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Tennis Talk 2026: Vol 3 (Australian Open)

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Replies: 1,131
By:
wisewords
When: 25 Jan 26 03:29
if she isn't intimidated it will be a total 50/50
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 03:29
I don't think intimidated but the power might be too much.
By:
wisewords
When: 25 Jan 26 03:29
Iva moves better than Saba
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 03:30
I am getting Sharapova vibes, and she was never intimidated. Well apart from by Serena after she had lost about 10 in a row against her.
By:
wisewords
When: 25 Jan 26 03:31
gives off the air of supreme confidence in herself and her game. really impressive
By:
wisewords
When: 25 Jan 26 04:08
I'm no ATP expert but 1.6x on De Minaur to beat Bublik seems a bit short? I would have thought this was closer than that with De Minaur being a 1.9 shot because of the home advantage. Bublik isn't a clown player these days..
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 05:12
Coco Vs Muchova time, this is going to be very interesting
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 05:19
it was something like 1.12 when Bublik beat him at the French Open last year (his run there is what put him on the map) and Bublik has also won the only meeting between the two after that.

That being said I think current odds on De Minaur is about right (I would have him at 1.7 rather than the current 1.65) and that Bublik will need to get this done in 3 or 4 to win.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 05:28

Jan 25, 2026 -- 3:28AM, wisewords wrote:


will Iva be intimidated by Sabalenka do you think?


https://x.com/christianscourt/status/1991199579061071983

Doesn't sound like a player who will be intimidated. From November 2025.

By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 05:43
3 fascinating mens matches coming up
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 05:50

Jan 23, 2026 -- 4:43AM, TheCarambaExperience wrote:


Trying to figure out who is gonna melt in that.Mensik I think would, but luckily he has a 6 PM start. Sinner could have issues, unless they close the roof. Amanda maybe. Either of Machac or Musetti. Darderi possibly, he's already had the trainer on some this tournament. I don't know how Noskova does in the heat, so that's at least a question mark.


If only Karen hadn't been such a mug and at least taken him to a fifth, my prediction might have come through. This was Darderi after the match.

https://x.com/TheFirstServeAU/status/2015163946395934956

By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 06:19

Jan 25, 2026 -- 5:12AM, Angela Rebecchi wrote:


Coco Vs Muchova time, this is going to be very interesting


1 - 1

By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 07:25
These two had several tussles in 2025 when Medvedev was in mug mode. Think this improved 2026 version of Medvedev wins this rather convincingly.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 07:33
broken in the 1st game. Classic Laugh
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 07:39
Keys and Pegula are recording a podcast interview today the day before their R4 match at a Slam.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 08:02
*episode
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 08:09
a bit annoying that Tien/Medvedev and Bublik/De Minaur are clashing.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 08:28
where's the delete posts option? Blush
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 08:39
Against most people I would have faith in Daniil to turn around a 0-2 score if he just finds his game, but doing so against Tien who makes things so physical is going to be harder than against most other players.

Daniil bageled for the 1st time ever in a Slam.
By:
SabineIsGOAT
When: 25 Jan 26 08:49
definitely didn't see this coming, what a beatdown
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 09:03
ATP not delivering today Sad
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 10:21
That was shocking, his presser will be interesting

When the ATP fails the WTA will lift and vica versa

Thankfully it's Svito Vs Mirra time !

Though time is a strange concept after the amount of sleep and daylight obtained this week !
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 10:22
Initially taken on Mirra 1.38
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 10:32
1.7x Svito very premature
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 10:37
1.5x Mirra. Crazy market
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 11:33
GSM Svito Love

Market and telephone bettors battered Happy
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 11:35
Tennis fans still booing non handshakes in 2026 PlainPlain
By:
Journeyman
When: 25 Jan 26 11:39
Plenty believe politics and sport should be kept apart and will always believe it
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 11:40
Booing Mirra very daft
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 11:47
in the US during the 2022 season, they had to put up a sign saying there would not be a post match handshake and to respect this decision. That was actually enough to clue spectators in and respect this. You'd think in 2026 spectators would be aware of this policy by now and no such reminders would be needed, but clearly not. Those boos were because people in the audience thought Mirra was being stroppy after a loss.
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 25 Jan 26 12:08
Of course. But so many spectators don't follow tennis so are clueless as to the set up
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 12:26
yeah I know Cry Maybe time to put back the sign. "We thought you Australians living in 2026 were smarter and more clued in than the people of the US back in 2002, but since you are clearly not please read the following message and respect both players (followed by said message)".
By:
Journeyman
When: 25 Jan 26 12:29
That would be a confusing sign. They'd assume Agassi hadn't shaken Pete's hand Laugh
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 25 Jan 26 12:30
ffs I always mess up 2002 and 2022 Cry
By:
mesmerised
When: 25 Jan 26 12:58
Svitolina should be disqualified from the tournament for refusing to shake her hand with Mirra being reinstated with immediate effect on grounds of poor sportsmanship from Elina.
By:
mesmerised
When: 25 Jan 26 13:10
Only just seen that Djokovic has a walkover into the quarters, the sort of luck needed to conserve as much energy as possible if he think he can actually beat Sinner in his half of the draw.
By:
mesmerised
When: 25 Jan 26 23:38
I was just looking to put together an acca for some side interest and when looking at Mertens run so far as I've only seen one of her matches, I honestly don't think I've ever seen a someone beat 3 absolute mugs in the first three rounds, players ranked #131, #88, #126 with career best #47. Usually there's one half decent player for a top 24 seed to play before they reach the 4th round.

Hans and Fritz to beat Lorenzo
Ben Shelter to beat Ruud Awakening
Maddison Florida Keys to beat Peculiar Pegula
Xiaowangmei Over 7.5 games
Inglis not quite Hingis Over 4.5 games

Odds: 24.15
By:
Journeyman
When: 26 Jan 26 00:08
I'll have to stand up for Bartunkova on edy's behalf here being called an 'absolute mug' Laugh

All four of the young Czechs (Valentova, Noskova, Fruity and Bartunkova the four of whom I have now christened the 'Prague pack') struggled with the conditions.

One thing I noticed about Bartunkova's two big scalp wins here. She really connects with the crowd. They love her style of play. She probably won't reach Less Rich Emma and Alex Eala level popularity but she'll be a popular draw
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 26 Jan 26 00:12

Jan 25, 2026 -- 1:10PM, mesmerised wrote:


Only just seen that Djokovic has a walkover into the quarters, the sort of luck needed to conserve as much energy as possible if he think he can actually beat Sinner in his half of the draw.


This is why I'm not all that bullish on Mensik. Too injury prone. Level is there as we saw with him winning Miami (helped by Sinner being banned and Alcaraz crashing out early), but not sure if his body will ever be able to handle Bo5. For the same reason I'm concerned about Mboko being able to live up to her potential and not be another Paola Badosa. Wrist issues so early in her career and being bandaged like a muggy in the first month of the season are not good signs.

By:
Journeyman
When: 26 Jan 26 00:26
My previous mugtiple would have gone quite well if Vicky won one more game as the Coco and Demon wins came in.

I'll try another as mes has opposed the Illusionist

Shelton and Ruud both to win a set
Musetti wins and both players win a set
Pegula wins
Rybakina wins minus 4.5 game handicap

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