uptheboro

well a small profit made yesterday on the three races. Two races im having a go at today Newcastle 5.05 Whitby Jet 3.7 Fire Crystal 7.8 Byron Bear 10 At current odds this returns around 100% profit Haydock 6.05 Amazing Blue Sky 3.8 Urban Space 13 Formulation 14 At current odds this returns around 143% profit

decided to take a day off dutching yesterday to examine my approach to it. today there are three races im going to take a shot at. 2.50 Ayr These Dreams 4.7 Surely This Time 7.2 Novalist 17 At current odds profit is around 143% 3.20 Ayr Thirteen Shivers 7.6 Dasho 7.8 Rutterkin 70 Cannot have Mr Optimistic in this and a definate lay for me At current odds profit for this runs at around 243% 4.00 Folkestone Anjomarba 6 Do More Business 25 Stonecrabstomorrow 60 profit for this running around 347%

Pretty much a break even day yesterday though must make a note to myself. Do not bet on dodgy Irish races with little form to go on as you will get stuffed! Anyway on to today and my top three rated runners are: Ripon 3.40 Suits Me 8 Lord Aeryn 4.2 Bowmaker 10 At current odds this would return a profit of 115% Chepstow 3.50 Holoko Heights 8.8 Dove Cottage 9 Spiritonthemount 16 This would produce a profit of 248% Chepstow 4.20 Crazy Chris 9 If I Were A Boy 60 Edgeworth 19 This would produce a profit of 454% Lingfield 5.00 Indian Violet 6.8 Prince Namid 25 Hecton Lad 4 This would produce a 128% profit Just going through this evenings cards and will post again...

A disappointing day saturday, but still £112 in profit. I guess i still have a lot to learn about dutching and have some way to go to match zerohype's standard. Anyway ive decided to try a more mathematical approach on two races today. 2.30 Carlisle is a 9 runner claimer, now if all the horses in this race were of roughly the same ability (though obviously that is not the case) and i were to select what i believed to be the best three horses in the race, i would have roughly a 33% chance of having the winner. So what im looking for is a profit of 33% or higher for my investment. The three that i believe to be the best here are; The Osteopath 3 Fremen 3.1 Moheeb 10.5 At the odds shown this would give almost exactly a 33% return which is just enough to make it playable, however...