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I just don't support the view that Delta will struggle in the televote. While she is singing a pretty mediocre song, it still has the absolute golden vote winning staging that will appeal to the masses.
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I wouldn't say struggle, but it's pretty cliché and dated for me. I don't see it as being a big vote motivator. Maybe lands 6-10th, with very few 10s or 12s
What I'm really considering is the tipping point where the market thinks she has enough of a buffer with the juries to win overall. Probably at least 80, maybe more |
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"golden vote winning staging"
I found it a bit naff, cheapening the song - I don't know what the majority will think though. |
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Maybe it's confirmation bias due to the size of my green.
Maybe the same for you if you have it as a red H? |
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Yes we all have confirmation bias. Finland is not the runaway winner that most are but I don't think it has a strong contender.
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It's finally facing big oppostion at 1.87, 1.88.
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Bob what do you think of Romania as a challenge to Finland? It's had the biggest growth on sm stats these past few days, bigger than Aus.
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The Finland money has eased, and the market continues to pile in on our world class superstar
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Well Aus shortening and Finland drifting atm.
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Ha ha Australia are going to give you a scare at best
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Big money continues to come :)
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Impressive YouTube stats as well
Just had a rewatch of last night's performance I'd be extremely nervous having Delta as red. Especially now we are heading for a pre show flip |
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I took most of Finland profit in the 1.9 area, BUT I'd be extremely nervous having them red, not AUS
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Pre-show flip ain't happening by the way
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Australia have a total-s**t-slot-but-not-as-bad-as-Israel's. Finland have a not-great-but-not-that-bad-slot. Australia surrounded by two powerful songs. Finland surrounded by two songs that probably help it.
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I wonder if one of those big gamblers who were sure Greece was winning is now plunging into Aus.
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Australia slot would have been a concern if the voting still opened at the end.
Also it's one slot before the slot lots of bankers to win have been positioned in. |
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Australia ROMPS the press poll
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I'm getting a sense of dejavue here with from the strictly final ;)
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Australia surrounded by two powerful songs which will look like non leaguers at FC Barcelona in comparison.
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Correct. Australia has nothing to worry about in regards to Ukraine and Serbia taking any attention away from her.
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What happened in the SCD final?
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Wasn't you championing the odds on favourite in the lead up to the final?
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From my spreadsheet I was £438.02 green on winner Karen, £1397.56 green on George, red the field. Not huge amounts. Don't remember much. Forgot who the names refered to until I looked at them. Please don't become a stalker, they're so tiring and annoying.
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huh?
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Once they win, what previous metric will you use to convince yourself they aren't going to win
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Are you okay? I'm just saying that the Press Poll is pretty useless.
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I'm fine thankyou. You will perceive things depending on your book. I'm sure if Finland romped it you'd be on here telling us all how it's a useless non substance metric?
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I'm looking for facts and useful info, not metrics to back anything up, which is what you are doing. For instance, there are many articles that Finland's running order gives them a boost. I don't think it matters.
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Cool, and I thought I'd share some extra info. More info the better for all of us
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