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is Cable Beach the stables replacement of Terror To Love???
trialled sensationally before his stunning debut win Friday at Addington, home in 26.4
a 4yo so he's either had a few issues or they've been very patient
a half brother to Bonavista Bay by Somebeachsomewhere so has the breeding
trialled sensationally before his stunning debut win Friday at Addington, home in 26.4
a 4yo so he's either had a few issues or they've been very patient
a half brother to Bonavista Bay by Somebeachsomewhere so has the breeding
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only three weeks to the big Cup and the cream is starting to rise
even Messini looked good fresh up winning the Methvern Cup on Sunday my early ruffie Te Kawau is sacked till further notice Arden Rooney may be the only "aussie" in the big one but has some hope at 14/1 best odds with the NZ TAB it's a shame no one has e/w betting up yet can't wait till next Monday at Ashburton, fields should be out soon |
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this is how the NZ TAB see's it, the odds for the top three WTF!!!
Christen Me --- 3.80 Sky Major --- 4.00 Smolda --- 4.00 Ohoka Punter --- 7.00 Tiger Tara --- 7.00 Messini --- 8.00 Arden Rooney --- 15.00 Te Kawau --- 17.00 Lancewood Lizzie --- 18.00 Franco Nelson --- 21.00 No Doctor Needed --- 26.00 Bit Of A Legend --- 36.00 Mighty Flying Mac --- 36.00 Mossdale Conner --- 36.00 Brilliant Strike --- 41.00 Belkmyster --- 51.00 Choise Achiever --- 51.00 Lewy Risk --- 61.00 Alleluia --- 71.00 Mach's Gladiator --- 81.00 Ideal Success --- 101.00 Corzin Terror --- 101.00 Delightful Dash --- 151.00 Quick As A Trick --- 151.00 13 Belkmyster 51.00 15 Bit Of A Legend 36.00 16 Brilliant Strike 41.00 18 Choise Achiever 51.00 19 Delightful Dash 151.00 22 Ideal Success 101.00 23 Corzin Terror 101.00 26 Lancewood Lizzie 18.00 27 Lewy Risk 61.00 29 Mach's Gladiator 81.00 32 Messini 8.00 33 Mighty Flying Mac 36.00 34 Mossdale Conner 36.00 35 No Doctor Needed 26.00 37 Quick As A Trick 151.00 |
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oops
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double oops QLD TAB has place odds up
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the kiwi's keeps pumping out the talent, this is just a heat for the 3yo sires to held on Cup day as usual
Race 5 [7:25pm] NRM SIRES' STAKES SERIES No.32 (HEAT 5) MOBILE PACE $22,000, 3YO COLTS & GELDINGS, 1950m 1 1322X1 3 c Motu Premier C2 1 Front Tim Williams M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 2 11131X 3 c Lazarus C6 2 Front Mark Purdon M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 3 032632 3 c Takitimu Express C0 3 Front Jonny Cox S R Baucke 4 163 3 c Mista Shark C1 4 Front Gavin Smith P B Burrows 5 2750X1 3 c Classie Brigade C1 5 Front Ricky May N R McGrath 6 1220X2 3 g Alta Las Vegas C0 6 Front R J Dunn 7 123 3 c Torrid Bromac C0 7 Front Craig Thornley S M McRae 8 340X1 3 g Wannabet C1 8 Front Blair Orange K M Barron 9 1111P 3 g Franco Cristiano C2 9 Front R J Dunn ---------------------------- Second Line ---------------------------- 10 1613X1 3 c Chase The Dream C7 10 Front Natalie Rasmussen M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen |
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this is just some of the southern talent, theres a few good uns in the north too, Art Form looks the pick of them
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Christen Me not running in the Flying Stakes and Cran still talking up for the Cup?????
out to 4.50 with NZ TAB....Sky Major into 3.60 fave a cracking raceday as usual where they run 25.0 last quarters downhill with a tail wind in a straight line the picture shall be clearer after this..... Race 7 [4:11pm] ASHBURTON TRUST FLYING STAKES (STANDING START) (Gr2) $50,000, C8 TO OC FFA PACE, 2400m 1 274010 6 g Lewy Risk C6 1 Front Colin DeFilippi L C Driver 2 33X113 6 h Ohoka Punter OC 2 Front Tony Herlihy A G Herlihy MNZM 3 77X360 9 g Choise Achiever C9 3 Front Mark Jones T G Butt 4 115086 5 m Delightful Dash C7 4 Front Dexter Dunn B R Negus 5 121242 7 g Smolda OC 5 Front Mark Purdon M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 6 231X22 5 m Lancewood Lizzie C8 6 Front Scott Phelan B Purdon 7 17X493 5 g No Doctor Needed C6 7 Front John Dunn R J Dunn 8 9X6635 6 h Bit Of A Legend C9 8 Front Blair Orange C T Dalgety 9 16X354 6 g Mossdale Conner C7 9 Front Ricky May G P & Mrs N M Hope 10 224X21 5 h Tiger Tara OC 10 Front Gerard O'Reilly G R Dunn 11 131X43 5 h Sky Major OC 11 Front Zac Butcher B Purdon |
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the whatever they call it now QLD TAB suspended NZ Cup betting
Arden Rooney into 12.0 with NZ TAB on a side note Philadelphia Man 1.60 for the QPC, huh? and I missing something??? |
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no Kiwi market up for the Flying Stake but QTAB have one
SMOLDA $3.20 $1.44 SKY MAJOR $3.70 $1.54 TIGER TARA $4.40 $1.69 OHOKA PUNTER $5.00 $1.80 LANCEWOOD LIZZIE $11.00 $3.00 NO DOCTOR NEEDED $11.00 $3.00 BIT OF A LEGEND $17.00 $4.20 MOSSDALE CONNER $26.00 $6.00 CHOISE ACHIEVER $41.00 $9.00 LEWY RISK $51.00 $11.00 685163 DELIGHTFUL DASH $51.00 $11.00 |
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STENT looks the best of good things in this...maybe NZ's best trotter over a mile ever
Race 8 [4:48pm] THE PRES ASHBURTON TROTTERS FLYING MILE (MOBILE) (Gr3) $30,000, C6 & FASTER, 1609m 1 11X024 6 g Vincennes(AUS) OC 1 Front Tim Williams C D & Miss A D Edmonds 2 111111 5 h One Over Da Moon OC 2 Front Tony Herlihy A G Herlihy MNZM 3 X81169 5 g Zachary Binx C6 3 Front Amanda Tomlinson K B Ford 4 8705X7 8 g Springbank Sam C7 4 Front Brad Williamson(J) P M Williamson 5 1212X1 7 g Stent OC 5 Front Colin DeFilippi C J & J DeFilippi 6 PX1184 6 g Sheemon OC 6 Front Dexter Dunn K D Townley 7 221X11 4 g Monbet C5 7 Front Ricky May G P & Mrs N M Hope 8 1294X3 8 g Jag's Invasion OC 8 Front Nathan Williamson N P Williamson 9 71808X 10 g Dr Hook OC 9 Front Stephen McNally R J Winter ---------------------------- Second Line ---------------------------- 10 140X88 6 m Habibti OC 10 Front David Butt D J & Mrs C M Butt 11 7PX5P0 6 m Kincaslough OC U1 Front John Dunn C D & Miss A D Edmonds |
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I really don't think the evens will last....as good as Monbet is on raw ability he's still just a lad
STENT $2.00 $1.19 MONBET $4.50 $1.64 ONE OVER DA MOON $6.50 $2.00 SHEEMON $7.50 $2.20 JAGS INVASION $9.00 $2.50 HABIBTI $17.00 $3.95 KINCASLOUGH $21.00 $4.70 SPRINGBANK SAM $26.00 $5.75 VINCENNES $31.00 $6.50 685173 ZACHARY BINX $31.00 $6.50 685179 DR HOOK $35.00 $7.25 |
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STENT was sensational first up and they've kept him ticking over with two trial wins since
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interestingly for the two mile Dominion Handicap (the south islands biggest trot race) Stent is fave @ 3.0
Monbet 10.0 and One Over Da Moon 14.0 but Stent is evens over his pet distance when he couldn't have been more impressive first up If that's not a good bet then I give up |
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good on the Queensland (whatever they call it now) TAB for having a crack with an early market
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anyone going to the Kiakoura Cup this year?
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the last race on Monday is another interesting affair, New Years Jay an 8yo mare who's 13-7-0, fresh but won a two horse trial over 2600m
Art Union classy and impressive victory last start. Didjamakembolt a 7yo who's 9-6-1, fresh up after beating Border Control at the trials Have Faith In Me last seasons superstar 3yo fresh from his Jewels victory in 1:52:5 30th May but not sighted at the trials, classy stablemate Willow also fresh with no trial there will be future winners galore from this one.... Race 10 [6:05pm] ASHBURTON GUARDIAN HANDICAP PACE $12,000, 4YO & OLDER C5 TO OC SPECIAL, 2400m Racebook Gear Front Line Limit Bet now For C5 to OC 4yo-&-older pacers. Front: C5. Also C6 mares. 10m: C6 to C7. 20m: C8 to C9. 30m: OC. 1 6X4065 5 g Major Bubbles C5 1 Front C T Dalgety 2 X1111X 7 g Didjamakem Bolt C5 2 Front Mark Purdon M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 3 237592 5 g Quick As A Trick C5 U1 Front Blair Orange B R Negus 4 41111X 4 g Have Faith In Me C7 1 10m Tim Williams M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 5 190X40 7 g Destined For Glory C6 2 10m Ricky May G P & Mrs N M Hope 6 15166X 8 m New Years Jay C7 3 10m Jonny Cox Miss A L Hoffman 7 8X1521 4 h Art Union C7 4 10m C T Dalgety 8 21114X 5 m Willow C7 5 10m Matt Anderson(J) M Purdon & Ms N C Rasmussen 9 442472 8 h Bettor Dream C6 6 10m Robbie Close Ms M J Wallis & B P Hackett |
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it's just as well I like talking to myself
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You may very well be talking to yourself but I am and have been reading..
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VK - I thought you were BANNED ?
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Just returned from my OS trip this year -- but am determined to get to Kaikoura NEXT year.
Had booked for last year, but had to cancel at the last minute :-( |
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g'day trotman, I'm banned from TABCORP, apparently I'm an arber but I've never planted a tree
and I'm determined to get to Kiakoura next year as I'm living in NZ for a year or three (it's a long story) I take that back about Philadelphia Man, watched the tape and a massive 2nd but he seems a bit unreliable from a punting point of view? |
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there's great coverage of trotting over here, they replay all races and most trials
but coverage of aussie harness not so good as they give preference to the local product and don't show some races most annoying as today at Redcliffe for example 5 of 9 races televised, sucks when I like betting inplay but at least you can bet inplay on sport here and access the Betfair Casino (not that I do) |
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saw on the TV today that since 1972 only 46 horses of any code have won and paid over $100 on the NZ TAB
the $165 winner at Addington last week was the 2nd biggest divvie for a harness winner since then the one hour weekly Harness show they have here, The Boxed Seat makes In The Gig look the waste of space that it is, a million times better! except you have to cop an hour of Mick Guerin, at least they don't show his distracting shoes any more |
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STENT still evens today, obviously my $5 e/w didn't strike the fear of God as I thought it would
still no other markets up for the race, think I'll keep some powder dry till there is and you can usually get better than bookies odds here on most NZ harness races |
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is this a bit OCD? I've downloaded and saved NZ form guides since 1998 and have 99.9% of them
it all started so I hade a reference to NZ horses exported to Oz it's good to see harness.org is starting to catch hrnz.co but still has a bit to go now that harness.org give links to replays of every runners race history it saves me about three hours per week in updating databases that are now unnecessary so well done to them |
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Nat Ras, what a tough sheila she is! involved in a nasty race fall on Sunday then drives Messini to victory
in a two miler with a busted elbow. Out for six weeks which is a real shame for the All Stars as she's the queen of cool in big races. I wish her a speedy recovery and she will be sorely missed over Cup week, pardon the pun, or is that purdon the pun? |
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also wish a speedy recovery to Sam Ottley who copped the worst of it
http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/racing/73132171/promising-outlook-for-sam-ottley-after-nasty-smash-at-methven-harness-meeting |
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actually Trotman now that I think about it was a self imposed exile after starting a similar thread to this
for the NZ Cup last year, got very little response and what I did get was negative as per usual so I took the bat and ball and folded up the tent but hey, I'm a glutton for punishment and have a new set of Teflon overalls |
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it's appears the vast majority of my previous "combatants" have crawled back under their rocks anyways
as we know the punting games a tuff one and the sweetest revenge is to live long and prosper and here I am still punching on so yipeeeee, giddy up   |
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and for you henry the next Pro surfing event has been on hold for a few day as the surf in Portugal
hasn't cooperated, the only possible upsets in the first round are maybe Miguel Pupo, Jadson Andre and Kolohe Andino multi's with the faves would be my suggested bets at this stage but I really want to see the conditions before comiting....wax on, wax off, wax on, wax off |
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http://www.worldsurfleague.com/events/2015/mct/1307/moche-rip-curl-pro-portugal
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upsets in the first round are maybe Miguel Pupo, Jadson Andre and Kolohe Andino
Decided to take financial interest in your opinion and either send you a sling or better still send you my best wishes.....But cant find "surfing" on betfair  |
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TAB's only henry, my suggested plays in the first round is multi up the faves as that's what I've done
I expect nothing henry lol, that was a joke I made on the other thread to spare myself the embarrassment of "going over the falls" and wipeing out in public tread wearily as surfings a funny "sport" as who gets the right waves is crucial play for a bit of fun if you must like I said I can't commit till I see the conditions |
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it's 5:42am in Portugal with the "Dawn Patrol" to kick off at 8am, more will be known then
but the betting will have closed for the first few heats cos they don't wait till the off it's all live on Foxtel and online, awesome HD coverage I must say |
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1.45ish Mick Fanning looks like free money
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just in case I'm right I'd best have something on
Sport SB 651827 POR R1 Tole/Andr/Herm H1 - Andre Jadson Win@$3.95 651832 POR R1 Medi/Pupo/Ho H2 - Pupo Miguel Win@$5.50 x $5 = $108.62 (max) |
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did you see that at Redcliffe? someone put up $7K @ 2.0 for the leader inplay, $2K was taken and it wins, ouch!!
what silly betting, a deadest leaders track, $1.40 fave in front and trying to give away $7K, you gotta love the fair |
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someone put up $7K @ 2.0 for the leader inplay
Happens so very often trots in play...more often than not appears as a giveaway....can only think its a "trade"...backed at higher dividend (in play or pre race start)..so profit to the layer and is just sharing his chocolates....unless its HFT bot to suck in other bots or players to get higher dividend |
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did you see that at
BSP 100.00 + wins Ballarat race 6......didnt back it so cant crow but second best play was to lay the fav at ($1.8 ish) which I did....Just sayin... |