uptheboro

well a small profit made yesterday on the three races. Two races im having a go at today
Newcastle 5.05 Whitby Jet 3.7
               Fire Crystal 7.8
               Byron Bear 10
At current odds this returns around 100% profit

Haydock 6.05 Amazing Blue Sky 3.8
             Urban Space 13
             Formulation 14
At current odds this returns around 143% profit

decided to take a day off dutching yesterday to examine my approach to it. today there are three races im going to take a shot at.

2.50 Ayr These Dreams 4.7
         Surely This Time 7.2
         Novalist 17
At current odds profit is around 143%

3.20 Ayr Thirteen Shivers 7.6
         Dasho 7.8
         Rutterkin 70
Cannot have Mr Optimistic in this and a definate lay for me
At current odds profit for this runs at around 243%

4.00 Folkestone Anjomarba 6
                Do More Business 25
                Stonecrabstomorrow 60
profit for this running around 347%

Pretty much a break even day yesterday though must make a note to myself. Do not bet on dodgy Irish races with little form to go on as you will get stuffed!

Anyway on to today and my top three rated runners are:
Ripon 3.40 Suits Me 8
           Lord Aeryn 4.2
           Bowmaker 10
At current odds this would return a profit of 115%

Chepstow 3.50 Holoko Heights 8.8
              Dove Cottage 9
              Spiritonthemount 16
This would produce a profit of 248%

Chepstow 4.20 Crazy Chris 9
              If I Were A Boy 60
              Edgeworth 19
This would produce a profit of 454%

Lingfield 5.00 Indian Violet 6.8
               Prince Namid 25
               Hecton Lad 4
This would produce a 128% profit

Just going through this evenings cards and will post again later

A disappointing day saturday, but still £112 in profit. I guess i still have a lot to learn about dutching and have some way to go to match zerohype's standard. Anyway ive decided to try a more mathematical approach on two races today.

2.30 Carlisle is a 9 runner claimer, now if all the horses in this race were of roughly the same ability (though obviously that is not the case) and i were to select what i believed to be the best three horses in the race, i would have roughly a 33% chance of having the winner. So what im looking for is a profit of 33% or higher for my investment. The three that i believe to be the best here are;
The Osteopath 3
Fremen 3.1
Moheeb 10.5

At the odds shown this would give almost exactly a 33% return which is just enough to make it playable, however it is early and i may be able to better this later.

3.15 Leicester a 9 runner seller where i think the three to be on are Kingswinford 2.8
Mark Anthony 4.2
Rainy Night 12

Again being nine runners i would be looking for a return of 33%  or higher although at current odds this would return a 47% profit and therefore i reckon i am getting good value here, though again it is early and i may be able to get better yet.

Well I guess it was a pretty good start yesterday with my first venture into dutching. Two wins from three races, Bronze Beau @8/1 and Ridley Didley @4/1 making a profit of approx £172 on the day to £20 stakes. Today im going to take a shot at another three races starting with the 4.05 at Haydock with Rocket Rob and Tabaret at current odds should return a profit of approx £120 to £20 stakes.

The second race for me is the 6.50 at Lingfield where the two for me are Grudge and Ignatieff. At current odds this should return a profit of around £107.

The final one for me is the 7.05 Newbury where this time im going with three against the field, Poltergeist, Truism and Kavachi. This should return a profit of around £60

I must say i have been inspired by Zerohype's excellent blog dutch of the day. So i have decided to try it myself as a little experiment. In most cases i will probably take just two runners per race. I'm going to start with £20 stakes per race and see how things go.
There are three races that im going to take a shot at today.

Yarmouth 3.50 Night Lily & Ela Gorrie Mou at current prices this will return approx £60 profit

Catterick 6.20 Red River Boy & Ridley Didley at prices should return a profit of approx £45

Catterick 7.50 Bronze Beau & Insolenceofoffice should return in excess of £180