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Tennis Talk 2026: Vol 3 (Australian Open)

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By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 03:49
but it's not just his legs.
By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 03:50

Jan 24, 2026 -- 2:42AM, wisewords wrote:


do we get cramping Sinner today do you think?


didn't expect so much drama so sooj

By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 03:50
so soon*
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 03:50
Spizz mugging now.
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 03:51
normal odds should be 1.07 right now
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 03:52
at least Sinner isn't going into full body spasms after long rallies now.
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 03:54
1.5 Sinner lol
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 03:55
well done those keeping their eyes on the heat index nearing 5.0 and laying Spizz at 1.1x
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 03:57
even with broken leg Spizziri shouldnt be 1.1
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 04:14
Sinner back from dead?
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 04:20
1.01 backers of Sinner safe :)
By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 04:27
but was it value? should have waited for 1.02 imo
By:
rachmafany
When: 24 Jan 26 04:27
haha, value surely NO
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:28
one of these matches where I can't decide if I'm happy about avoiding disaster or mad because I didn't end up with a better result.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:29
probably mad I didn't make more, given I said this yesterday.

TheCarambaExperience • January 23, 2026 4:39 AM GMT
39 degrees celsius expected tomorrow.

Report•Quote•Block UserTheCarambaExperience • January 23, 2026 4:43 AM GMT
Trying to figure out who is gonna melt in that.

Mensik I think would, but luckily he has a 6 PM start. Sinner could have issues, unless they close the roof. Amanda maybe. Either of Machac or Musetti. Darderi possibly, he's already had the trainer on some this tournament. I don't know how Noskova does in the heat, so that's at least a question mark.
By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 04:31
definitely a weird match to witness. a bit crazy how all the rules have helped Sinner avoid certain defeat
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:32
they were always gonna give him some sort of a safety net given it was likely the heat index was reaching 5 at some point, but it doing so when it did was very lucky for him.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:33
if it came 45 mins later, Spizz might be up with a 4-0 lead in set 4 and two games from GSM.
By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 04:33
I read your post. it's all guessing though really with Darderi winning. but I suppose laying Sinner at 1.01 isn't going to cost you much and would have been rewarded handsomely for doing so
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:34
what also happened is Spizz went into his normal challenger mode. Sinner still couldn't run for some points in the middle of that 3rd.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:35

Jan 24, 2026 -- 4:33AM, wisewords wrote:


I read your post. it's all guessing though really with Darderi winning. but I suppose laying Sinner at 1.01 isn't going to cost you much and would have been rewarded handsomely for doing so


yeah, the Darderi play didn't pan out. So much of this depends on when on the day it gets hot and who's on at that moment.

By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:40
markets are funny though, it would priced this Sinner match the same even if it was a night session match and there would be no change of Sinner cramping drama. Then it goes absolutely crazy (1.1 Sinner to 1.1 Spizz in 5-10 minutes) for something that wasn't all that far fetched.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:48
I wish I could run like that 1 hour after cramping.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:54
What are the chances of his cramps coming back here?
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 04:56
I suppose it would be unfair to call Bartunkova IJBABP given she followed up the Kasatkina win with an even bigger win over Bensic. But 0-5 against Mertens is somwthing. IJBTBP?
By:
wisewords
When: 24 Jan 26 05:04
Spizzirri was handling the conditions better than Sinner. as soon as they closed the roof the dynamic changed and Spizz didn't have an advantage anymore
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 05:05
even in the 1st set long before cramping, Sinner didn't like the conditions. Balls were flying everywhere.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 05:28
the 1.1x on Spizz was madness given the stage of the match, the heat index going up and there being a 10 min break after the 3rd. Sinner wasn't going to tap within 10 minutes, as he knew he had the 10 minute break coming up to get his legs going, and there was always the chance of the index reaching 5 and the roof to be shut, even though Spizz was very unlucky it happened so soon. The only way this would have been a quick payout for the 1.1 backers was if Sinner literally couldn't stand up. And even then it probably would have taken three knockdowns for him to tap.
By:
SabineIsGOAT
When: 24 Jan 26 06:22
glad I missed the sinner drama, had enough heat related muggery at shanghai to still last me a while
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 07:16
"Another ten minutes in those conditions he would had full body cramps and he would have been done", says Jim.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 07:18
I bet Sinner can't wait for Djoko to retire cause when Djoko stops hogging the night session spots he can request them every night.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 07:31

Jan 24, 2026 -- 4:29AM, TheCarambaExperience wrote:


probably mad I didn't make more, given I said this yesterday.TheCarambaExperience • January 23, 2026 4:39 AM GMT39 degrees celsius expected tomorrow.Report•Quote•Block UserTheCarambaExperience • January 23, 2026 4:43 AM GMTTrying to figure out who is gonna melt in that.Mensik I think would, but luckily he has a 6 PM start. Sinner could have issues, unless they close the roof. Amanda maybe. Either of Machac or Musetti. Darderi possibly, he's already had the trainer on some this tournament. I don't know how Noskova does in the heat, so that's at least a question mark.


Amanda said she started to feel it in the 2nd and was very relieved to get things done in two.

By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 09:08
Naomi withdrew.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 09:40
We almost had a Novak 2020 US Open moment. Lashed out after a point and missed the ballkid by a couple of decimeters.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 09:40
Linda out.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 09:44
hey ww, Iga and Anna almost did your dream scoreline, 6-1, 1-6, 5-0 at the moment.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 11:13

Jan 24, 2026 -- 2:40AM, wisewords wrote:


she won't need to do that against Inglis. I've also got it in my head that we're getting the revenge match in R4 of Naomi vs Iga


jinx Sad

But apart from this we're in for very funky R16's.

By:
mesmerised
When: 24 Jan 26 11:29
Naomi panicked upon hearing the news I'd tipped up Inglis to usurp her and promptly withdrew from the tournament.

Sorana's loss was all for nothing, mug Osaka knew she wasn't going to fit to carry on the tournament, reminds of Federer one year at the French who bent over backwards to win a match in 4 very close sets against  Koepfer only to withdraw against Berrettini next round, he knew he was going to withdraw he just wanted some match practice and fitness before Wimbledon as he hadn't played much in his last year, robbed him of an extra 70k nearly and an extra precious 90 ranking points which was a lot for a mug like him. If he'd have played and beaten Berrettini he'd have faced Novak, maybe that's why he withdrew v Matteo, didn't want people saying he withdrew against Novak because he was scared.

I don't believe there should be any walkovers as the player benefitting gains rest and recovery advantages, Koepfer should have been allowed to have faced Berrettini instead and Sorana should have been allowed to play Inglis. Though she's going to lose to Iga anyway.

The argument that you've already been KO'd also doesn't stack, as we already have lucky losers into the main draw when they've already been KO'd from qualies.
By:
mesmerised
When: 24 Jan 26 11:31
The old men are heading home, Stan pointing to his head slumped on his chair after beating Gea sent packing and Cilic Bang losing to the 4th most famous person in Norway.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 24 Jan 26 11:38
Only mugs lose in qualies. Had Sinner gone out due to cramping today and Spizziri gone through, the people around Sinner might have given the young Italian-American, whose total prize money is just under $1M, an offer "too good to be true" to come with some excuse not to play the next round and give Sinner a 2nd chance and an easy path to the final as he won't have to play one more day matches in this kind of heat.
Plus when you lose you lose. Even the LL is a bit silly but I can understand tournaments not wanting walkovers in R1 so it's probably the best of bad options.
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