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ATP Monte Carlo 16/04
ATP Monte Carlo 16/04
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Replies: 1,060
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lol to all reading everything i have written today irrelevant of tennis, please, note, i am only trolling
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not a huge fan of london
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i hate cyclists, in their dedicated stupid blue highways. they always get in my way when i drive
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they don't tend to damage my car as much as when I hit other cars, so they are ok in my book.
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There are social networks if you want to chat
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looks like Granola bar is going to win his match
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Balleret didn't manage to take any of his break points this time, Mayer closing in on the win.
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gsm gasgay
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its gunna be GasGay, Mayer, Granolabar and Kohlschriber
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paires given up now
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i still cant believe gasgay was priced 1.62
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mayer never in doubt?
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eaasy money. paire is nothing but a self imploding idiot who can never control his temper. he's worse than almagro
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pablo andujar bringing back 2nd set and its going to final set...anyone on kohli
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Kohlshreiber at prematch odds almost and isnt 1-1 on sets yet.
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SorA, for the same reason he was favorite prematch and this is not expected to go to 3 sets. for the same reason servers odds go up at 30-30 compared to start of the game
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yet, a reason that makes no sense.
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It is not about the probability of the previous sets or points in a match, it is about the probability of the coming points. A player serving is just as likely to win a game from 0-0 as they are from 30-30.
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And a player who was 1.5 at the start is exactly the same probability of winning a deciding set if the prematch odds were based on a comparison of ability.
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the market estimates the probability of kohl winning as say 70%. But when he is 1-1 on sets, the market is inclined to think it has overpriced kohl and correction happens
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I did say Granollers was a guarantee. Admittedly i did think he was beat at break point in the 2nd. Unfortunately my accy has already lost so it doesnt mean anything to me.
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but it is wrong. The stats prove it.
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"A player serving is just as likely to win a game from 0-0 as they are from 30-30"
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say that to the wta mugs
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Who said that?
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SoA ^
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SoA knowing nothing about probability
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Srichaphan or Ancic? • April 16, 2013 1:08 PM BST
It is not about the probability of the previous sets or points in a match, it is about the probability of the coming points. A player serving is just as likely to win a game from 0-0 as they are from 30-30. |
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Ha. Nah that defiantly isn't true.
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tell me why the receiving player is more likely to win those two points than the server? It is the same probability narrowed to lesser number of points.
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This is where you are all making errors if you judge your odds by that!
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SorA, do you have any stats for percentage of games won by server at montecarlo from 30-30 compared to 0-0?
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he thinks the returner has a 50% chance of winning every return game. and 50% chance of winning every service game
...purely because both need the same ammount of points to win a game...asif who ever is serving has NO CLEAR ADVANTAGE over the returner. |
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no, thats not what I think.
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SoA...put down the heroine
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It's easier for a server to win 2 out of 4 than it is 4 out of 8.
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i mean the other way round
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it's you who makes the error, but I won't give a lesson in statistics for you
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I cant explain it to you, so its not worth trying. Keep making errors.
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