[b]What type of horse is suited to the race?[/b]
Although a range of different types of horses have triumphed in the race, there are undoubtedly a number of attributes to look for when trying to find a prospective Grand National winner. Solid, not necessarily exuberant, jumpers should be at the top of any list, with those horses deemed intelligent and agile enough to be able to sidestep any sudden obstacles particularly sought after. Tactical speed is also necessary as those liable to get left behind during the early stages often fail to get involved. Quirky performers can take to the demands of the race but more often than not they don't, so placing your faith in a genuine, thorough stayer gives you the best possible chance of a run for your money.
[b]Is experience of the course...
[b]There remains nothing like it in the world of sport and backing the winner seems to get tougher by the year. But the fundamentals of cracking the John Smith's Grand National remain the same as ever. Only the strongest stayers with a sound jumping technique need apply for the John Smith's Grand National and RUK analyst Graham Cunningham has his eye on a handful of backs and lays in the Aintree showpiece.[/b]
Best to get straight to the point for the 2011 renewal of the world's wildest steeplechase.
First, with 40 runners all in the handicap this is a clearly an incredibly difficult puzzle to solve.
And secondly, anyone who tells you the National fences have lost their teeth is definitely barking up the wrong tree.
Recent stats strongly suggest that more than half the field...
[b]Seasoned observers reckon it represents one of the most demanding tests of stamina in the entire world of sport. No, not the Grand National but the day-long bender that is Ladies' Day at Aintree. RUK analyst Graham Cunningham is a veteran of Liverpool's long good Friday and fancies at least one southern-based lady to come to the fore on day two of a superb three-day Festival.[/b]
Some of the Cheltenham form travels smoothly to Liverpool and - as Denman's Thursday defeat showed all too clearly - some of it just doesn't.
No matter, Friday is another day and there are several angles worth exploring on a very tough card.
The most interesting horse of the day is Mon Parrain in the Topham Chase at 15:40 and this exciting French recruit to the Paul Nicholls yard could be a great sight...
[u]Big Race
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[u]15:05 John Smith's Melling Chase
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[i]Stats[/i]
It's always nice to try and eliminate the favourite - given you can either lay it or back other runners at bigger prices. However, in this race, the stats point towards Albertas Run recording a follow-up success. Market leaders fare well here as do horses attempting repeat victories (Voy Por Ustedes the latest in 2008 and 2009). The outright market leader has won five of the last ten runnings. Given that Albertas Run arrives at Aintree in very similar form to last year, with a success in the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham, it's very hard to make a case against him on the stats.
The race is normally won by a younger horse, though Moscow Flyer won as an eleven-year-old (and a ten-year-old for that matter). We should...
[b]Betting.Betfair caught up with dual Grand National winner Richard Dunwoody ahead of the big race:
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Both my Grand National winners, West Tip and Miinnehoma, had similar traits. Both had reasonable prep races and both horses were intelligent, blessed with an ability to get themselves out of trouble and remain on their feet.
Obviously, I have fond memories of my two National victories. I was very young when West Tip won at Aintree and didn't fully realise the enormity of it.
Miinnehoma provided me with one of my greatest highlights, because his success was so unexpected. It came at a stage in my career when I was better able to appreciate it.
I've always liked a horse to have one or two runs over fences beforehand. Miinnehoma, for example, won a handicap at Newbury and then...
If it's National week then it must be time for that annual debate about whether Cheltenham Festival form will travel north up the M5 and M6 to Aintree.
The short answer is that some of it will and some of it won't, but I make no apologies for nosing on Paul Nicholls given that the champion trainer saddles the first three favourites at restrictive prices this Thursday.
Big Buck's, Zarkandar and Denman are the trio in question and you won't get much more than 7.0 about all three of them obliging. However, I'm hoping it will be a case of two out of three ain't bad for Nicholls on day one.
And, call me a glutton for punishment, but I'm taking one more crack at Big Buck's with Grands Crus in the Liverpool Hurdle at 14:00. David Pipe's gelding has a little under two lengths to find with...
The names of Arkle, Red Rum and Desert Orchid are the most legendary in the post-war history of steeplechasing. Three-times Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Arkle remains Timeform's highest-rated horse ever, whilst exhilarating front-runner Desert Orchid drew a huge following due to a succession of brilliant big-race wins. However, neither of that illustrious pair could match the popularity of Red Rum, who remains the best-known horse ever to race in Britain.
Red Rum, of course, owes this acclaim due to his remarkable achievements in the Grand National, steeplechasing's greatest prize and the race which most captures the general public's imagination (neither Arkle nor Desert Orchid were ever risked in the Aintree showpiece). His record of three wins and two second places in five successive...
The number of ways in which you can win and lose money at betting seems to increase with every year, and the market managers at Betfair are at their most creative when it comes to a race of the magnitude of the John Smith's Grand National, due to be run at 16:15 this Saturday at Aintree.
In addition to win markets, place markets, match bets and the like, there are likely to be all sorts of 'Specials' markets (due to be live by Midday on Thursday). You don't have to be a once-a-year punter to enjoy getting stuck into these, but it does help to know a bit of history to inform your choices.
The simple advice where "winning weight" (under 11-0 or 11-0 and over) and "Irish winner" (a simple yes/no proposition) are concerned is to derive a fair price from the win market, splitting the field...