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Tennis Talk 2025: Vol 21 (Wimbledon)

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By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 18:33
he used to shut the door on matches like this very efficiently and if he had been like that today he would be coasting to a straight sets win. served for the first set, won the second set easy and was a break up in the third
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 18:45
set one repeat. will novak serve this one out
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 18:46
or get broken to love
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 18:57
everyone knows that 'unforced error' is literally the most misleading and therefore, most useless statistic that there is in sport

it implies you've made an error due to no or limited pressure or force from your opponent but it's a highly subjective area where tournaments use their own criteria to decide, some take court positioning, timing, if they're in motion into consideration etc, some don't, if any of those factors are at play, then it's forced, but some don't count that, then there's things like making an unforced error due to some mug in the crowd making a noise or moving during a point, but that aside

in Sheltons, case he goes for winners a lot, grass is designed for aggressive tennis, and against Sinner he was trying to up the ante and go for more winners because he knows he's not going to win most of the rallies as Sinner's too good and too consistent with his shot decision making, it was a tactical thing, it's not because he was sloppy, or technically poor. The alternative was to play at his usual intensity and hope for the best, he opted for low percentage and it didn't pay off.

Federer had something like 60 unforced errors in one French Open final against Nadal, that's because Nadal relentlessly hit a lorry load of topspin forehand shots and at angles to Federer's backhand at an increased height than he was used to dealing with - and those missed returns errors are counted as 'unforced', yeah right.

Shelton's movement and strokes were generally good, he just lost to a better played who forced him into making mistakes because of the level that Sinner is. No machine takes things like that into account.
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:00
based on that mes it would seem impossible to label any shot as a ue then, on the basis that what looks like a shank is actually the result of spin imparted b your opponent for example. i dont see the point of going that far into it and am happy to go along with ue stats as they are, knowing they arent perfect but certainly in the case of and again for example saba in the fo final, 70 ues even if they werent all ues is still a ludicrous amount of ues
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:05
taking the shelton match now, if 38 times he had a shot where you can clearly see he's able to hit a normal shot and he's dumped it in the net or hit it long or wide, i dont care how much topspin sidespin or backspin hes up against. its an unforced error. hes a professional player and as such should be able to deal with anything that comes to him that he can hit. watching shots fly past you because youre out of position or missing when youre on the stretch is a different matter
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 19:13
the point is that when unforced error counts are high, it is not necessarily because they have played badly, that is the point, Shelton did not play badly, he just couldn't execute his tactics as well as he wanted, his general level of play was good, he nearly hit as many winners as Sinner and was only broken twice. Making double faults is a genuine unforced error stat, he made 6 Sinner 1, when the speed on second is significantly reduced from 1st and you're under no pressure from the opponent, that was where he was not good but he was not bad today overall.
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:15
surely the definition of playing badly or well is whether your shots go where you want them to. you could even argue dfs arent strictly ues because of perceived pressure from your opponent to make a good second serve
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 19:18
goes back to the whole subjective thing, as how unforced errors are calculated vary from tournament to tournament, what one person sees as a UE another person might not, that's why Federer vehemently argued against the dumb high number of UE attributed to him after that 2007 French Open final, those errors were clearly forced errors
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:24
if federer was able to comfortably get his racket on all those nadal forehands then missing has to be called a ue. otherwise i have no idea what is supposed to qualify as a ue. if you can get to a shot in time, if your stance is correct and if youre able to hit the ball cleanly and you miss that has to be a ue. the fact federer couldnt deal with nadals topsin doesnt mean he was hitting forced errors for me theyre ues
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:25
otherwise you can extend what federer said to its ultimate and say that a forced error is anytime your opponent makes you play a shot and that is obviously nonsense
By:
edy
When: 09 Jul 25 19:28
Fabrice Santoro would have made that.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 09 Jul 25 19:32
#bangrass #banitalianvoodoo
By:
edy
When: 09 Jul 25 19:34
Old men can't do the splits.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 09 Jul 25 19:35
true, they should leave that to the likes of Olga Korbut and Nadia Comaneci
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 19:41
Federer doesn't think they were, I don't think they were, others don't, that's what I'm saying, it's subjective.

Another couple of examples of UE dumbness

You give up points when you're 40 love down, especially big servebots like Isner and Karlovic were, they gave up plenty of points like that by just hammering it anywhere with no real precision, almost every return game, just to get to their serve, they were all unforced errors though when they clearly werent bothered.

Underarm serves, as rare as they are, because they're unexpected, players then caught unawares, rush to the net to get to it but don't make it over the net, some will say that's a forced errors, others will say it's unforced. And on  it goes.
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 19:42
Does Djokovic actually think he can beat his younger clone ?
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:45
federer just might be biased mes dont you reckon. anyway i hear what your saying but at the same time what exactly is a ue then. seems to me from what youre saying ues dont exist and theyre all forced or players deliberately losing points
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 19:48
djoko beating cobolli just now was like pulling teeth. unless sinner has a problem with his elbow which looked ok today i cant see novak winning
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 19:59
If you have a ball coming at you with topspin on a clay court with up to 5,000 RPM as Nadal could generate onto his opponents backhand, the ball sit up at shoulder height, not even the perceived greatest player of all time could consistently return those shots because they are too difficult to deal with, the technique and speed Nadal deployed on those shots clearly means that the returns were forced errors not unforced errors. Unforced errors exist, I'm not saying Shelton's unforced error column were false, I'm saying that it does not take into account the intangibles, such as tactics, he was not trying to keep his unforce error count low, he was trying to go for winners with a low error of margin, meaning not hitting loopy balls or keeping the balls from the lines, he was playing aggressive tennis and generally played well - the point I'm making is people who don't understand tennis just grabs the stats, point to it and say look, he played badly.

It's like in football, teams can deploy the counter attacking tactic, deliberately giving up possession, not wanting to make incessant passes and therefore be down on the % possession count and number of passes made, if they lose 1-0 some people who didn't watch the match will say they played badly, even if they created the better chances throughout.

As Mark Twain once said "there are lies, damned lies, and then there are statistics"

Kind Regards.
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:04
i may not see things entirely your way mes but i certainly understand tennis. if you cant define what a ue is i dont see how you can a fe
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:08
also shelton missed far too much and youre saying because he went for his shots that means he played well even though he missed. cant agree with that at all
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 20:15
I've already said above an unforced error implies limited pressure or force from your opponent, then went onto explain that different tournaments use different criteria to determine what an unforced error is, then went on to explain that they are other factors not taking into account by people not even watching a match, such as inflated unforced error counts by deliberately giving up points for tactical reasons or being distracted by crowd movements etc. That's why that stat should be taken with a pinch of salt.

Federer hit 64 unforced errors apparently in the 2007 French Open final, no he didn't, he was forced into making many of those mistakes due to the uniqueness of Nadal's ability of forcing his opponents to take balls way above the average height a backhand would normally make contact with a shot, or forcing you then to stand even further back from the baseline making your own forehand shot weaker given it's greater distance to Nadal's side of the net.
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:35
well thats clear. which is probably the overall point. seems to me that if ues are a subjective concept then the same must apply to fes. to me and using your federer example that it would have been impossible for fed to hit a ue due to nadals vicious spin. and that kind of my point. what would have counted as a ue for fed in that match. a rhetorical question btw as you mention the subjective nature of ues and so a definitive answer to the question is impossible
By:
mesmerised
When: 09 Jul 25 20:42
ANY unforced error in that match where there was limited pressure or force such as a double fault, a simple volley he missed or a net shot with Nadal not even in the service court to even indulge in a mini badminton session
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:52
cant have been many shots that filled that criteria
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:53
and as i said earlier if ues are subjective and i agree they can be then a case can be made for dfs to be fes on the basis of pressure from the opponent
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:54
theres clearly no definitive answer to any of this but its an interesting topic
By:
tobiasr
When: 09 Jul 25 20:55
im playing devils advocate about dfs btw, as ive always thought of them as ues but i can definitely see a case for some to consider them as fes
By:
stu
When: 09 Jul 25 23:54
I think the main point about UEs is that an opponent failed to apply pressure when they simply could still have done.

Sinner got away with this one IMO. But not sure he will against a different opponent.
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 10 Jul 25 16:48

Jul 7, 2025 -- 9:32PM, Angela Rebecchi wrote:


Yeah the body language, movement and less panic against heavy hitters were all good signs. Be very interesting to see. I'm on Amanda too. Money aside would love to see Mirra or Saba win, Mirra especially would be one hell of a story


wisey, if it's Amanda and Iga final it's the first time my 2 WTA outright bets have both reached the final since our famous Keys vs Stephens 2017 magic ! Laugh

By:
mesmerised
When: 10 Jul 25 18:20
Djokovic missed training session today, doesn't look good, Sinner a shoe-in.
By:
stu
When: 10 Jul 25 19:08
WP AR - nice picks.

I was backing Iga when she was around 5.7 as it looked too big v a struggling odds-on Saba in the market!
By:
stu
When: 10 Jul 25 19:09
who is your bigger green, and will you amend before final...?
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 10 Jul 25 20:53
How is doubles GOAT Siniakova not invited to US Open mixed?
By:
tobiasr
When: 10 Jul 25 22:00
because they want to pair the 'top' singles players whether thats by ranking or mass appeal. so thats siniakova out. tbh i like what theyre trying to do. doubles tennis is a joke and theres no better illustration of that then a pairing of hijikata and pel who only met prior to the tournament and who got in the draw as alternates i believe making the wimbledon final. that is embarrassing and the fact they beat the top ranked doubles pair in arevalo and pavic just shows you that doubles traditionally is where poor singles players go to die.
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 11 Jul 25 19:10
Wooden spoon comp update after SF:
Caramba
Women's:
Rus (needs Swiatek to lose the final to win the Wooden spoon)

edy
Women:
Rus (needs Swiatek to lose the final to win the Wooden spoon)

Players left competing for the wooden spoon:
McCabe, Rodesch

Birrell, Rus
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 11 Jul 25 19:22
Hsieh and Ostapenko get the job done !
By:
edy
When: 11 Jul 25 20:09
https://hamburg-open.com/en/spielerinnen/

That is a link to the official website of the Hamburg Open where they present confirmed players. The linked to English version gets the names of

Tadde Maria (Tatjana Mary), Xinyu Wang (Xinju Wang...I guess here you could potentially give them transliteration benefit of the doubt even if there is an official WTA spelling of Wang's first name), Noma Noha Akugue (Acugue), Nastasja Schunk (Nastasya Schunk), Elsa Jacquemot (Jacquemont) and Leyre Romero Gormaz (Gorma) wrong. Plain So three German names in this German tournament are wrong on the English language website.

Is it too much to ask someone...anyone....to look at such a page for just a minute before publishing it?
By:
TheCarambaExperience
When: 11 Jul 25 20:13
apply for the job!
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