? They know? You need to stay 2m4f to win an Arkle too.
By:
Mayweather
When: 08 Jan 11 13:01
CVByre - you f**k off! I didn't say Ghizao is Pegasus. I said he is good enough to win the Arkle, duh!
Big Bucks is Pegasus, get him beat in March and I will retire from this site, otherwise I won't and be here forever!!!! :-)
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Jan 11 13:04
well it makes sense to me to go Arkle,the Supreme is working out really well,and horse deserves the better race imo
By:
CVByrne
When: 08 Jan 11 13:08
Yeah Mullins is going to have enough novice chasers to have more than one runner in the Arkle. Mikael and Flat Out would be ideal. Horses who stay 2m4f and had good hurdling form.

Pity poor Foinneagas died, he would probably have ended up in the 2m4f race.
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 08 Jan 11 13:19
has to run in the arkle for me,they know hes quick enough and now they know he can stay a bit firther than 2m.
By:
Brooksielad
When: 09 Jan 11 21:53
heres hoping big bucks gets beat in march.
By:
Mayweather
When: 10 Jan 11 13:42
Brooksielad - when Big Bucks wins in March I will tip my bottle of champers over ya, silly clown!
By:
abbott
When: 10 Jan 11 15:19
After looking through the race I can find only one horse to take on the front few in the betting. Trying to find out his plans before I back him.
GL
By:
brigust1
When: 10 Jan 11 16:20
Is Thousand Stars definitely not running?
WM wanted to go chasing but decided to have another crack at hurdling before making a decision. Has run twice and I had hoped he may switch to chasing now.
Has just about the best hurdles form and apparently jumps well at home.
I know it is late but both Champleve and Well Chief never ran in a chase before Feb of the year they won.
By:
abbott
When: 10 Jan 11 20:48
brigust its def not to late this year hardly any in the market have actually jumped a fence outwith the front few.
By:
CVByrne
When: 10 Jan 11 21:12
No it's not too late, I just doubt Mullins wants 3 runners in the Arkle. We'll see, if the horse is going chasing then he will be running in the next few weeks.
By:
eric_morris
When: 10 Jan 11 21:25
Hoping Mikael will be at the Festival, not getting good signs from either Arkle or RSA markets. Especially strange in the latter where he surely would have won a Grade 1 first time out if Townsend had got it right against the 2nd fav for the RSA. Anyone care to ask Mullins what is going on here.
By:
eric_morris
When: 10 Jan 11 21:28
A couple of lowish grade races like Flat Out last time would do his confidence a lot of good ...
By:
Mayweather
When: 11 Jan 11 00:15
FFS! JUST LISTEN PEOPLE! I LKIKED MIKEAL D'HAGUENET LOADS BUT HE HAS GONE! JUST FORGET HIM NOW, HE ISN'T THE SAME HORSE ANYMORE. HE WAS A SUPER TALENT BUT NOT ANYMORE, FORGET HIM! HE WILL NOT EVEN RUN AT THE FESTIVAL ALONE WIN.
By:
chelts
When: 11 Jan 11 12:11
the past few years the arkle winner has been won by one of the previous years highest rated hurdlers
this year the highest rated could be medermit got beat off hells bay over 2m 5f and his recent form has to be questionable bot imo 2m sut him better and all his bet form is over 2m and alan king knows what it takes to win the race
By:
Mayweather
When: 11 Jan 11 12:56
Medermit has a big chance.
By:
buddeliea
When: 11 Jan 11 13:02
Not on what i have seen so far with his jumping.
By:
Mayweather
When: 11 Jan 11 13:04
LOL - BUDDELIEA, MEDERMIT HAS A CHANCE SO BE QUIET YOU WALLY.
By:
Mayweather
When: 11 Jan 11 13:10
TIDAL BAY COULD NOT JUMP BUT IT STILL WON THE ARKLE YOU WALLY!
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