WillGreenwood

At the start of the Six Nations I said that I believed England would go to Dublin on the final weekend in search of their first Grand Slam since 2003. That's exactly what's happened and we now have a mega Saturday of international rugby to bet on.

I recommended that Betfair customers take the 6.6 available on an England Grand Slam because I expected them to win in Cardiff and then triumph in their three home games. So it has proved. And now it's time to trade out of that Slam bet, lock in the profit and get ready for a spectacular day of rugby punting.

Sorry England fans - and I'm one of the biggest - but the maxim for this column's success has been that fans of the Red Rose must bet with their heads and not their hearts. We can't buck that trend now.

England are four from four, the facts don't lie, but they have not been commanding, in fact they have been on the back foot for large parts of their last two home games. The stuttering performance against Scotland was not down to psychological weakness. We shouldn't underestimate the Scots because they produced a stellar performance against the odds but the home side were poor and, at 19-9 in the second half, you could tell that the players were already looking ahead to Dublin.

Losing Mike Tindall is a massive blow for the team and a cruel personal blow for my old mate. He's struggled with injury throughout his career and now, having lead England to the brink of a Grand Slam, he's been ruled out with an ankle problem. I'm gutted for Mike and Johnno's men will miss his warrior spirit, his unbelievable defence. Good luck to Matt Banahan but I remember him being skinned on the outside against Samoa in the autumn and Ireland will undoutedly go after him as an inexperienced international 13.

England are slowly constructing an outstanding team but they still have weaknesses that could be exposed by high calibre teams. I have loved watching Tom Wood and James Haskell in the back row for England but the big point here, I feel, is the absence of an out and out seven like Ireland's David Wallace or Scotland's John Barclay who disrupted England's speed of ball and with it their tempo. The breakdown has been a major concern for England in this tournament.

The psychological hold they have over England is immense. Recent history sets strong precedents and you should never underestimate a team's ability to exploit a hex over their opponents at home.

England have made mistakes, against France and Scotland, but they managed to cover them up at Twickenham. In Dublin, they will be punished if they commit errors. I also feel that Ireland are due a big performance, a day when they manage to take the kind of chances that they failed to finish off against France and Wales.

This is a two to three point game which will be won and lost in the small details. It's going to be a titanic contest, the sort of day that has me yearning for yesteryear, wishing I could have one last crack at a game of this magnitude. It's going to be brutal in midfield. The forwards will batter each other while Toby Flood and Jonathan Sexton engage in a battle of wits and wills. The margins will be extremely tight and both players will take every opportunity to get points on the board from penalties and drop goals.

An England win would be an unbelievable result. It would eclipse anything Johnno has so far achieved as a coach. November internationals and summer tours are all very well but the Six Nations and the World Cup are what it's all about. That's why I'm desperate for England to win. In the end though, I feel they will fall short by a small margin.

Recommended bet: Back Ireland to win by under 12.5 points @ 3.2.

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