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X Factor 2010

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five leaves left
17 Oct 10 00:55
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Date Joined: 24 Dec 05
| Topic/replies: 117,126 | Blogger: five leaves left's blog
Back by popular demand :)

These were the number of positive comments I found for each act in the period I looked.

Cardie 251
One Direction 210
Mary 171
Aiden 102
Cher  97
Rebecca 67
Wagner 42
TreyC 35
Diva Fever 28
John 22
Belle Amie 19
Katie 15
Storm 12
Paige 3


As always they're likely to over state the teenie friendly acts and under estimate the granny friendly ones.


Paige the bet for me, although I guess you could argue he's fairly granny friendly.
Having said that he was very popular on twitter last week. Nothing this week.

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By:
ghatroonh
When: 17 Oct 10 01:02
The bottom 4 looks quite clear cut when you take into account the twitter demographic.

Based purely on this I'd say Paije and Katie will definitely be bottom 3, and probably Storm, but could well be Belle Aime instead.

I'm surprised Storm is doing that well tbh, so he may catch Belle Aime, considering twitter is their demographic I'd imagine.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 17 Oct 10 01:04
I assume you have searched for Paije and not Paige. Misspelling his name on a search may impact his figures somewhat (if that is how you do it).
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 01:05
oh......
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 01:07
I might need a recount.

Cheers for that ghat. Not the 1st time I've ballsed up like that.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 17 Oct 10 01:13
No probs.

It is worth taking into account that some contestants names will be misspelt a lot.

Paije - Paige, Page
Belle Aime - Bellamy, Belle Ammee, Bell Aime, the girlband etc
Treyc - Tracy, Tracey, Trecy

Also, John - Jon, Aiden - Aidan and Diva Fever may simply be shortened to Diva.

Worth noting that nearly all of these are towards the bottom of the ranking.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 01:14
I've looked back with the right spelling this time and it's a slight guesstimate, but I've added another 9 to his total.
So that takes him level with Storm, but still in danger.



Cardie 251
One Direction 210
Mary 171
Aiden 102
Cher  97
Rebecca 67
Wagner 42
TreyC 35
Diva Fever 28
John 22
Belle Amie 19
Katie 15
Storm 12
Paige 12
By:
ghatroonh
When: 17 Oct 10 01:21
I've just done a quick search with misspelt names and it's surprising how many come up. Good job they don't do text voting on this show.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 01:23
I think Paije might get enough of the mums vote to not finish bottom. The polls I monitor have virtually zero votes for belle amie since tonights show ended.  That said very few for your bottom 5 plus wagner.  Can't see much in it really.

For info the Irish vote is holding up very well for Mary but no Scottish support to speak of for Storm. Opposite in fact.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 01:29
Yep, I've done it a few times.

The extra ones I've found does lessen my confidence in Paije being bottom, but he's still a decent bet @ 5/1 ish for me.
The Scottish vote will hopefully pull Storm clear of him.
I won't go mad though as the changes from week to week are often the most informative.
Of the others, I'm surprsied Katie is so low, as I thought she was good this week. Bottom 3 looks a possibity again.
By:
TheFink
When: 17 Oct 10 01:31
And this is Katie on a week after a sing-off - you'd expect her support to be galvanised and at its peak.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 01:34
If twitter anything to go by storm has no regional vote.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 17 Oct 10 01:35
Last year, Rachel was far from the worst singer in the first two weeks and yet fell into the bottom 2 both times.

IMO Rachel was a better singer and had a better personality to Katie.

I suspect Katie could be head and shoulders above the rest vocally and still struggle to poll 5%.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 08:10
Scotland have their own site called 'tw@tter' George

I'd better be careful, off to Skye in the morning Grin
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 17 Oct 10 09:25
storm has very little coverage up here

much more Gamu seething still going on.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 09:26
He doesn't need much to beat Paije imo AA

I wouldn't suggest he's going to avoid the b3
By:
TeessideTerry Tibbs
When: 17 Oct 10 09:37
Suspect there will be very liitle in bottom five. Belle Amie not too bad on twitter but absolutely no evidence in the polls that anyone will actually pick up the phone and vote for the. Diva Fever novelty also waining as is Wagners I think.

Storm on first has probably condemned him to bottom 3. Not sure where Paije's vote is coming from but he surprised me by avoiding bottom three last week so maybe mum's have adopted him.  Ditto John; who is voting for him.  Decent singer so talent might save him (a novel thought I know).

Who knows with Katie? May have gotten over hate thing to survive.

Being so close I think there is value in this and I think belle amie worth a punt but nothing would surprise me this week.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 09:50
Be an utter travesty if John is b3, but I can hardly say it won't happen
By:
stu
When: 17 Oct 10 10:57
ghatroonh Joined: 13 Jun 10
Replies: 532 17 Oct 10 01:13
   
It is worth taking into account that some contestants names will be misspelt a lot.


Also guess that 'Storm' doesn't get misspelt too much either, which might overestimate his figure - can't see how he isn't stone last. Scottish vote only ever works with highly popular or sympathy type votes IMO or acts that have really captured some attention.
By:
stu
When: 17 Oct 10 10:57
...i.e. in order to be any more significant that simple regional voting that all the contestants have.
By:
jack12321
When: 17 Oct 10 12:36
Useful figures fll, thanks.

Bit disappointed to see Belle Amie so low, thought they had more support from the younger girls than that.

Katie can't seem to do anything right, thought she was incredible last night, yet bottom 3 still a possibility. (finger is hovering over the "back" button if she does sink into the bottom 3 again though)
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 17 Oct 10 13:01
jack

Didn't think she was 'incredible' myself.  Much improved from last week though when she was very poor.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 13:03
Can't remember what Katie sang last night Shocked
By:
Cider
When: 17 Oct 10 13:38
I suspect Glandular Fever are in trub, these figures only help to underline that suspicion. Look value.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 17 Oct 10 13:39
Cider

Any news on the viewing figures.  When do they pay out? (wink)
By:
Cider
When: 17 Oct 10 13:43
Nothing come out yet LOU, however Sunday's are usually stronger in any case.
By:
melv
When: 17 Oct 10 13:43
Figgy hope I am not being stupid but you didn't  search under Cardie did you?
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 13:46
LOL melv. I should have done, or mogadon candle, but I just searcged for Matt and then ignored those who were about other matt's
By:
Cider
When: 17 Oct 10 13:50
You're pretty good at 'adapting' your stance fll, Matt is going to be a tricky one, even for you Happy
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 13:54
I can't bear him Cider and I hope that viewers see through his ever so humble facade in the next few weeks and they also come realise his voice isn't that good.
You can't deny his popularity atm though.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 17 Oct 10 13:56
Five

To be honest I don't think he's shown yet that he's great and not in the class of past winners but I think he's the best of this lot which is all he needs to be.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 13:59
Sounds like a default winner to me from that Lou

Usually passed in the home straight by a real winner
By:
Cider
When: 17 Oct 10 14:01
I might have wrote somewhere last night, if he does have a limited vocal range (he may well have) it will only be exposed if tptb want him beat.
There are very few negs with Matt, as you say he is already very popular, right core xf voters' street, and he hasn't even nailed a live show performance yet.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 17 Oct 10 14:04
Cider

That's what I mean.  I don't think he's quite been 'wow' yet and I think he has it in him.  Already clear favourite, the one to beat with more to come perhaps?
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 14:07
You're both assuming there is more to come, when I believe we've seen all he has to offer.
If we doesn't wow soon I think people will start to lose interest and he's hardly spanking everyone in the figures as it is now.
By:
Cider
When: 17 Oct 10 14:09
Something like the bootcamp that thrust Matt into the voting public's consciousness.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 14:10
He could very quickly start to look like a knob playing at being Bono or Chris Martin ala Afro last year.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 14:14
It's very hard to recapture the 'magic' once the facade starts to slip.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 17 Oct 10 14:18
I dunno, I think he'll pull out one killer performance at some stage...

I do agree that the whole 'cheeky-chappy-humble-decorator-done-good' bollocks will soon wear thin on everyone though!

He's this year's Olly for me - he'll get enough support to see him through to the latter stages, but is not good enough to win.
By:
cjhornet
When: 17 Oct 10 14:19
he was giving a lot of magic to a lot of women last night judging by the statuses and comments attached from some of my female friends!!!
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